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Tofas vs Unicaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-80
28-23 17-20 23-18 8-19
Position#34
Record6-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Unicaja 🏆
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 81
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 81
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 81
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 81
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
88avg 81
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
70avg 81
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 81
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
92avg 81
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
22-27
17-19
18-20
21-17
6-24
18-23
25-25
19-23
28-17
25-20
26-17
29-15
24-20
19-15
21-21
17-23
19-19
22-16
31-33
19-17
23-14
18-16
24-24
21-28
24-10
21-16
18-17
13-30
15-32
23-25
26-22
7-13
20-21
17-23
30-20
17-23
23-28
31-16
22-28
167.9Avg total
84.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.183.2169.2+2.946%
Season at home (6)86.378.8165.2+7.550%
Season away (7)85.986.9172.7-1.043%
Last 10 (10)84.383.6167.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)82.484.6167.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.795.7175.3-16.00%
vs Similar (15)85.782.1167.8+3.553%
vs Weaker (6)92.276.0168.2+16.267%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
W
89-70
89
70
+19
91avg 79
H24/01
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
83-63
83
63
+20
83avg 79
A28/01
ACB
Cholet
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
85avg 79
A31/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
92-86
92
86
+6
90avg 79
H03/02
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
79-70
79
70
+9
74avg 79
A06/02
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 79
A10/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 79
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Bilbao
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
92avg 79
H02/03
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
91-62
91
62
+29
91avg 79
H05/03
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
76-65
76
65
+11
69avg 79
A09/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
24-6
23-18
25-25
19-7
22-18
16-17
26-21
29-22
18-23
14-21
25-8
21-30
26-18
24-22
21-16
20-21
20-13
19-16
20-20
16-18
18-18
31-22
25-20
26-26
23-19
16-21
18-25
25-23
17-22
29-19
30-20
17-11
30-17
24-17
20-17
17-13
17-20
22-13
20-19
161.3Avg total
87.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.571.8155.3+11.780%
Season at home (5)86.467.0153.4+19.4100%
Season away (5)80.676.6157.2+4.060%
Last 10 (10)87.074.3161.3+12.790%
Last 5 (5)88.276.0164.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)85.372.9158.2+12.489%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
TofasUnicaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.1Avg total
39.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.783.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.785.8+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.342.781.0-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.081.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.279.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.249.487.7-11.20%-
vs Similar (15)42.639.482.0+3.267%-
vs Weaker (6)44.735.880.5+8.883%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H24/01
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A28/01
ACB
Cholet
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A31/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H03/02
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/02
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H02/03
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H05/03
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A09/03
ACB
78.8Avg total
42.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.079.9+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.935.180.0+9.786%-
Last 30 away (16)41.138.779.8+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.678.8+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.054.093.0-15.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.0
55.4%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.2
37.7%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.9
75.8%
74.5%17.9
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.4
57.1%
51.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.3
39.5%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.212.3
80.9%
74.5%12.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLWWLWWLL
Unicaja
WWWLWWWWWW
#34
League position
#1
+1.3
Net rating
+17.4
116.4
Offensive rating
117.7
115.2
Defensive rating
100.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
57.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.7%
3-point %
39.5%
75.2%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 117.7Defence115.2 · 100.3Shooting55.9% · 57.9%3-point %37.7% · 39.5%Ball care16.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 33.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Tofas   ■ Unicaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
1
Unicaja wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Unicaja v Tofas89-70
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HAnadolu Efes93-95
06/03/24ACholet74-77
03/03/24AFenerbahce77-109
11/02/24HPetkim Spor84-71
07/02/24HCholet84-71
04/02/24AManisa89-91
31/01/24HStrasbourg93-71
28/01/24HMerkezefendi98-77
24/01/24AUnicaja70-89
20/01/24HBesiktas81-85
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ABreogan76-65
05/03/24HStrasbourg91-62
02/03/24HBilbao101-84
16/02/24HTenerife83-91
10/02/24AObradoiro CAB90-78
06/02/24AStrasbourg79-70
03/02/24HMoraBanc Andorra92-86
31/01/24ACholet86-74
28/01/24AValencia83-63
24/01/24HTofas89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game86.186.385.9
Allowed / game83.278.886.9
Point differential+2.9+7.5-1.0
Avg total169.2165.2172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %23%17%29%
Unicaja
Champions League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game83.586.480.6
Allowed / game71.867.076.6
Point differential+11.7+19.4+4.0
Avg total155.3153.4157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia119282%86.174.2+11.9
2 Unicaja108280%83.571.8+11.7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem108280%85.074.5+10.5
4 Tenerife107370%84.178.5+5.6
5 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
6 Promitheas128467%83.277.8+5.5
7 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
8 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
9 Bonn117464%82.978.0+4.9
10 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
11 Cholet1610662%82.382.6-0.3
12 Ludwigsburg148657%82.878.8+4.0
13 Dijon116555%81.777.7+4.0
14 Galatasaray137654%86.185.5+0.5
15 Hapoel Holon137654%76.876.7+0.2
16 Strasbourg137654%79.081.4-2.4
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
19 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
22 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
23 Peristeri126650%80.283.1-2.8
24 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
25 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Tofas136746%86.183.2+2.9
28 Karsiyaka136746%83.183.2-0.1
29 AEK Athens115645%86.583.3+3.2
30 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas281723876
Unicaja2320181980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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