PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fenerbahce vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-82
19-23 26-15 23-21 22-23
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#9
Record8-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game80.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 16
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Tofas
01 Nov 2026
FEN88
TOF77
18 Jan 2026
FEN90
TOF82
14 Dec 2024
FEN90
TOF88
03 Mar 2024
FEN109
TOF77
27 May 2023
FEN93
TOF78
20 Nov 2022
FEN82
TOF68
19 Dec 2021
FEN82
TOF72
10 Feb 2021
FEN81
TOF84
15 Mar 2020
FEN84
TOF75
24 Mar 2019
FEN89
TOF56
13 Jun 2018
FEN94
TOF64
07 Jun 2018
FEN86
TOF78
05 Jun 2018
FEN103
TOF63
02 May 2018
FEN98
TOF78
24 May 2017
FEN92
TOF76
02 Apr 2017
FEN90
TOF75
01 Oct 2013
FEN87
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 81
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
73-99
73
99
-26
58avg 81
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 81
H23/12
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 81
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#18
W
108-93
108
93
+15
98avg 81
A02/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 81
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
81avg 81
H06/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
81-92
81
92
-11
66avg 81
A08/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
89-58
89
58
+31
93avg 81
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
21-21
16-23
31-17
29-25
16-28
11-22
17-24
17-13
18-20
18-19
19-19
26-20
17-18
23-14
27-27
24-28
29-25
32-29
23-11
23-24
25-23
34-15
19-25
18-22
18-18
26-22
26-18
20-24
22-27
20-22
19-19
23-16
31-8
16-19
19-15
28-20
17-14
21-24
16-21
168.4Avg total
87.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.180.4170.5+9.787%
Season at home (8)93.280.2173.5+13.0100%
Season away (7)86.480.6167.0+5.971%
Last 10 (10)87.481.0168.4+6.480%
Last 5 (5)88.279.2167.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (15)82.381.2163.5+1.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.478.6165.9+8.893%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bnei Herzliya
#34
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 82
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 82
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
101avg 82
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
92-82
92
82
+10
83avg 82
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
94avg 82
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 82
H06/01
Champions League
Cholet
#23
L
86-105
86
105
-19
75avg 82
A09/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
84avg 82
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H14/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
22-24
23-18
16-22
14-21
16-12
29-8
21-21
18-28
24-18
20-19
22-19
13-19
22-14
15-21
22-19
17-22
20-22
25-24
30-14
37-28
13-21
18-15
24-28
26-18
18-22
18-12
27-23
16-25
20-28
24-24
26-28
17-23
23-16
25-14
17-23
23-15
19-18
20-19
22-30
170.3Avg total
86.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.580.6164.1+2.953%
Season at home (7)85.473.4158.9+12.0100%
Season away (8)81.986.9168.8-5.012%
Last 10 (10)86.683.7170.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.489.0177.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.880.8161.6+0.060%
vs Similar (14)83.484.9168.2-1.536%
vs Weaker (6)90.381.8172.2+8.583%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
FenerbahceTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/12
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/01
Euroleague
84.6Avg total
44.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.681.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.077.2+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)42.644.687.3-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.584.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.284.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (15)40.139.679.7+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.141.684.7+1.457%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/01
Champions League
Cholet
#23
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A09/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/01
Champions League
81.0Avg total
39.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.082.6+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.783.0-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.281.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.885.2-0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (14)41.341.282.5+0.129%-
vs Weaker (6)46.841.288.0+5.7100%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.7
55.0%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.2
39.2%
35.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.216.1
79.7%
76.0%16.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.3
55.3%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.817.6
71.0%
76.0%17.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWLWWWWWLW
Tofas
WWLWLWLWWL
#1
League position
#9
+7.5
Net rating
+2.7
116.9
Offensive rating
107.0
109.5
Defensive rating
104.3
56.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.2%
3-point %
35.4%
58.9%
Assist %
74.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 107.0Defence109.5 · 104.3Shooting56.6% · 54.4%3-point %39.2% · 35.4%Ball care15.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds35.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fenerbahce wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
27/09/25Tofas v Fenerbahce80-78
13/04/25Tofas v Fenerbahce88-89
14/12/24Fenerbahce v Tofas90-88
03/03/24Fenerbahce v Tofas109-77
05/11/23Tofas v Fenerbahce86-95
31/05/23Tofas v Fenerbahce87-98
27/05/23Fenerbahce v Tofas93-78
26/03/23Tofas v Fenerbahce94-89
20/11/22Fenerbahce v Tofas82-68
16/04/22Tofas v Fenerbahce78-82
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HValencia82-79
11/01/26HBahcesehir Kol.89-58
08/01/26ADubai81-92
06/01/26HOlympiacos88-80
04/01/26ABesiktas101-87
02/01/26ABaskonia108-93
27/12/25HManisa93-79
23/12/25HBarcelona72-71
20/12/25ATrabzonspor73-99
18/12/25AOlimpia Milano87-72
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HCholet84-82
11/01/26APetkim Spor82-76
09/01/26ACholet86-105
06/01/26HCholet89-75
02/01/26AKarsiyaka101-107 OT
26/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.92-82
20/12/25ABesiktas72-73
16/12/25HTrapani99-93 OT
13/12/25HManisa80-62
09/12/25ABnei Herzliya81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%100%71%
Points / game90.193.286.4
Allowed / game80.480.280.6
Point differential+9.7+13.0+5.9
Avg total170.5173.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW53%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%100%12%
Points / game83.585.481.9
Allowed / game80.673.486.9
Point differential+2.9+12.0-5.0
Avg total164.1158.9168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1513287%90.180.4+9.7
2 Besiktas1613381%85.778.8+6.9
3 Turk Telekom1611569%86.579.1+7.4
4 Trabzonspor1611569%87.082.1+4.9
5 Bahcesehir Kol.1611569%81.979.4+2.5
6 Esenler Erokspor1610662%83.678.1+5.5
7 Anadolu Efes169756%86.881.4+5.4
8 Galatasaray169756%86.284.4+1.9
9 Tofas158753%83.580.6+2.9
10 Merkezefendi1661038%81.486.8-5.4
11 Bursaspor1661038%81.287.1-5.9
12 Petkim Spor1551033%79.987.0-7.1
13 Mersin SK1651131%83.886.4-2.6
14 Manisa1641225%77.384.7-7.4
15 Karsiyaka1531220%79.589.3-9.9
16 Buyukcekmece1621412%80.990.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1926232290
Tofas2315212382
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.