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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 105-102
33-24 29-25 26-35 17-18
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game99.4
vs
Position#16
Record5-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game104.7
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
06 Oct 2025
TOR108
DEN112
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
14 Jul 2024
TOR84
DEN81
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
10 Jul 2017
TOR82
DEN81
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Oct 2016
TOR106
DEN108
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
18 Jul 2013
TOR95
DEN78
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
21 Oct 2008
TOR94
DEN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H01/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
106-108
106
108
-2
H04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A06/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
119-94
119
94
+25
A14/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A19/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
82-119
82
119
-37
A21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H28/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
18-20
15-15
21-19
15-20
27-14
23-23
14-24
20-22
33-29
25-25
19-17
27-31
27-26
29-25
23-26
21-33
30-29
17-23
30-19
29-31
40-19
26-23
24-21
31-22
30-24
20-22
22-24
23-39
33-26
10-28
16-26
33-23
25-23
28-25
23-20
23-28
17-22
27-21
24-23
190.4Avg total
95.9Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.699.4200.0+1.250%
Season at home (4)100.896.5197.2+4.250%
Season away (4)100.5102.2202.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)95.994.5190.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)100.898.0198.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)95.399.3194.6-4.046%
vs Weaker (5)80.869.2150.0+11.680%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
A04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A08/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
115-124
115
124
-9
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
88-105
88
105
-17
A13/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
128-129 OT
128
129
-1
H15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A19/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
26-27
25-29
26-23
32-37
17-21
23-22
29-17
23-32
30-21
32-32
30-39
26-26
22-26
16-29
24-24
31-34
28-20
30-31
23-27
26-34
33-18
22-21
25-24
28-32
13-27
21-23
25-15
24-17
27-16
26-16
24-26
30-24
30-24
25-29
22-25
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
210.1Avg total
105.4Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)105.4104.7210.1+0.750%
Season at home (3)114.0106.3220.3+7.733%
Season away (7)101.7104.0205.7-2.357%
Last 10 (10)105.4104.7210.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)102.897.2200.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)99.5111.1210.6-11.625%
vs Similar ◀ (13)101.3102.9204.2-1.638%
vs Weaker (9)96.989.7186.6+7.267%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H01/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A06/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A14/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A19/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H28/10
NBA
101.9Avg total
52.3Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.947.595.3+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.444.392.7+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)47.251.698.8-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)52.349.6101.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)56.851.4108.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.051.0104.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)49.551.0100.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (5)39.029.668.6+9.480%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A08/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A13/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A19/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
105.6Avg total
53.1Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.250.1101.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.548.898.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (18)52.451.0103.4+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)53.152.5105.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)53.050.8103.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)51.153.1104.2-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)53.352.8106.2+0.546%-
vs Weaker (9)48.343.691.9+4.867%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.129.7
47.8%
50.2%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.1
29.9%
35.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws25.419.3
76.0%
77.0%19.3
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.330.1
48.3%
50.2%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.0
28.6%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws32.624.2
74.2%
77.0%24.2
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLLLWW
#7
League position
#16
-5.5
Net rating
+0.7
99.4
Offensive rating
99.4
104.9
Defensive rating
98.8
47.1%
Effective FG%
46.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.9%
3-point %
28.6%
44.4%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 99.4Defence104.9 · 98.8Shooting47.1% · 46.8%3-point %29.9% · 28.6%Ball care15.4% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.7% · 28.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toronto Raptors wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/16HCleveland Cavaliers91-94
26/10/16HDetroit Pistons109-91
21/10/16AWashington Wizards82-119
19/10/16ADetroit Pistons103-92
14/10/16ACleveland Cavaliers119-94
06/10/16ALos Angeles Clippers98-104
04/10/16HDenver Nuggets106-108
01/10/16HGolden State Warriors97-93
16/07/16HMinnesota Timberwolves79-81
15/07/16HGolden State Warriors75-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
27/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans107-102
22/10/16HDallas Mavericks101-75
19/10/16AOklahoma City Thunder87-97
17/10/16APortland Trail Blazers106-97
15/10/16HGolden State Warriors128-129 OT
13/10/16AMinnesota Timberwolves88-105
10/10/16ALos Angeles Lakers115-124
08/10/16ALos Angeles Lakers101-97
04/10/16AToronto Raptors108-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game100.6100.8100.5
Allowed / game99.496.5102.2
Point differential+1.2+4.2-1.8
Avg total200.0197.2202.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %50%33%57%
Points / game105.4114.0101.7
Allowed / game104.7106.3104.0
Point differential+0.7+7.7-2.3
Avg total210.1220.3205.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %20%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs108280%101.893.1+8.7
2 Golden State Warriors108280%111.7105.4+6.3
3 Atlanta Hawks97278%100.490.7+9.8
4 Oklahoma City Thunder75271%105.9101.1+4.7
5 Boston Celtics107370%106.0101.4+4.6
6 Houston Rockets96367%112.4108.1+4.3
7 Memphis Grizzlies96367%106.9102.7+4.2
8 New York Knicks85362%106.5107.9-1.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers85362%94.299.5-5.2
10 Portland Trail Blazers106460%104.5104.2+0.3
11 Detroit Pistons95456%95.890.2+5.6
12 Chicago Bulls95456%105.9101.3+4.6
13 Minnesota Timberwolves95456%100.796.7+4.0
14 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%103.0101.9+1.1
15 Toronto Raptors84450%100.699.4+1.2
16 Denver Nuggets105550%105.4104.7+0.7
17 Sacramento Kings84450%102.8102.8+0.0
18 Charlotte Hornets105550%94.498.4-4.0
19 Miami Heat115645%103.199.1+4.0
20 Washington Wizards94544%104.9101.9+3.0
21 Utah Jazz94544%95.895.3+0.4
22 Indiana Pacers94544%107.6108.3-0.8
23 Phoenix Suns94544%102.8105.3-2.6
24 Milwaukee Bucks94544%92.099.0-7.0
25 Los Angeles Lakers113827%104.7107.4-2.6
26 Brooklyn Nets92722%103.8110.3-6.6
27 Philadelphia 76ers92722%93.8106.3-12.6
28 Dallas Mavericks102820%96.9104.9-8.0
29 Orlando Magic102820%96.8106.4-9.6
30 New Orleans Pelicans91811%103.1110.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors33292617105
Denver Nuggets24253518102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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