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Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 104-96
20-21 32-27 30-27 22-21
Position#5
Record47-22
FormLWWLW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game97.4
vs
Position#10
Record40-31
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game98.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Atlanta Hawks
02 Apr 2027
TOR v ATL
upcoming
26 Feb 2027
TOR v ATL
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
TOR118
ATL100
03 Jan 2026
TOR134
ATL117
29 Dec 2024
TOR107
ATL136
15 Dec 2023
TOR104
ATL125
13 Dec 2023
TOR135
ATL128
14 Jan 2023
TOR103
ATL114
31 Oct 2022
TOR139
ATL109
05 Apr 2022
TOR118
ATL108
04 Feb 2022
TOR125
ATL114
13 Apr 2021
TOR103
ATL108
11 Mar 2021
TOR120
ATL121
10 Apr 2020
TOR v ATL
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
TOR130
ATL114
08 Jan 2019
TOR104
ATL101
06 Mar 2018
TOR106
ATL90
29 Dec 2017
TOR111
ATL98
16 Dec 2016
TOR121
ATL125
03 Dec 2016
TOR128
ATL84
30 Mar 2016
TOR105
ATL97
10 Mar 2016
TOR104
ATL96
16 Jan 2015
TOR89
ATL110
29 Oct 2014
TOR109
ATL102
23 Mar 2014
TOR96
ATL86
12 Feb 2014
TOR104
ATL83
27 Mar 2013
TOR88
ATL107
16 Apr 2012
TOR87
ATL109
31 Jan 2012
TOR77
ATL100
12 Jan 2011
TOR101
ATL104
28 Nov 2010
TOR78
ATL96
17 Mar 2010
TOR106
ATL105
11 Dec 2009
TOR89
ATL111
07 Apr 2009
TOR110
ATL118
28 Nov 2008
TOR93
ATL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
106-116
106
116
-10
A20/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H21/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
122-95
122
95
+27
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
114-105
114
105
+9
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
101-114
101
114
-13
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
117-115
117
115
+2
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
107-113
107
113
-6
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-99
104
99
+5
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-24
23-28
23-37
25-27
22-20
24-23
28-21
24-21
26-28
31-15
29-25
36-27
37-28
24-30
26-28
27-19
21-31
24-18
23-28
31-20
25-23
27-29
20-37
29-25
24-26
28-23
33-25
19-20
31-30
27-22
32-25
27-38
30-26
31-25
24-26
22-36
28-23
14-35
36-22
26-19
210.5Avg total
107.2Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)101.997.4199.3+4.568%
Season at home (35)103.496.4199.8+7.180%
Season away (34)100.398.4198.7+1.956%
Last 10 (10)107.2103.3210.5+3.970%
Last 5 (5)106.6107.0213.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.1100.0205.1+5.181%
vs Weaker (14)106.1100.4206.6+5.771%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
113-90
113
90
+23
A11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
111-115
111
115
-4
H20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
H21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
92-102
92
102
-10
H23/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
105-109 OT
105
109
-4
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
106-77
106
77
+29
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
107-97
107
97
+10
A06/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
25-19
38-25
22-17
19-22
33-30
29-27
30-36
29-31
21-23
18-21
26-19
15-30
24-28
36-18
17-26
26-21
25-23
28-23
24-21
25-9
21-23
22-25
19-19
26-32
22-27
22-16
27-22
26-19
28-17
20-23
32-18
25-37
25-18
30-24
27-18
16-27
25-15
25-15
25-27
197.9Avg total
102.4Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)101.398.6200.0+2.756%
Season at home (34)102.097.6199.7+4.459%
Season away (37)100.799.5200.2+1.254%
Last 10 (10)102.495.5197.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)99.288.6187.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.5105.5204.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)94.897.4192.2-2.650%
vs Weaker (18)107.297.7204.9+9.656%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Toronto RaptorsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A20/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H09/03
NBA
103.9Avg total
53.2Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.449.6104.0+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.349.9104.2+4.476%-
Last 30 away (13)54.649.2103.8+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)53.250.7103.9+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)53.052.4105.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.550.0104.5+4.562%-
vs Weaker (14)54.449.1103.5+5.286%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H23/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A06/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/03
NBA
96.4Avg total
