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Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 May 2022
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 61-66 (OT)
14-21 14-12 15-12 14-12 4-9
Position#4
Record8-22
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#3
Record10-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game74.2
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - 3rd place
Other2021-22
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe
06 Nov 2024
TOBO85
AKTO82
05 Nov 2024
TOBO109
AKTO81
15 May 2024
TOBO109
AKTO97
14 May 2024
TOBO89
AKTO105
09 Nov 2023
TOBO101
AKTO76
08 Nov 2023
TOBO96
AKTO88
22 Jan 2023
TOBO82
AKTO79
21 Jan 2023
TOBO83
AKTO78
03 Nov 2022
TOBO88
AKTO69
02 Nov 2022
TOBO85
AKTO76
11 May 2022
TOBO61
AKTO66
10 May 2022
TOBO79
AKTO77
11 Oct 2021
TOBO92
AKTO90
10 Oct 2021
TOBO77
AKTO74
02 Feb 2021
TOBO92
AKTO72
01 Feb 2021
TOBO104
AKTO84
21 Nov 2019
TOBO98
AKTO73
20 Nov 2019
TOBO81
AKTO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A03/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A04/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
82-93 OT
82
93
-11
A07/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A25/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
60-101
60
101
-41
A26/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
59-104
59
104
-45
H28/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A06/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A07/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H10/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
18-19
12-30
25-17
24-30
16-17
14-22
36-29
13-18
15-13
15-16
26-22
18-15
20-20
9-16
18-20
15-33
12-19
21-18
21-25
17-28
13-28
22-21
8-24
13-28
23-21
12-27
11-28
19-16
17-13
17-15
17-23
19-21
14-16
12-15
24-20
23-22
20-26
21-16
15-13
159.1Avg total
72.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.185.1154.2-16.027%
Season at home (14)71.087.9158.9-16.936%
Season away (16)67.482.7150.1-15.319%
Last 10 (10)72.187.0159.1-14.920%
Last 5 (5)67.484.2151.6-16.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.487.0153.4-20.621%
vs Similar (6)79.877.5157.3+2.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H13/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H14/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A20/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-100
32
100
-68
A21/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A25/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A26/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H29/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A10/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
14-18
14-16
23-21
23-20
5-14
14-7
14-11
17-31
19-24
11-20
11-25
0-19
4-30
15-25
13-26
15-17
20-16
18-16
11-27
22-17
16-22
14-14
12-17
18-24
14-20
19-12
12-19
16-19
13-17
15-17
23-17
21-19
16-14
15-12
20-24
22-23
26-20
16-21
13-15
139.8Avg total
62.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)65.574.2139.8-8.733%
Season at home (15)64.567.9132.4-3.347%
Season away (15)66.580.6147.1-14.120%
Last 10 (10)62.777.1139.8-14.420%
Last 5 (5)68.672.6141.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)62.781.9144.7-19.213%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (15)68.366.5134.9+1.853%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
Tobol KostanayAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A04/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A08/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A25/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A26/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H28/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A06/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H10/05
National League
78.1Avg total
35.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.142.777.8-7.634%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.942.279.1-5.443%-
Last 30 away (15)33.443.176.5-9.727%-
Last 10 (10)35.242.978.1-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.879.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.845.178.9-11.326%-
vs Similar (6)40.033.573.5+6.567%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H14/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A20/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
4-49
4
49
-45
A21/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A25/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H29/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H06/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/05
National League
73.3Avg total
32.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.339.373.7-5.031%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.637.170.8-3.529%-
Last 30 away (15)35.041.476.4-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)32.440.973.3-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.342.475.7-9.127%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.436.171.5-0.636%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tobol Kostanay wins
4
Aktobe wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/22HAktobe79-77
07/05/22AAktobe69-72
06/05/22AAktobe70-67
28/04/22HAstana59-104
26/04/22AAstana60-101
25/04/22AAstana69-95
08/04/22AAktobe65-71
07/04/22AAktobe82-93 OT
04/04/22AAtyrau90-98
03/04/22AAtyrau78-92
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/22ATobol Kostanay77-79
07/05/22HTobol Kostanay72-69
06/05/22HTobol Kostanay67-70
29/04/22HAtyrau63-75
26/04/22AAtyrau64-70
25/04/22AAtyrau64-76
21/04/22AAstana32-100
20/04/22AAstana58-100
14/04/22HKaspiy Aktau56-52
13/04/22HKaspiy Aktau74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW27%
HomeWWLLW36%
AwayLLLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %27%36%19%
Points / game69.171.067.4
Allowed / game85.187.982.7
Point differential-16.0-16.9-15.3
Avg total154.2158.9150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Aktobe
National League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLLW47%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%47%20%
Points / game65.564.566.5
Allowed / game74.267.980.6
Point differential-8.7-3.3-14.1
Avg total139.8132.4147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana3029197%91.154.6+36.5
2 Atyrau30201067%73.971.6+2.3
3 Aktobe30102033%65.574.2-8.7
4 Tobol Kostanay3082227%69.185.1-16.0
5 Kaspiy Aktau2451921%63.581.1-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tobol Kostanay14141514461
Aktobe21121212966
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