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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 111-115
19-22 33-30 29-27 30-36
Position#10
Record35-27
FormWWLLW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game99.0
vs
Position#9
Record33-28
FormLWWLL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game96.3
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
13 Oct 2025
ATL119
MIA118
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
14 Oct 2021
ATL127
MIA92
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
18 Oct 2015
ATL92
MIA101
15 Jul 2015
ATL75
MIA64
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
07 Oct 2012
ATL92
MIA79
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
21 Oct 2010
ATL98
MIA89
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
119-105
119
105
+14
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
87-105
87
105
-18
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
112-97
112
97
+15
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
124-86
124
86
+38
A04/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
102-96
102
96
+6
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-117 OT
110
117
-7
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
113-90
113
90
+23
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-30
35-20
24-26
29-29
23-17
22-26
21-21
17-21
24-27
20-24
31-31
17-29
17-27
17-20
28-28
25-30
27-15
26-31
33-27
26-24
27-17
31-25
30-20
36-24
26-29
24-22
23-21
29-24
19-30
22-18
19-23
34-25
30-18
24-23
29-31
18-29
28-29
25-19
38-25
22-17
202.4Avg total
103.6Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)101.499.0200.4+2.456%
Season at home (29)102.397.3199.6+5.062%
Season away (33)100.5100.5201.0+0.052%
Last 10 (10)103.698.8202.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)108.697.0205.6+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)97.5100.7198.2-3.250%
vs Weaker (18)108.898.9207.7+9.961%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
102-98
102
98
+4
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
107-103
107
103
+4
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
102-115
102
115
-13
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
H10/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
24-29
23-20
14-21
18-23
31-24
12-21
28-16
24-29
27-28
26-16
25-25
33-28
22-20
26-35
26-20
27-17
20-17
28-28
30-25
31-31
24-29
25-27
22-28
21-21
26-25
27-19
19-25
25-31
22-16
20-26
31-22
19-15
26-31
20-27
28-27
24-20
23-34
28-31
26-34
196.3Avg total
97.1Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)96.096.3192.4-0.354%
Season at home (31)98.296.4194.6+1.958%
Season away (30)93.896.3190.1-2.550%
Last 10 (10)97.199.2196.3-2.160%
Last 5 (5)97.4103.8201.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.7109.7202.3-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)96.396.9193.2-0.653%
vs Weaker (10)97.297.6194.8-0.460%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
66-50
66
50
+16
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A04/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A11/02
NBA
96.5Avg total
49.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.448.298.6+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.948.1102.0+5.869%-
Last 30 away (17)47.648.496.0-0.741%-
Last 10 (10)49.846.796.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)51.246.097.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.848.494.2-2.733%-
vs Weaker (18)53.448.1101.6+5.367%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H10/02
NBA
98.6Avg total
48.7Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.548.797.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.247.595.7+0.742%-
Last 30 away (18)48.749.698.3-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)48.749.998.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)48.250.698.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.751.399.0-3.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.648.697.2+0.147%-
vs Weaker (10)48.548.296.7+0.350%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.728.3
49.9%
49.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.3
37.9%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.716.1
77.8%
75.5%16.1
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀13%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.234.1
50.7%
49.0%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.84.1
27.7%
35.3%12.3
🏀 Free throws22.316.6
74.4%
75.5%16.6
They take 82.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 18% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLWWWLLLW
Miami Heat
LLWWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#9
+4.8
Net rating
-2.2
103.0
Offensive rating
101.2
98.2
Defensive rating
103.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
27.7%
63.7%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 101.2Defence98.2 · 103.4Shooting52.1% · 49.1%3-point %37.9% · 27.7%Ball care15.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds18.9% · 21.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/16AChicago Bulls113-90
09/02/16HOrlando Magic110-117 OT
07/02/16AOrlando Magic94-96
06/02/16HIndiana Pacers102-96
04/02/16APhiladelphia 76ers124-86
02/02/16HDallas Mavericks112-97
31/01/16AMiami Heat87-105
29/01/16AIndiana Pacers92-111
28/01/16HLos Angeles Clippers83-85
26/01/16ADenver Nuggets119-105
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs101-119
07/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers93-100
06/02/16ACharlotte Hornets98-95
04/02/16ADallas Mavericks93-90
03/02/16AHouston Rockets102-115
31/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-87
30/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-103
27/01/16ABrooklyn Nets102-98
26/01/16AChicago Bulls89-84
23/01/16AToronto Raptors81-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622933
Win %56%62%52%
Points / game101.4102.3100.5
Allowed / game99.097.3100.5
Point differential+2.4+5.0+0.0
Avg total200.4199.6201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)25% (4)44% (9)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeLLWLL58%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game96.098.293.8
Allowed / game96.396.496.3
Point differential-0.3+1.9-2.5
Avg total192.4194.6190.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%26%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)78% (9)70% (10)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5951886%114.0103.2+10.9
2 San Antonio Spurs60471378%103.692.4+11.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder59441575%109.6101.4+8.3
4 Toronto Raptors59401968%101.096.4+4.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers60402067%102.097.3+4.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers60392165%104.0100.6+3.4
7 Memphis Grizzlies59362361%97.197.2-0.1
8 Boston Celtics60362460%105.2100.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks62352756%101.499.0+2.4
10 Charlotte Hornets61342756%101.699.4+2.3
11 Indiana Pacers60332755%102.5100.0+2.5
12 Miami Heat61332854%96.096.3-0.3
13 Chicago Bulls61313051%101.1102.4-1.2
14 Portland Trail Blazers61303149%102.7102.0+0.7
15 Utah Jazz60293148%97.696.6+1.0
16 Orlando Magic60293148%99.8100.7-0.9
17 Detroit Pistons63303348%101.7100.3+1.4
18 Houston Rockets63303348%105.3107.0-1.7
19 Washington Wizards59283147%103.2104.7-1.5
20 Dallas Mavericks63293446%99.6101.6-2.0
21 Sacramento Kings59273246%106.5107.9-1.4
22 New York Knicks61263543%99.0101.0-2.0
23 Denver Nuggets61263543%100.4102.6-2.2
24 Milwaukee Bucks60243640%98.5103.0-4.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans60233738%102.3105.3-3.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves61194231%99.8104.2-4.4
27 Phoenix Suns60184230%100.7106.0-5.3
28 Brooklyn Nets60174328%96.7103.0-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers62134921%96.4105.9-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers60105017%95.2105.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks19332930111
Miami Heat22302736115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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