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Texas State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-56
28-26 37-30
Position#125
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#295
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v UALR
21 Nov 2025
TEXA65
UALR56
19 Feb 2022
TEXA68
UALR50
06 Feb 2021
TEXA77
UALR67
05 Feb 2021
TEXA57
UALR47
13 Feb 2020
TEXA74
UALR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
46-46
37-36
32-38
33-41
44-36
29-27
32-37
29-40
19-43
53-25
61-30
39-26
32-53
38-26
42-43
47-30
30-37
32-22
31-27
150.3Avg total
77.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.567.0142.5+8.567%
Season at home (4)83.560.0143.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)59.581.0140.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)77.872.5150.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)81.063.8144.8+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.6149.3-9.929%
vs Similar (7)75.980.3156.1-4.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.968.1148.0+11.969%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#296
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A01/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
49-89
49
89
-40
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A16/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
39-22
27-36
33-35
24-38
41-35
46-40
36-37
29-40
30-38
37-42
55-21
38-41
34-51
29-46
20-43
37-35
31-27
23-43
45-46
144.5Avg total
69.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.879.0148.8-9.240%
Season at home (1)92.063.0155.0+29.0100%
Season away (4)64.283.0147.2-18.825%
Last 10 (10)69.075.5144.5-6.540%
Last 5 (5)69.879.0148.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)61.273.8135.0-12.525%
vs Similar (13)71.072.7143.7-1.746%
vs Weaker (12)70.261.7131.9+8.675%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
Texas StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
37.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.669.5+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.631.770.3+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)32.436.168.5-3.723%-
Last 10 (10)37.330.968.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.825.867.6+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.937.170.0-4.314%-
vs Similar (7)32.636.469.0-3.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.730.869.5+7.975%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#296
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A01/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
32.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.233.765.9-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.032.064.0+0.040%-
Last 30 away (15)32.335.567.8-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)32.640.072.6-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.841.474.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)26.233.559.8-7.225%-
vs Similar (13)33.535.869.3-2.238%-
vs Weaker (12)32.231.663.8+0.642%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Texas State wins
2
UALR wins
DateGameScore
07/11/23UALR v Texas State71-66
19/02/22Texas State v UALR68-50
21/01/22UALR v Texas State59-69
06/02/21Texas State v UALR77-67 OT
05/02/21Texas State v UALR57-47
16/01/21UALR v Texas State56-67
16/01/21UALR v Texas State59-63
14/02/20Texas State v UALR74-66
03/01/20UALR v Texas State72-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HAbilene Christian63-49
15/11/25HTexas Southern77-67
13/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners80-69
08/11/25ATulane71-79
06/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars114-55
04/11/25ABowling Green48-83
07/03/25HOld Dominion61-64
01/03/25HJames Madison102-93 OT
26/02/25HTroy69-74
22/02/25HSouth Alabama93-92 OT
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25AMurray State68-89
16/11/25ABall State68-62
13/11/25AMarquette49-89
11/11/25AWisc. Milwaukee72-92
05/11/25HArkansas Baptist92-63
08/03/25ASoutheast Missouri State59-78
07/03/25HUT Martin82-77
01/03/25ASiu Edwardsville65-73
28/02/25AEastern Illinois60-71
22/02/25HWestern Illinois75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game75.583.559.5
Allowed / game67.060.081.0
Point differential+8.5+23.5-21.5
Avg total142.5143.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game69.892.064.2
Allowed / game79.063.083.0
Point differential-9.2+29.0-18.8
Avg total148.8155.0147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall54180%87.081.6+5.4
2 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
3 Texas State64267%75.567.0+8.5
4 Appalachian State64267%72.866.2+6.7
5 Coastal Carolina53260%83.064.8+18.2
6 Arkansas State53260%81.482.4-1.0
7 Troy74357%92.985.1+7.7
8 Old Dominion63350%75.874.7+1.2
9 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
10 Georgia Southern63350%85.586.8-1.3
11 Southern Miss52340%80.671.8+8.8
12 Georgia State51420%65.267.8-2.6
13 Louisiana Monroe51420%72.478.8-6.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette51420%62.474.8-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin43175%83.569.2+14.2
2 Tennessee Tech63350%81.069.8+11.2
3 Siu Edwardsville63350%74.067.3+6.7
4 Tennessee State52340%87.279.4+7.8
5 UALR52340%69.879.0-9.2
6 Eastern Illinois52340%60.270.0-9.8
7 Morehead State62433%79.082.7-3.7
8 Lindenwood62433%73.880.3-6.5
9 Southeast Missouri State51420%76.081.0-5.0
10 Southern Indiana51420%75.683.2-7.6
11 Western Illinois61517%64.774.5-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State283765
UALR263056
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