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Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 64-119
17-30 20-29 12-29 15-31
Position#5
Record1-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game97.1
vs
Astana 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#1
Record18-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game64.2
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana
27 Jan 2026
TOBO73
AST88
26 Jan 2026
TOBO64
AST119
27 Oct 2025
TOBO54
AST103
26 Oct 2025
TOBO56
AST88
30 Oct 2022
TOBO90
AST83
29 Oct 2022
TOBO102
AST81
28 Apr 2022
TOBO59
AST104
20 Jan 2022
TOBO50
AST105
19 Jan 2022
TOBO60
AST102
23 Oct 2021
TOBO54
AST94
22 Oct 2021
TOBO50
AST100
18 Jan 2021
TOBO82
AST110
17 Jan 2021
TOBO72
AST88
18 Jan 2020
TOBO92
AST101
17 Jan 2020
TOBO52
AST90
18 May 2019
TOBO75
AST120
21 Mar 2019
TOBO64
AST91
20 Mar 2019
TOBO84
AST102
28 Feb 2018
TOBO89
AST94
27 Feb 2018
TOBO69
AST107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
63-105
63
105
-42
46avg 66
H27/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
62-103
62
103
-41
44avg 66
H28/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
49avg 66
A15/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
67-108
67
108
-41
54avg 66
A16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 66
A19/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
62-105
62
105
-43
47avg 66
A20/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 66
A22/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
52avg 66
A23/12
National League
Almaty
#3
L
89-125
89
125
-36
78avg 66
A10/01
National League
Almaty
#3
L
56-105
56
105
-49
44avg 66
A11/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
15-30
20-24
7-28
9-33
10-17
28-24
15-29
22-22
13-18
10-21
19-24
16-29
12-33
15-30
24-16
23-23
12-23
24-12
22-17
12-29
17-21
17-25
16-30
11-26
25-25
9-23
27-20
22-28
15-15
16-23
19-24
28-26
20-34
23-36
18-29
18-36
12-27
15-20
11-22
168.3Avg total
68.8Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)64.897.1161.9-32.26%
Season at home (8)60.895.0155.8-34.20%
Season away (10)68.198.7166.8-30.610%
Last 10 (10)68.899.5168.3-30.710%
Last 5 (5)70.2103.8174.0-33.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.897.1161.9-32.26%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (12)81.781.8163.5-0.258%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 88
H25/11
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
96-63
96
63
+33
99avg 88
H26/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
97-71
97
71
+26
103avg 88
A02/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
no box
A03/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
85-64
85
64
+21
84avg 88
H15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
108-67
108
67
+41
115avg 88
H16/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 88
H22/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
90-74
90
74
+16
78avg 88
H23/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
79-50
79
50
+29
87avg 88
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
97-68
97
68
+29
106avg 88
A21/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
23-19
23-20
18-4
28-24
26-11
23-21
19-7
21-20
26-16
27-20
23-15
14-18
17-18
28-11
16-16
22-22
18-13
21-10
24-19
29-16
33-12
30-15
16-24
25-11
24-21
19-21
14-19
24-20
16-18
20-15
30-21
22-11
17-11
24-17
16-11
19-18
27-13
25-21
26-16
154.0Avg total
88.7Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.764.2154.9+26.5100%
Season at home (8)88.867.9156.6+20.9100%
Season away (10)92.361.3153.6+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.765.3154.0+23.4100%
Last 5 (5)91.266.2157.4+25.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.692.8161.3-24.28%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.764.2154.9+26.5100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -9.2-9.2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -9.2-9.2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
Tobol KostanayAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
19-50
19
50
-31
H28/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A19/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A20/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A22/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/12
National League
Almaty
#3
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A10/01
National League
Almaty
#3
L
30-63
30
63
-33
A11/01
National League
85.1Avg total
33.3Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.549.185.7-12.614%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.547.785.2-10.320%-
Last 30 away (14)35.550.686.1-15.17%-
Last 10 (10)33.351.885.1-18.50%-
Last 5 (5)36.053.489.4-17.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.951.182.0-20.20%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (11)45.745.991.6-0.236%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/11
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H26/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H16/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H22/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A21/01
National League
77.5Avg total
44.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.479.0+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.538.880.2+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)41.636.478.0+5.259%-
Last 10 (10)44.533.077.5+11.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.230.277.4+17.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.245.679.8-11.38%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.432.078.4+14.489%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tobol Kostanay: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.5
45.5%
50.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.5
38.9%
30.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws11.56.0
52.2%
69.6%6.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.7
51.5%
50.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.4
30.9%
30.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
69.6%14.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tobol Kostanay
LLLLLWLLLL
Astana
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-51.9
Net rating
-9.7
88.5
Offensive rating
102.0
140.4
Defensive rating
111.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.2%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.9%
3-point %
30.9%
55.4%
Assist %
72.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 102.0Defence140.4 · 111.6Shooting50.8% · 49.2%3-point %38.9% · 30.9%Ball care0.0% · 14.5%Free throws0.18 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 100%
■ Tobol Kostanay   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tobol Kostanay wins
8
Astana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AAlmaty56-105
10/01/26AAlmaty89-125
23/12/25AAtyrau72-90
22/12/25AAtyrau72-94
20/12/25AKaspiy Aktau62-105
19/12/25AKaspiy Aktau81-75
16/12/25AAstana67-108
15/12/25AAstana64-85
28/11/25HAlmaty62-103
27/11/25HAlmaty63-105
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AAtyrau97-68
20/01/26AAtyrau79-50
23/12/25HAlmaty90-74
22/12/25HAlmaty82-72
16/12/25HTobol Kostanay108-67
15/12/25HTobol Kostanay85-64
03/12/25AKaspiy Aktau75-63
02/12/25AKaspiy Aktau97-71
26/11/25HAtyrau96-63
25/11/25HAtyrau78-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %6%0%10%
Points / game64.860.868.1
Allowed / game97.195.098.7
Point differential-32.2-34.2-30.6
Avg total161.9155.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
National League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.788.892.3
Allowed / game64.267.961.3
Point differential+26.5+20.9+31.0
Avg total154.9156.6153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana18180100%90.764.2+26.5
2 Almaty1811761%87.478.3+9.1
3 Atyrau2091145%78.182.8-4.8
4 Kaspiy Aktau1871139%79.177.2+1.9
5 Tobol Kostanay181176%64.897.1-32.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay1720121564
Astana30292931119
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