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Tofas vs Bursaspor Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game82.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tofas v Bursaspor
01 Jan 2027
TOF v BUR
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
TOF84
BUR70
03 Nov 2024
TOF94
BUR71
03 Dec 2023
TOF91
BUR85
07 Jan 2023
TOF82
BUR83
06 Mar 2022
TOF83
BUR90
07 Feb 2021
TOF84
BUR77
12 Jan 2020
TOF109
BUR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 79
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
16-22
20-17
18-12
21-10
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
Season at home (4)79.077.8156.8+1.250%
Season away (4)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.086.9166.9-6.914%
vs Similar (10)82.886.1168.9-3.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.584.9174.4+4.577%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 72
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 72
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#9
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 72
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
67avg 72
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
94avg 72
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 72
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 72
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 72
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
59-78
59
78
-19
no box
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
26-25
16-19
18-14
14-16
34-15
18-31
16-22
22-26
17-16
17-22
20-18
26-19
10-20
15-18
18-21
20-20
25-21
21-19
27-28
20-20
16-21
31-28
13-21
15-20
13-23
17-22
19-18
19-21
20-21
18-24
26-20
15-23
21-20
11-16
12-19
15-24
12-21
23-10
21-21
158.7Avg total
76.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.482.6157.0-8.212%
Season at home (4)72.883.0155.8-10.20%
Season away (4)76.082.2158.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)76.082.7158.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)71.482.6154.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.889.6168.4-10.821%
vs Similar (11)85.588.2173.6-2.736%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
TofasBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
vs Similar (10)40.245.986.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.943.388.2+1.654%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.9Avg total
38.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.284.5-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.545.286.8-3.825%-
Last 30 away (14)36.845.181.9-8.314%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.679.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.876.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.645.984.5-7.416%-
vs Similar (11)40.543.884.4-3.327%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.3
55.9%
54.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
75.9%12.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWLWLLWW
Bursaspor
LLLLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#16
-1.4
Net rating
-2.9
92.8
Offensive rating
95.3
94.2
Defensive rating
98.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.2%
3-point %
38.7%
59.8%
Assist %
69.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 95.3Defence94.2 · 98.2Shooting52.7% · 56.9%3-point %29.2% · 38.7%Ball care17.6% · 18.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Tofas   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tofas wins
4
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Bursaspor v Tofas113-115 OT
08/11/25Tofas v Bursaspor84-70
08/03/25Bursaspor v Tofas98-93
03/11/24Tofas v Bursaspor94-71
29/03/24Bursaspor v Tofas89-95
03/12/23Tofas v Bursaspor91-85
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrabzonspor75-61
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABesiktas71-76
07/11/26HFenerbahce59-78
01/11/26HKarsiyaka83-86
23/10/26ACayirova64-83
17/10/26HBahcesehir Kol.80-90
12/10/26AGalatasaray93-88
03/10/26HTurk Telekom69-78
27/09/26ATrabzonspor76-82
10/05/26AKarsiyaka82-84
02/05/26AEsenler Erokspor83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game82.077.886.2
Point differential-1.5+1.2-4.2
Avg total162.5156.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game74.472.876.0
Allowed / game82.683.082.2
Point differential-8.2-10.2-6.2
Avg total157.0155.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce75271%86.979.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes75271%86.079.4+6.6
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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