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Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-82
21-26 23-16 22-20 19-20
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#7
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game89.0
KazakhstanNational League· SEC Kostanay
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe
06 Nov 2024
TOBO85
AKTO82
05 Nov 2024
TOBO109
AKTO81
15 May 2024
TOBO109
AKTO97
14 May 2024
TOBO89
AKTO105
09 Nov 2023
TOBO101
AKTO76
08 Nov 2023
TOBO96
AKTO88
22 Jan 2023
TOBO82
AKTO79
21 Jan 2023
TOBO83
AKTO78
03 Nov 2022
TOBO88
AKTO69
02 Nov 2022
TOBO85
AKTO76
11 May 2022
TOBO61
AKTO66
10 May 2022
TOBO79
AKTO77
11 Oct 2021
TOBO92
AKTO90
10 Oct 2021
TOBO77
AKTO74
02 Feb 2021
TOBO92
AKTO72
01 Feb 2021
TOBO104
AKTO84
21 Nov 2019
TOBO98
AKTO73
20 Nov 2019
TOBO81
AKTO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
W
109-97
109
97
+12
111avg 92
H15/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 92
A21/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
74avg 92
A22/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 92
H08/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 92
H09/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
107-74
107
74
+33
103avg 92
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
111-72
111
72
+39
114avg 92
A23/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 92
A27/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A28/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
109-81
109
81
+28
110avg 92
H05/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
27-24
21-24
35-30
25-18
18-29
23-25
20-18
22-21
12-21
22-12
17-20
20-23
26-19
11-23
17-18
23-22
18-14
18-18
22-30
33-24
24-20
21-22
29-8
38-11
31-26
23-21
19-14
26-19
19-26
16-15
23-17
18-17
19-17
21-18
14-18
28-15
23-30
29-23
29-13
170.8Avg total
90.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.177.3168.4+13.971%
Season at home (3)88.082.7170.7+5.333%
Season away (4)93.573.2166.8+20.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.680.2170.8+10.460%
Last 5 (5)96.674.8171.4+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
vs Similar (13)82.984.1167.0-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)101.180.1181.2+21.187%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 78
A04/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
105-89
105
89
+16
104avg 78
A14/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
97-109
97
109
-12
96avg 78
A15/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 78
H21/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 78
H22/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H07/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
54avg 78
H08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
76avg 78
H19/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 78
H20/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-109
81
109
-28
77avg 78
A05/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
16-22
19-16
18-23
16-24
31-23
27-23
31-19
19-26
24-27
24-21
30-35
18-25
29-18
25-23
18-20
21-22
21-12
12-22
20-17
32-19
19-12
18-27
12-20
16-18
20-20
11-17
15-20
20-19
22-25
15-27
27-18
32-21
17-30
26-21
26-22
15-28
30-23
23-29
13-29
173.6Avg total
85.3Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.889.0170.8-7.240%
Season at home (4)82.084.0166.0-2.050%
Season away (1)81.0109.0190.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)85.388.3173.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)81.889.0170.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.985.1166.0-4.242%
vs Similar (12)85.881.5167.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (6)91.777.3169.0+14.383%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
Tobol KostanayAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H15/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H08/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
69-37
69
37
+32
A23/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A27/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/11
National League
89.1Avg total
47.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.942.389.2+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.842.290.9+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.487.2+2.436%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.589.1+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)51.841.092.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (13)41.642.784.3-1.123%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)52.141.893.9+10.387%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A04/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A15/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H22/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H07/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H20/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
National League
87.7Avg total
44.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.384.4+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.341.483.8+0.950%-
Last 30 away (12)44.241.285.3+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.487.7+0.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.087.6+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.543.285.8-0.825%-
vs Similar (12)40.641.882.4-1.250%-
vs Weaker (6)49.236.585.7+12.7100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tobol Kostanay wins
5
Aktobe wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HAktobe109-81
28/10/24AAstana 272-70
27/10/24AAstana 284-77
23/10/24APavlodar111-72
22/10/24APavlodar107-74
09/10/24HKaspiy Aktau81-84
08/10/24HKaspiy Aktau74-83
22/05/24AAktobe73-74
21/05/24AAktobe86-90
15/05/24HAktobe109-97
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24ATobol Kostanay81-109
20/10/24HAtyrau101-94
19/10/24HAtyrau84-89
08/10/24HIrbis Almaty62-75
07/10/24HIrbis Almaty81-78
22/05/24HTobol Kostanay74-73
21/05/24HTobol Kostanay90-86
15/05/24ATobol Kostanay97-109
14/05/24ATobol Kostanay105-89
04/05/24AIrbis Almaty78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%33%100%
Points / game91.188.093.5
Allowed / game77.382.773.2
Point differential+13.9+5.3+20.2
Avg total168.4170.7166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game81.882.081.0
Allowed / game89.084.0109.0
Point differential-7.2-2.0-28.0
Avg total170.8166.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Almaty65183%80.271.0+9.2
2 Tobol Kostanay75271%91.177.3+13.9
3 Atyrau75271%79.774.4+5.3
4 Irbis Almaty64267%73.369.0+4.3
5 Kaspiy Aktau84450%71.072.1-1.1
6 Aktobe52340%81.889.0-7.2
7 Astana 261517%74.578.8-4.3
8 Pavlodar7070%67.387.9-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay2123221985
Aktobe2616202082
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