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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 109-117 (OT)
29-31 21-23 18-21 26-19 15-23
Position#10
Record31-25
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game99.9
vs
Position#23
Record22-33
FormLLWWL
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game102.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 94
H28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
76avg 94
A29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
87-105
87
105
-18
72avg 94
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
112-97
112
97
+15
116avg 94
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
124-86
124
86
+38
122avg 94
A04/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
102-96
102
96
+6
98avg 94
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
94-96
94
96
-2
83avg 94
A07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-117 OT
110
117
-7
105avg 94
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
113-90
113
90
+23
107avg 94
A11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
111-115
111
115
-4
106avg 94
H20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
22-26
21-21
17-21
24-27
20-24
31-31
17-29
17-27
17-20
28-28
25-30
27-15
26-31
33-27
26-24
27-17
31-25
30-20
36-24
26-29
24-22
23-21
29-24
19-30
22-18
19-23
34-25
30-18
24-23
29-31
18-29
28-29
25-19
38-25
22-17
19-22
33-30
29-27
30-36
202.6Avg total
102.8Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)102.699.9202.5+2.655%
Season at home (27)103.998.8202.7+5.163%
Season away (29)101.3101.0202.3+0.348%
Last 10 (10)102.899.8202.6+3.040%
Last 5 (5)106.0102.8208.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)97.5100.7198.2-3.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)109.599.7209.2+9.763%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
99-116
99
116
-17
95avg 90
A24/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
107-100
107
100
+7
104avg 90
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
83-103
83
103
-20
73avg 90
A29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
103-107
103
107
-4
94avg 90
H30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
104-111
104
111
-7
97avg 90
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-107
95
107
-12
84avg 90
A03/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
81-84
81
84
-3
67avg 90
A06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
112-111
112
111
+1
102avg 90
H10/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 90
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
95-98
95
98
-3
90avg 90
H20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-30
23-32
25-32
23-30
30-26
29-22
25-22
27-23
14-27
21-26
21-27
28-33
20-22
35-26
20-26
32-25
24-28
18-21
30-37
19-27
30-29
24-23
22-28
19-18
25-22
16-21
21-23
26-30
27-24
40-20
19-37
18-27
37-19
14-24
30-22
25-28
27-24
26-18
17-28
200.7Avg total
97.8Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)98.1102.8200.8-4.740%
Season at home (24)101.3101.2202.5+0.062%
Season away (31)95.6103.9199.5-8.423%
Last 10 (10)97.8102.9200.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)96.498.4194.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)101.6106.0207.6-4.436%
vs Similar (14)98.3101.9200.1-3.643%
vs Weaker (2)104.0106.5210.5-2.550%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A04/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H20/02
NBA
95.3Avg total
48.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.848.499.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.048.5103.5+6.569%-
Last 30 away (17)47.648.496.0-0.741%-
Last 10 (10)48.446.995.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.048.098.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)46.146.892.9-0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)53.649.3102.9+4.363%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A24/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A03/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H10/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H20/02
NBA
101.6Avg total
50.2Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.652.6103.2-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (11)52.251.5103.6+0.727%-
Last 30 away (19)49.753.3103.0-3.632%-
Last 10 (10)50.251.4101.6-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)50.649.6100.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)51.452.9104.3-1.436%-
vs Similar (14)49.152.7101.8-3.621%-
vs Weaker (2)55.550.5106.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.927.4
49.0%
49.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.0
39.1%
35.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
75.5%15.0
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.631.9
49.4%
49.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.65.2
33.3%
35.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.4
76.0%
75.5%18.4
They take 80.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 19% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWLLWWWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLLLLLWL
#10
League position
#23
+3.0
Net rating
-5.3
102.0
Offensive rating
101.2
99.0
Defensive rating
106.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.5%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.1%
3-point %
33.3%
63.8%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 101.2Defence99.0 · 106.5Shooting52.3% · 49.5%3-point %39.1% · 33.3%Ball care16.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds18.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Atlanta Hawks wins
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/16HMiami Heat111-115
11/02/16AChicago Bulls113-90
09/02/16HOrlando Magic110-117 OT
07/02/16AOrlando Magic94-96
06/02/16HIndiana Pacers102-96
04/02/16APhiladelphia 76ers124-86
02/02/16HDallas Mavericks112-97
31/01/16AMiami Heat87-105
29/01/16AIndiana Pacers92-111
28/01/16HLos Angeles Clippers83-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/16HCharlotte Hornets95-98
12/02/16HWashington Wizards99-92
10/02/16HBoston Celtics112-111
06/02/16AUtah Jazz81-84
03/02/16APortland Trail Blazers95-107
02/02/16ASacramento Kings104-111
30/01/16HMiami Heat103-107
29/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies83-103
27/01/16HOrlando Magic107-100
24/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans99-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeLWWLL63%
AwayLLWLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562729
Win %55%63%48%
Points / game102.6103.9101.3
Allowed / game99.998.8101.0
Point differential+2.6+5.1+0.3
Avg total202.5202.7202.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%37%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)25% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %4%4%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552431
Win %40%62%23%
Points / game98.1101.395.6
Allowed / game102.8101.2103.9
Point differential-4.7+0.0-8.4
Avg total200.8202.5199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)67% (9)17% (6)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5348591%115.3103.6+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs5546984%104.992.4+12.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers53391474%102.996.9+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder55401573%109.9101.9+8.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers54361867%104.7100.5+4.2
6 Toronto Raptors53351866%101.997.7+4.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies54322259%98.499.1-0.8
8 Boston Celtics56322457%105.5101.7+3.8
9 Miami Heat54302456%96.496.6-0.2
10 Atlanta Hawks56312555%102.699.9+2.6
11 Indiana Pacers54292554%102.5100.3+2.3
12 Charlotte Hornets54282652%102.0100.8+1.2
13 Chicago Bulls54282652%101.4102.1-0.7
14 Dallas Mavericks56292752%100.9101.8-1.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers55282751%103.1102.0+1.1
16 Utah Jazz54272750%97.996.5+1.4
17 Houston Rockets56282850%105.2106.7-1.5
18 Detroit Pistons55272849%101.5100.9+0.6
19 Washington Wizards53252847%102.6104.7-2.1
20 Orlando Magic53242945%99.6100.9-1.3
21 Sacramento Kings54233143%107.2109.1-1.9
22 New York Knicks56233341%99.1101.4-2.3
23 Denver Nuggets55223340%100.7103.7-3.0
24 Milwaukee Bucks55223340%98.1102.8-4.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans54213339%102.5105.2-2.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves55173831%100.5104.2-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets55154027%96.5103.5-7.0
28 Phoenix Suns55144125%100.5106.9-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers56114520%96.8106.4-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers5484615%95.5105.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Atlanta Hawks2921182615109
Milwaukee Bucks3123211923117
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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