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Valparaiso vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-72 (OT)
33-34 27-26 19-12
Position#242
Record10-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#291
Record9-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Valparaiso v Indiana State
27 Jan 2027
VALP v INDI
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VALP63
INDI62
15 Feb 2026
VALP76
INDI75
08 Jan 2025
VALP98
INDI95
21 Feb 2024
VALP64
INDI83
01 Jan 2023
VALP50
INDI68
05 Feb 2022
VALP79
INDI72
27 Feb 2021
VALP70
INDI58
26 Feb 2021
VALP43
INDI58
18 Jan 2020
VALP86
INDI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#357
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H22/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A06/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H09/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
A12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-36
38-30
39-31
31-39
22-43
43-49
22-32
38-31
30-22
25-33
26-34
31-40
34-39
38-33
35-40
40-33
22-37
34-34
28-43
27-34
144.7Avg total
69.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.470.5141.9+0.945%
Season at home (13)73.768.2141.9+5.546%
Season away (9)68.073.8141.8-5.844%
Last 10 (10)69.475.3144.7-5.940%
Last 5 (5)65.275.0140.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.269.1131.3-6.911%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.170.0136.1-3.944%
vs Weaker (4)83.062.5145.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland City
#379
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Midway
#624
W
107-51
107
51
+56
H30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A30/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
41-36
53-25
54-26
43-41
33-30
38-30
34-42
33-30
23-34
31-32
24-31
40-35
33-40
41-29
35-43
23-34
29-33
37-42
30-43
141.1Avg total
71.4Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.171.0143.1+1.143%
Season at home (12)74.067.8141.8+6.258%
Season away (9)69.775.2144.9-5.622%
Last 10 (10)71.469.7141.1+1.740%
Last 5 (5)64.672.4137.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.276.2141.4-11.115%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.263.4130.7+3.856%
vs Weaker (6)78.559.5138.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
ValparaisoIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#357
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A06/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H09/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A30/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
30.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.663.2-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.830.962.8+0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)29.134.663.7-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)30.835.766.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)29.038.667.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.031.458.4-4.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.834.764.4-4.919%-
vs Weaker (4)38.830.068.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland City
#379
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Midway
#624
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H03/02
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.468.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.332.569.7+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)32.734.367.1-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.170.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.468.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.337.271.5-2.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.430.362.8+2.156%-
vs Weaker (6)39.531.270.7+8.383%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valparaiso wins
2
Indiana State wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22ASouthern Illinois55-77
27/01/22HBradley56-71
22/01/22AIndiana State75-73
20/01/22HNorthern Iowa83-80 OT
15/01/22HMissouri State57-74
12/01/22ALoyola Chicago74-81 OT
09/01/22HSouthern Illinois60-63
06/01/22ANorthern Iowa65-92
02/01/22HIllinois State81-76 OT
22/12/21HWilliam & Mary88-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/22HDrake67-85
30/01/22ABradley52-67
26/01/22HMissouri State76-72
22/01/22HValparaiso73-75
20/01/22ASouthern Illinois55-63
16/01/22HLoyola Chicago56-64
12/01/22ANorthern Iowa74-80 OT
02/01/22HBradley76-71
30/12/21HMidway107-51
20/12/21HOakland City78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWLLWL46%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %45%46%44%
Points / game71.473.768.0
Allowed / game70.568.273.8
Point differential+0.9+5.5-5.8
Avg total141.9141.9141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %18%23%11%
Indiana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%58%22%
Points / game72.174.069.7
Allowed / game71.067.875.2
Point differential+1.1+6.2-5.6
Avg total143.1141.8144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2321291%81.363.1+18.3
2 Belmont2318578%81.669.5+12.1
3 Drake2417771%75.567.2+8.3
4 Northern Iowa2213959%74.769.6+5.0
5 Bradley24131154%71.865.3+6.5
6 Southern Illinois23111248%63.260.6+2.7
7 Valparaiso22101245%71.470.5+0.9
8 Illinois State23101343%77.476.8+0.7
9 Indiana State2191243%72.171.0+1.1
10 Illinois (Chi.)2181338%70.572.8-2.2
11 Evansville2151624%58.468.9-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Valparaiso33271979
Indiana State34261272
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