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Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 105-97
25-20 29-21 35-26 16-30
Position#5
Record54-26
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game97.7
vs
Position#10
Record49-33
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game98.5
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Atlanta Hawks
02 Apr 2027
TOR v ATL
upcoming
26 Feb 2027
TOR v ATL
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
TOR118
ATL100
03 Jan 2026
TOR134
ATL117
29 Dec 2024
TOR107
ATL136
15 Dec 2023
TOR104
ATL125
13 Dec 2023
TOR135
ATL128
14 Jan 2023
TOR103
ATL114
31 Oct 2022
TOR139
ATL109
05 Apr 2022
TOR118
ATL108
04 Feb 2022
TOR125
ATL114
13 Apr 2021
TOR103
ATL108
11 Mar 2021
TOR120
ATL121
10 Apr 2020
TOR v ATL
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
TOR130
ATL114
08 Jan 2019
TOR104
ATL101
06 Mar 2018
TOR106
ATL90
29 Dec 2017
TOR111
ATL98
16 Dec 2016
TOR121
ATL125
03 Dec 2016
TOR128
ATL84
30 Mar 2016
TOR105
ATL97
10 Mar 2016
TOR104
ATL96
16 Jan 2015
TOR89
ATL110
29 Oct 2014
TOR109
ATL102
23 Mar 2014
TOR96
ATL86
12 Feb 2014
TOR104
ATL83
27 Mar 2013
TOR88
ATL107
16 Apr 2012
TOR87
ATL109
31 Jan 2012
TOR77
ATL100
12 Jan 2011
TOR101
ATL104
28 Nov 2010
TOR78
ATL96
17 Mar 2010
TOR106
ATL105
11 Dec 2009
TOR89
ATL111
07 Apr 2009
TOR110
ATL118
28 Nov 2008
TOR93
ATL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#9
W
112-104 OT
112
104
+8
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
107-109
107
109
-2
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
107-89
107
89
+18
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
109-112
109
112
-3
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-91
115
91
+24
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
100-119
100
119
-19
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
25-22
17-25
27-26
29-34
23-24
25-26
30-25
22-28
30-21
29-17
26-23
27-25
16-21
20-14
22-25
30-14
25-27
24-33
26-17
30-25
23-30
27-27
25-18
25-25
21-21
16-23
17-22
21-29
37-25
20-25
31-33
20-15
28-21
37-25
30-30
21-27
27-34
26-36
26-22
204.0Avg total
104.0Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)102.297.7199.9+4.568%
Season at home (41)103.797.4201.1+6.478%
Season away (39)100.598.0198.6+2.556%
Last 10 (10)104.0100.0204.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)101.6102.6204.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.0119.0219.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.0100.2205.2+4.875%
vs Weaker (13)106.9100.6207.5+6.369%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
118-114
118
114
+4
A16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
116-98
116
98
+18
H18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
109-97
109
97
+12
H19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
102-117
102
117
-15
H22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
122-101
122
101
+21
A23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
112-95
112
95
+17
A26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
31-19
22-17
24-25
30-17
22-21
37-18
15-19
30-32
31-30
26-26
31-26
33-23
21-25
33-28
29-22
30-16
22-42
30-25
27-14
30-27
29-34
27-28
16-28
22-25
30-31
29-19
41-26
29-21
22-25
24-25
26-19
27-15
29-27
27-32
29-21
22-31
30-14
28-26
22-29
205.1Avg total
108.1Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)102.198.5200.6+3.660%
Season at home (40)102.497.0199.4+5.462%
Season away (42)101.899.9201.7+1.957%
Last 10 (10)108.197.0205.1+11.190%
Last 5 (5)107.8100.6208.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.5105.5204.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)101.598.1199.7+3.460%
vs Weaker (13)108.095.7203.7+12.377%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
Toronto RaptorsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/03
NBA
100.0Avg total
50.8Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.149.7102.7+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.050.5103.5+2.571%-
Last 30 away (13)53.248.6101.8+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)50.849.2100.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.650.4101.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.061.0109.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.348.4101.7+4.975%-
vs Weaker (13)53.250.4103.5+2.869%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A29/03
NBA
103.5Avg total
53.8Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.548.398.8+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.547.598.0+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)50.549.099.5+1.540%-
