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Texas State vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-66
28-24 46-42
Position#214
Record7-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#212
Record10-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v South Alabama
20 Dec 2025
TEXA67
SOUT65
22 Feb 2025
TEXA93
SOUT92
01 Feb 2024
TEXA74
SOUT66
22 Feb 2023
TEXA67
SOUT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
31-33
32-38
40-37
35-42
39-38
43-47
33-29
34-25
29-44
39-42
36-43
36-36
34-39
31-39
24-30
22-36
139.2Avg total
64.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.771.7140.4-3.033%
Season at home (9)75.870.7146.4+5.133%
Season away (12)63.472.4135.8-9.033%
Last 10 (10)64.075.2139.2-11.210%
Last 5 (5)63.672.6136.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)60.575.2135.7-14.77%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.468.9142.3+4.558%
vs Weaker (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H06/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A12/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A13/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A26/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-38
41-29
22-36
39-23
43-44
39-38
40-42
36-48
29-41
26-48
53-45
38-40
30-25
44-46
34-37
45-51
29-41
37-39
34-40
45-43
155.1Avg total
74.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.277.7151.9-3.548%
Season at home (11)81.879.7161.5+2.155%
Season away (10)65.875.4141.2-9.640%
Last 10 (10)74.880.3155.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)77.881.4159.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.680.9147.4-14.322%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.574.2152.7+4.357%
vs Weaker (5)73.056.0129.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: -1.5-1.5
Texas StateSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A28/01
NCAA
67.0Avg total
31.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.464.8-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.233.666.8-0.438%-
Last 30 away (17)30.133.263.3-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)31.235.867.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.237.068.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)27.936.264.1-8.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.431.564.9+1.958%-
vs Weaker (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A31/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H06/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A12/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/01
NCAA
74.5Avg total
35.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.469.7+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.533.572.0+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)32.335.267.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.974.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.673.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.136.867.9-5.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.434.971.4+1.564%-
vs Weaker (5)35.029.064.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
2
South Alabama wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette46-66
25/01/24ATroy65-78
20/01/24HArkansas State72-79
18/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette68-86
13/01/24ALouisiana Monroe67-54
12/01/24AArkansas State82-85
06/01/24HMarshall75-79
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ATroy79-83
26/01/24ALouisiana Monroe66-80
20/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette79-88
19/01/24HTroy74-71
13/01/24AMarshall91-85
12/01/24AJames Madison55-89
06/01/24HGeorgia State76-90
05/01/24HAppalachian State84-91 OT
31/12/23AOld Dominion61-59
22/12/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs83-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game68.775.863.4
Allowed / game71.770.772.4
Point differential-3.0+5.1-9.0
Avg total140.4146.4135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game74.281.865.8
Allowed / game77.779.775.4
Point differential-3.5+2.1-9.6
Avg total151.9161.5141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2219386%86.069.3+16.6
2 Appalachian State2218482%78.064.6+13.4
3 Troy2214864%80.169.5+10.7
4 Louisiana Lafayette2214864%77.571.4+6.1
5 Southern Miss22121055%70.271.1-1.0
6 Marshall23111248%75.476.3-0.9
7 South Alabama21101148%74.277.7-3.5
8 Georgia State2191243%78.575.4+3.1
9 Arkansas State2291341%78.378.5-0.3
10 Louisiana Monroe2071335%69.573.6-4.0
11 Texas State2171433%68.771.7-3.0
12 Coastal Carolina2161529%74.779.4-4.7
13 Old Dominion2261627%72.177.3-5.2
14 Georgia Southern2251723%70.179.1-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State284674
South Alabama244266
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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