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Fenerbahce vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 109-77
30-13 32-15 25-23 22-26
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game85.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 21· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Tofas
01 Nov 2026
FEN88
TOF77
18 Jan 2026
FEN90
TOF82
14 Dec 2024
FEN90
TOF88
03 Mar 2024
FEN109
TOF77
27 May 2023
FEN93
TOF78
20 Nov 2022
FEN82
TOF68
19 Dec 2021
FEN82
TOF72
10 Feb 2021
FEN81
TOF84
15 Mar 2020
FEN84
TOF75
24 Mar 2019
FEN89
TOF56
13 Jun 2018
FEN94
TOF64
07 Jun 2018
FEN86
TOF78
05 Jun 2018
FEN103
TOF63
02 May 2018
FEN98
TOF78
24 May 2017
FEN92
TOF76
02 Apr 2017
FEN90
TOF75
01 Oct 2013
FEN87
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
A27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 80
A30/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 80
A02/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 80
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
58avg 80
A09/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
96-75
96
75
+21
100avg 80
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#6
W
81-68
81
68
+13
82avg 80
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#4
W
99-68
99
68
+31
105avg 80
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 80
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
111-96
111
96
+15
112avg 80
H01/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
28-14
23-31
24-32
16-18
23-24
28-14
16-17
25-21
19-15
17-19
8-21
16-19
26-16
19-15
29-24
21-13
9-25
17-19
16-17
20-24
21-16
35-19
20-16
21-22
18-10
23-19
19-17
32-8
29-20
18-18
20-22
26-20
16-15
21-14
17-18
32-34
23-20
23-24
33-18
165.8Avg total
88.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.874.6165.4+16.285%
Season at home (9)95.172.9168.0+22.2100%
Season away (11)87.376.0163.3+11.373%
Last 10 (10)88.277.6165.8+10.680%
Last 5 (5)93.474.8168.2+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)82.680.3162.9+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.777.5168.2+13.280%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
71avg 82
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
86-87
86
87
-1
90avg 82
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 82
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 82
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 82
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 82
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 82
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 82
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 82
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
88avg 82
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
9-15
12-23
26-16
21-13
25-34
25-19
15-21
22-19
18-15
22-15
22-22
24-19
22-27
17-19
18-20
21-17
6-24
18-23
25-25
19-23
28-17
25-20
26-17
29-15
24-20
19-15
21-21
17-23
19-19
22-16
31-33
19-17
23-14
18-16
24-24
21-28
24-10
21-16
18-17
165.7Avg total
85.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.185.4170.5-0.345%
Season at home (10)89.082.3171.3+6.770%
Season away (10)81.288.5169.7-7.320%
Last 10 (10)85.680.1165.7+5.550%
Last 5 (5)89.676.2165.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.193.9172.0-15.70%
vs Similar (16)86.683.6170.1+3.056%
vs Weaker (7)93.979.7173.6+14.171%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
FenerbahceTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#4
W
61-28
61
28
+33
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H01/03
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
44.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.782.5+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.239.685.8+6.669%-
Last 30 away (17)41.838.179.9+3.859%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.381.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.885.4+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)43.242.185.3+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.237.581.8+6.770%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.9Avg total
41.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.984.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.339.985.2+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)41.441.983.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.579.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.281.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.447.486.9-8.00%-
vs Similar (16)44.640.384.9+4.275%-
vs Weaker (7)44.435.780.1+8.786%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.9
60.5%
53.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.8
39.4%
36.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.212.8
79.0%
74.7%12.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.8
52.8%
53.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.4
39.7%
36.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.218.0
74.4%
74.7%18.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWLWLWW
Tofas
WWLWWLLWLL
#1
League position
#11
+16.4
Net rating
+7.9
124.7
Offensive rating
117.0
108.2
Defensive rating
109.1
59.9%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.4%
3-point %
39.7%
72.3%
Assist %
76.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.7 · 117.0Defence108.2 · 109.1Shooting59.9% · 55.8%3-point %39.4% · 39.7%Ball care15.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fenerbahce wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Tofas v Fenerbahce86-95
31/05/23Tofas v Fenerbahce87-98
27/05/23Fenerbahce v Tofas93-78
26/03/23Tofas v Fenerbahce94-89
20/11/22Fenerbahce v Tofas82-68
16/04/22Tofas v Fenerbahce78-82
15/02/22Tofas v Fenerbahce88-93 OT
19/12/21Fenerbahce v Tofas82-72
10/02/21Fenerbahce v Tofas81-84
31/10/20Tofas v Fenerbahce103-104
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24HBaskonia111-96
18/02/24AAnadolu Efes80-67
16/02/24HBesiktas99-68
14/02/24APetkim Spor81-68
11/02/24ASamsunspor96-75
09/02/24APanathinaikos63-74
04/02/24HGalatasaray90-74
02/02/24AMonaco69-76
30/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne83-73
27/01/24ABahcesehir Kol.110-105 OT
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HPetkim Spor84-71
07/02/24HCholet84-71
04/02/24AManisa89-91
31/01/24HStrasbourg93-71
28/01/24HMerkezefendi98-77
24/01/24AUnicaja70-89
20/01/24HBesiktas81-85
16/01/24APAOK84-71
13/01/24ASamsunspor86-87
09/01/24HPAOK87-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %85%100%73%
Points / game90.895.187.3
Allowed / game74.672.976.0
Point differential+16.2+22.2+11.3
Avg total165.4168.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%89%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%70%20%
Points / game85.189.081.2
Allowed / game85.482.388.5
Point differential-0.3+6.7-7.3
Avg total170.5171.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2118386%86.680.4+6.1
2 Fenerbahce2017385%90.874.6+16.2
3 Besiktas2116576%79.673.0+6.5
4 Karsiyaka2114767%88.682.6+6.0
5 Manisa2112957%81.682.3-0.7
6 Petkim Spor21111052%84.081.0+3.0
7 Galatasaray21101148%81.982.3-0.5
8 Darussafaka21101148%80.684.5-3.9
9 Tofas2091145%85.185.4-0.3
10 Turk Telekom2191243%80.580.8-0.3
11 Bahcesehir Kol.2181338%87.688.1-0.6
12 Buyukcekmece2181338%79.382.0-2.6
13 Bursaspor2181338%80.185.3-5.1
14 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor2171433%78.785.2-6.6
15 Merkezefendi2171433%79.686.2-6.6
16 Samsunspor2131814%75.685.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce30322522109
Tofas1315232677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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