Last 10 (10)53.849.7103.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)54.050.0104.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.558.5102.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)49.549.598.9+0.027%-
vs Weaker (13)52.845.398.1+7.585%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.127.3
45.4%
49.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
35.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws29.122.1
75.9%
75.5%22.1
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.8
52.5%
49.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.3
36.0%
35.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.916.7
79.9%
75.5%16.7
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLLWWWWLW
Atlanta Hawks
WWWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#10
+4.2
Net rating
+9.1
108.1
Offensive rating
108.4
103.9
Defensive rating
99.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
11.0%
Turnover %
11.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.3%
3-point %
36.0%
50.0%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 108.4Defence103.9 · 99.3Shooting48.5% · 53.0%3-point %37.3% · 36.0%Ball care11.0% · 11.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 17.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toronto Raptors wins
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/16HOklahoma City Thunder100-119
26/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans115-91
26/03/16AHouston Rockets109-112
23/03/16ABoston Celtics79-91
20/03/16HOrlando Magic105-100
18/03/16HBoston Celtics105-91
17/03/16AIndiana Pacers101-94 OT
16/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-89
14/03/16HChicago Bulls107-109
13/03/16HMiami Heat112-104 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/16AChicago Bulls102-100
26/03/16ADetroit Pistons112-95
26/03/16HMilwaukee Bucks101-90
23/03/16AWashington Wizards122-101
22/03/16HWashington Wizards102-117
19/03/16HHouston Rockets109-97
18/03/16HDenver Nuggets116-98
16/03/16ADetroit Pistons118-114
13/03/16HIndiana Pacers104-75
13/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL68%
HomeWLWWL78%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804139
Win %68%78%56%
Points / game102.2103.7100.5
Allowed / game97.797.498.0
Point differential+4.5+6.4+2.5
Avg total199.9201.1198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%34%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (24)60% (15)33% (9)
Overtime %5%2%8%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824042
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game102.1102.4101.8
Allowed / game98.597.099.9
Point differential+3.6+5.4+1.9
Avg total200.6199.4201.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)20% (5)50% (12)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors81701186%114.2104.2+10.0
2 San Antonio Spurs80641680%103.592.8+10.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder80562470%109.7102.1+7.5
4 Toronto Raptors80542668%102.297.7+4.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers81532865%103.198.2+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers79493062%104.0100.9+3.1
7 Charlotte Hornets82503261%102.799.5+3.2
8 Atlanta Hawks82493360%102.198.5+3.6
9 Boston Celtics79473259%105.1101.5+3.6
10 Miami Heat81473458%99.398.0+1.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies80463457%98.299.2-1.0
12 Indiana Pacers81443754%101.8100.1+1.6
13 Detroit Pistons83434052%102.3100.9+1.4
14 Portland Trail Blazers82424051%104.5103.7+0.8
15 Chicago Bulls82414150%101.5103.2-1.8
16 Utah Jazz81404149%97.996.2+1.6
17 Washington Wizards80394149%103.7104.4-0.7
18 Houston Rockets83404348%106.0106.8-0.8
19 Orlando Magic81364544%101.4102.9-1.5
20 Dallas Mavericks81364544%102.0103.6-1.6
21 Denver Nuggets82354743%101.9104.1-2.2
22 Sacramento Kings80344642%106.3108.2-1.8
23 New York Knicks80334741%98.6101.1-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks80324840%99.1103.0-4.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans80305038%102.8106.3-3.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves81275433%101.7106.0-4.3
27 Phoenix Suns80245630%100.7107.2-6.4
28 Brooklyn Nets79235629%98.7104.8-6.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers81176421%97.5106.7-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers82117113%96.9107.3-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors25293516105
Atlanta Hawks2021263097
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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