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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 101-125
19-38 32-27 24-34 26-26
Position#17
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#1
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-98
102
98
+4
95avg 94
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
72avg 94
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 94
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
107-102
107
102
+5
102avg 94
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
99avg 94
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
88avg 94
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
102-99
102
99
+3
97avg 94
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
86-103
86
103
-17
66avg 94
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
123-107
123
107
+16
117avg 94
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-108
107
108
-1
106avg 94
A09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
27-35
26-19
25-26
22-26
25-22
15-34
22-18
31-27
25-31
23-29
20-20
30-24
30-24
25-29
22-25
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
25-37
30-24
33-14
14-24
12-29
32-22
23-26
19-26
42-23
35-29
26-31
20-24
26-26
30-30
20-23
31-29
206.9Avg total
102.5Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)105.7105.6211.3+0.143%
Season at home (1)113.0115.0228.0-2.00%
Season away (6)104.5104.0208.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)102.5104.4206.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)104.0104.4208.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)98.4110.5208.9-12.125%
vs Similar (18)105.6104.9210.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (4)114.2109.0223.2+5.275%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
101-115
101
115
-14
84avg 109
A17/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
77avg 109
H20/06
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-129
100
129
-29
89avg 109
H26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
122-114
122
114
+8
122avg 109
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
106-100
106
100
+6
100avg 109
A30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
127-104
127
104
+23
130avg 109
A02/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
122-96
122
96
+26
118avg 109
H04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
97-117
97
117
-20
88avg 109
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
116-106
116
106
+10
114avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
116-95
116
95
+21
120avg 109
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-31
32-28
28-21
30-35
22-23
27-19
27-33
13-18
20-31
26-33
31-33
23-32
32-22
27-28
33-31
30-33
22-30
33-27
26-21
25-22
34-25
25-28
41-20
27-31
31-32
37-11
30-27
24-26
15-24
34-41
33-28
15-24
28-24
35-25
21-29
32-28
34-15
33-21
17-32
32-27
216.5Avg total
109.6Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)113.2107.6220.9+5.675%
Season at home (4)113.5106.5220.0+7.075%
Season away (4)113.0108.8221.8+4.275%
Last 10 (10)109.6106.9216.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)115.6103.6219.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)103.0103.8206.8-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)114.4106.5220.9+7.975%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/11
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.9Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.253.5107.7+0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.553.0106.5+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)54.854.0108.8+0.831%-
Last 10 (10)54.955.1110.0-0.220%-
Last 5 (5)56.256.4112.6-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)51.554.4105.9-2.912%-
vs Similar (18)54.953.2108.1+1.844%-
vs Weaker (4)56.253.5109.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A17/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H20/06
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A02/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
67-36
67
36
+31
H10/11
NBA
107.6Avg total
55.8Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.053.6107.7+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.849.1105.9+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)50.958.8109.7-7.914%-
Last 10 (10)55.851.8107.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)61.249.2110.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)51.153.3104.4-2.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)56.653.9110.6+2.744%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.629.3
47.6%
50.2%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.6
32.1%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws27.321.1
77.3%
77.0%21.1
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.629.1
55.3%
50.2%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.6
35.6%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
77.0%16.6
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLLWLLW
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWWWLLL
#17
League position
#1
-1.9
Net rating
+2.7
100.7
Offensive rating
108.5
102.6
Defensive rating
105.9
47.7%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.1%
3-point %
35.6%
53.7%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 108.5Defence102.6 · 105.9Shooting47.7% · 54.6%3-point %32.1% · 35.6%Ball care16.1% · 14.8%Off. rebounds25.2% · 20.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies107-108
07/11/16ABoston Celtics123-107
05/11/16ADetroit Pistons86-103
04/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves102-99
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
27/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans107-102
14/04/16APortland Trail Blazers99-107
10/04/16HUtah Jazz84-100
09/04/16HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/16HDallas Mavericks116-95
08/11/16HNew Orleans Pelicans116-106
05/11/16ALos Angeles Lakers97-117
04/11/16HOklahoma City Thunder122-96
02/11/16APortland Trail Blazers127-104
30/10/16APhoenix Suns106-100
29/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans122-114
26/10/16HSan Antonio Spurs100-129
20/06/16HCleveland Cavaliers89-93
17/06/16ACleveland Cavaliers101-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeL0%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %43%0%50%
Points / game105.7113.0104.5
Allowed / game105.6115.0104.0
Point differential+0.1-2.0+0.5
Avg total211.3228.0208.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %14%100%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game113.2113.5113.0
Allowed / game107.6106.5108.8
Point differential+5.6+7.0+4.2
Avg total220.9220.0221.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers87188%105.188.2+16.9
2 Charlotte Hornets76186%105.196.7+8.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers76186%111.4104.4+7.0
4 Atlanta Hawks86275%108.699.2+9.4
5 Golden State Warriors86275%113.2107.6+5.6
6 Oklahoma City Thunder86275%102.699.6+3.0
7 Toronto Raptors75271%102.496.4+6.0
8 San Antonio Spurs85362%102.197.6+4.5
9 Houston Rockets85362%107.9106.8+1.1
10 Chicago Bulls95456%106.2101.4+4.8
11 Utah Jazz95456%98.395.4+2.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers95456%106.9110.8-3.9
13 Milwaukee Bucks84450%103.6102.8+0.9
14 Detroit Pistons84450%98.197.4+0.8
15 Los Angeles Lakers84450%108.6108.5+0.1
16 Indiana Pacers84450%110.0113.2-3.2
17 Memphis Grizzlies84450%97.1102.1-5.0
18 Sacramento Kings94544%98.6101.9-3.3
19 Denver Nuggets73443%105.7105.6+0.1
20 New York Knicks73443%103.3107.9-4.6
21 Boston Celtics73443%107.7112.7-5.0
22 Brooklyn Nets83538%104.4108.0-3.6
23 Orlando Magic83538%94.6104.6-10.0
24 Phoenix Suns93633%107.6113.0-5.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves72529%105.9104.0+1.9
26 Miami Heat72529%96.198.0-1.9
27 Washington Wizards72529%101.4103.7-2.3
28 Dallas Mavericks82625%97.1102.4-5.2
29 New Orleans Pelicans91811%101.6107.7-6.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers7070%94.7107.4-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets19322426101
Golden State Warriors38273426125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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