48.4Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.147.396.3+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.747.197.8+3.662%-
Last 30 away (17)47.847.495.2+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)48.448.096.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.892.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.558.5102.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.646.190.7-1.530%-
vs Weaker (18)52.246.798.8+5.567%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.129.9
52.4%
49.0%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.3
36.9%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws28.722.5
78.4%
75.5%22.5
They take 79.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.428.5
52.4%
49.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
35.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.7%
75.5%13.6
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLWWLWWWWL
Atlanta Hawks
WWWLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#10
+4.2
Net rating
+6.9
115.2
Offensive rating
102.1
111.0
Defensive rating
95.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
11.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
18.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.9%
3-point %
34.4%
51.0%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 102.1Defence111.0 · 95.2Shooting53.2% · 52.1%3-point %36.9% · 34.4%Ball care11.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 18.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toronto Raptors wins
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/16HBrooklyn Nets104-99
06/03/16HHouston Rockets107-113
05/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers117-115
03/03/16HUtah Jazz104-94
28/02/16ADetroit Pistons101-114
27/02/16HCleveland Cavaliers99-97
25/02/16HMinnesota Timberwolves114-105
23/02/16ANew York Knicks122-95
21/02/16HMemphis Grizzlies98-85
20/02/16AChicago Bulls106-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/16AUtah Jazz91-84
06/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers107-97
05/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers106-77
02/03/16AGolden State Warriors105-109 OT
28/02/16HCharlotte Hornets87-76
27/02/16HChicago Bulls103-88
23/02/16HGolden State Warriors92-102
21/02/16HMilwaukee Bucks109-117 OT
20/02/16HMiami Heat111-115
11/02/16AChicago Bulls113-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game101.9103.4100.3
Allowed / game97.496.498.4
Point differential+4.5+7.1+1.9
Avg total199.3199.8198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%37%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)62% (13)38% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeLLLWW59%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713437
Win %56%59%54%
Points / game101.3102.0100.7
Allowed / game98.697.699.5
Point differential+2.7+4.4+1.2
Avg total200.0199.7200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)20% (5)40% (10)
Overtime %6%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors70601086%114.0104.3+9.7
2 San Antonio Spurs70561480%103.792.6+11.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder69482170%109.7102.7+7.0
4 Toronto Raptors69472268%101.997.4+4.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers70462466%102.697.8+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers69442564%104.3100.6+3.7
7 Boston Celtics70432761%105.7101.2+4.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies70432761%98.198.1+0.0
9 Charlotte Hornets71422959%102.399.4+2.9
10 Miami Heat72413157%97.997.1+0.8
11 Atlanta Hawks71403156%101.398.6+2.7
12 Indiana Pacers71393255%102.2100.2+2.0
13 Chicago Bulls70363451%101.6102.8-1.2
14 Portland Trail Blazers72373551%103.8102.8+1.0
15 Detroit Pistons72363650%101.8100.0+1.8
16 Houston Rockets72353749%106.0107.0-1.1
17 Washington Wizards69333648%103.2104.6-1.3
18 Dallas Mavericks72333946%101.1102.5-1.4
19 Orlando Magic70323846%100.8102.2-1.4
20 Utah Jazz71323945%97.697.4+0.3
21 Sacramento Kings69303943%106.5108.5-2.0
22 New York Knicks71304142%99.2101.2-2.0
23 Denver Nuggets71304142%101.5103.6-2.0
24 Milwaukee Bucks71294241%99.5103.4-3.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans70274339%102.8105.9-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves72225031%100.8105.7-4.9
27 Phoenix Suns70214930%100.7107.0-6.3
28 Brooklyn Nets69204929%97.8103.9-6.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers72165622%97.6106.6-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers71106114%96.5107.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors20323022104
Atlanta Hawks2127272196
← all games of the day
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