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Tivat vs Podgorica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game73.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 13· Sportski centar
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tivat v Podgorica
30 Jan 2027
TIVA v PODG
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
TIVA101
PODG99
03 May 2025
TIVA61
PODG86
11 Dec 2024
TIVA84
PODG87
28 Dec 2023
TIVA78
PODG73
08 Oct 2022
TIVA76
PODG71
24 Oct 2021
TIVA77
PODG73
19 Dec 2020
TIVA87
PODG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tivat win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 84
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
118-95
118
95
+23
113avg 84
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 84
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 84
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 84
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
91avg 84
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H13/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
13-25
16-15
16-20
31-26
26-25
38-17
23-27
12-24
35-32
27-24
25-28
29-15
21-16
16-20
25-27
21-11
13-31
16-17
22-21
24-22
18-22
19-14
22-25
19-22
18-22
21-24
14-26
21-19
25-26
17-14
23-17
24-29
20-20
18-18
27-24
22-24
24-20
16-20
11-20
174.9Avg total
86.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.086.2166.2-6.225%
Season at home (2)79.580.0159.5-0.550%
Season away (2)80.592.5173.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)86.888.1174.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.493.4176.9-10.025%
vs Similar (12)91.891.9183.8-0.142%
vs Weaker (2)103.591.5195.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 82
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
90-84
90
84
+6
81avg 82
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 82
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 82
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
106avg 82
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 82
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
127-47
127
47
+80
no box
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
L
96-112
96
112
-16
no box
H03/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
25-13
15-16
20-16
27-20
24-14
21-15
20-24
18-20
32-23
18-14
22-27
18-18
20-23
23-20
23-24
21-15
27-17
14-22
24-24
26-23
18-26
29-29
29-24
21-18
16-19
15-14
12-25
33-13
32-13
32-15
30-6
20-15
23-32
20-31
26-21
25-20
27-30
21-31
23-31
176.3Avg total
91.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)108.073.0181.0+35.050%
Season at home (1)127.047.0174.0+80.0100%
Season away (1)89.099.0188.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)91.984.4176.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)97.090.2187.2+6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.185.6161.8-9.512%
vs Similar (9)80.380.3160.7+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.475.5163.9+12.877%
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
TivatPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/11
Prva A Liga
89.7Avg total
44.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.347.191.4-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.790.3+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.049.592.5-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.389.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.948.689.4-7.719%-
vs Similar (12)47.644.592.1+3.158%-
vs Weaker (2)52.051.5103.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
65-26
65
26
+39
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/11
ABA League 2
87.5Avg total
47.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.779.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.982.7+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.436.374.7+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.540.087.5+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.890.0+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.640.578.1-2.938%-
vs Similar (9)40.937.978.8+3.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.835.879.6+7.969%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.4
58.9%
58.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
31.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
69.7%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.0
52.4%
58.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.4
32.0%
31.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
69.7%16.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tivat
LLWLWLWLWL
Podgorica
LLWLLWLWWW
#10
League position
#7
+1.3
Net rating
+0.0
116.9
Offensive rating
103.7
115.6
Defensive rating
103.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
1.8%
Turnover %
5.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.6%
3-point %
32.0%
52.8%
Assist %
58.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 103.7Defence115.6 · 103.7Shooting56.5% · 50.8%3-point %34.6% · 32.0%Ball care1.8% · 5.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tivat   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tivat wins
6
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Podgorica v Tivat82-73
08/12/25Tivat v Podgorica101-99 OT
03/05/25Tivat v Podgorica61-86
30/04/25Podgorica v Tivat87-75
07/04/25Podgorica v Tivat72-79
11/12/24Tivat v Podgorica84-87
27/03/24Podgorica v Tivat81-69
28/12/23Tivat v Podgorica78-73
14/01/23Podgorica v Tivat93-73
08/10/22Tivat v Podgorica76-71
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSutjeska73-84
06/11/26AMornar Bar89-91
03/11/26HStudentski Centar86-76
26/10/26AKotor72-94
02/04/26AStudentski Centar95-93 OT
29/03/26HDanilovgrad72-80
23/03/26HVukovi Zeta91-78
16/03/26AIbar Rozaje99-108
10/03/26HUlcinj118-95
07/03/26APodgorica73-82
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HSloboda96-112
01/11/26APrimorje89-99
25/10/26HLim Berane127-47
22/10/26AHercegovac64-76
04/04/26AMornar Bar109-117 OT
26/03/26HJedinstvo86-78
21/03/26ADecic84-85
15/03/26HPrimorje90-84
11/03/26HStudentski Centar92-73
07/03/26HTivat82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tivat
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.079.580.5
Allowed / game86.280.092.5
Point differential-6.2-0.5-12.0
Avg total166.2159.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game108.0127.089.0
Allowed / game73.047.099.0
Point differential+35.0+80.0-10.0
Avg total181.0174.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
11 Lovcen Cetinje3030%78.791.7-13.0
12 Decic3030%67.085.3-18.3
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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