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Texas State vs Old Dominion Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-64
42-33 39-31
Position#125
Record12-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#300
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v Old Dominion
31 Jan 2026
TEXA81
OLD 64
06 Mar 2025
TEXA61
OLD 64
05 Mar 2024
TEXA92
OLD 83
11 Feb 2023
TEXA68
OLD 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Old Dominion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
42-26
33-45
47-55
46-40
38-39
28-29
37-36
37-43
45-40
29-22
30-32
27-28
47-39
27-32
43-40
28-47
29-35
39-29
33-39
146.5Avg total
71.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.071.4144.4+1.752%
Season at home (13)76.564.7141.2+11.885%
Season away (10)68.680.1148.7-11.510%
Last 10 (10)71.575.0146.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)66.468.6135.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.879.8148.5-11.025%
vs Similar (14)73.478.8152.2-5.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.661.3137.9+15.283%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A28/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A09/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
H22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
45-42
18-45
40-28
19-37
54-44
30-47
56-46
28-24
42-42
44-27
25-43
48-39
36-48
36-17
39-56
35-35
29-29
38-33
37-38
151.4Avg total
74.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.277.3151.5-3.132%
Season at home (8)78.570.9149.4+7.650%
Season away (14)71.780.9152.6-9.221%
Last 10 (10)74.177.3151.4-3.230%
Last 5 (5)76.076.8152.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.077.5147.5-7.531%
vs Similar (11)74.575.0149.5-0.536%
vs Weaker (2)62.561.0123.5+1.550%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -1.3-1.3
Texas StateOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
31.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.967.5+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.030.766.7+5.361%-
Last 30 away (12)32.636.268.8-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)31.935.467.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.661.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.836.068.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (14)31.637.168.6-5.57%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.826.965.8+11.9100%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A28/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
36-17
36
17
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.367.1-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.032.964.9-0.945%-
Last 30 away (19)33.235.268.4-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.866.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.270.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.235.267.4-3.131%-
vs Similar (11)34.633.868.5+0.855%-
vs Weaker (2)23.534.057.5-10.550%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
3
Old Dominion wins
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HMarshall72-68
24/01/26AJames Madison57-82
23/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-72
17/01/26HSouthern Miss74-67
15/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette59-54
10/01/26AArkansas State82-83
09/01/26ASouthern Miss70-80 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Monroe84-79
31/12/25ATroy80-100
20/12/25HSouth Alabama67-65
Old Dominionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AArkansas State75-71
22/01/26HTroy77-83 OT
17/01/26AAppalachian State75-73
16/01/26AGeorgia Southern84-87
10/01/26AJames Madison69-70
09/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-66
03/01/26HGeorgia Southern86-93
31/12/25HAppalachian State73-81
28/12/25AMaryland58-73
20/12/25HCoastal Carolina74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %52%85%10%
Points / game73.076.568.6
Allowed / game71.464.780.1
Point differential+1.7+11.8-11.5
Avg total144.4141.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Old Dominion
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayWLLWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22814
Win %32%50%21%
Points / game74.278.571.7
Allowed / game77.370.980.9
Point differential-3.1+7.6-9.2
Avg total151.5149.4152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %5%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2215768%85.576.1+9.4
2 Marshall2113862%80.674.7+6.0
3 South Alabama2113862%73.168.3+4.8
4 Appalachian State2314961%72.165.4+6.7
5 Georgia Southern2314961%82.380.1+2.2
6 Arkansas State2213959%82.579.1+3.3
7 Coastal Carolina23131057%72.771.3+1.4
8 Texas State23121152%73.071.4+1.7
9 James Madison22111150%74.975.9-1.0
10 Southern Miss23111248%73.573.6-0.0
11 Georgia State2291341%71.174.0-2.9
12 Old Dominion2271532%74.277.3-3.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette2261627%61.169.3-8.2
14 Louisiana Monroe2231914%71.082.6-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State423981
Old Dominion333164
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