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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 96-87
25-27 27-19 23-26 21-15
Position#7
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Position#13
Record6-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game98.8
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
15 Jan 2027
TOR v MIA
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
TOR105
MIA129
09 Apr 2026
TOR128
MIA114
07 Apr 2026
TOR121
MIA95
21 Feb 2025
TOR111
MIA120
01 Dec 2024
TOR119
MIA116
17 Jan 2024
TOR121
MIA97
06 Dec 2023
TOR103
MIA112
28 Mar 2023
TOR106
MIA92
16 Nov 2022
TOR112
MIA104
15 Jul 2022
TOR88
MIA78
03 Apr 2022
TOR109
MIA114
01 Feb 2022
TOR110
MIA106
22 Jan 2021
TOR101
MIA81
20 Jan 2021
TOR102
MIA111
18 Dec 2020
TOR105
MIA117
03 Dec 2019
TOR110
MIA121
07 Apr 2019
TOR117
MIA109
25 Nov 2018
TOR125
MIA115
13 Feb 2018
TOR115
MIA112
09 Jan 2018
TOR89
MIA90
07 Apr 2017
TOR96
MIA94
04 Nov 2016
TOR96
MIA87
15 May 2016
TOR116
MIA89
11 May 2016
TOR99
MIA91
05 May 2016
TOR96
MIA92
03 May 2016
TOR96
MIA102
12 Mar 2016
TOR112
MIA104
22 Jan 2016
TOR101
MIA81
13 Mar 2015
TOR102
MIA92
29 Nov 2013
TOR83
MIA90
05 Nov 2013
TOR95
MIA104
13 Jul 2013
TOR72
MIA81
17 Mar 2013
TOR91
MIA108
03 Feb 2013
TOR85
MIA100
30 Mar 2012
TOR101
MIA113
13 Apr 2011
TOR79
MIA97
16 Feb 2011
TOR95
MIA103
27 Jan 2010
TOR111
MIA103
20 Nov 2009
TOR120
MIA113
06 Mar 2009
TOR102
MIA108
16 Nov 2008
TOR107
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H01/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
106-108
106
108
-2
H04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A06/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
119-94
119
94
+25
A14/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A19/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
82-119
82
119
-37
A21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H28/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
H31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
113-103
113
103
+10
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
33-29
25-25
19-17
27-31
27-26
29-25
23-26
21-33
30-29
17-23
30-19
29-31
40-19
26-23
24-21
31-22
30-24
20-22
22-24
23-39
33-26
10-28
16-26
33-23
25-23
28-25
23-20
23-28
17-22
27-21
24-23
33-24
29-25
26-35
17-18
27-29
27-27
30-19
29-28
202.3Avg total
102.3Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)102.3100.0202.3+2.360%
Season at home (5)101.697.6199.2+4.060%
Season away (5)103.0102.4205.4+0.660%
Last 10 (10)102.3100.0202.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)100.0101.8201.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)96.799.5196.2-2.950%
vs Weaker (5)80.869.2150.0+11.680%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A15/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
96-101
96
101
-5
H15/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
107-77
107
77
+30
H18/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A20/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
110-113
110
113
-3
H21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
108-96
108
96
+12
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-106
99
106
-7
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
108-96 OT
108
96
+12
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
28-33
38-17
28-24
30-24
25-24
33-20
20-32
21-27
37-24
18-32
20-18
27-19
29-27
20-16
31-15
19-33
24-21
29-20
16-22
32-27
30-27
26-32
22-27
23-27
27-26
30-16
28-27
23-21
34-25
20-27
14-24
19-24
25-28
28-25
27-29
28-26
26-24
19-17
18-24
201.8Avg total
103.6Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)103.598.8202.3+4.750%
Season at home (8)104.099.9203.9+4.138%
Season away (4)102.596.8199.2+5.875%
Last 10 (10)103.698.2201.8+5.450%
Last 5 (5)103.2101.6204.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.290.2181.5+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)87.792.1179.8-4.429%
vs Weaker (9)98.282.9181.1+15.389%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H01/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A06/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A14/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A19/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H28/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A02/11
NBA
109.0Avg total
55.8Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.647.095.6+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.043.692.6+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)48.151.599.6-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)55.853.2109.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)54.053.2107.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.051.0104.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)50.450.5100.9-0.154%-
vs Weaker (5)39.029.668.6+9.480%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H15/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H18/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A20/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/11
NBA
104.7Avg total
53.4Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.790.9+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.945.493.3+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.343.988.2+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)53.451.3104.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)53.451.0104.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.846.890.5-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.544.689.2-0.141%-
vs Weaker (9)50.444.094.4+6.478%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 102.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.931.8
49.8%
50.2%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.4
31.5%
35.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws25.219.5
77.4%
77.0%19.5
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.728.5
49.4%
50.2%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.1
36.5%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.016.3
67.9%
77.0%16.3
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWLWLWWLLW
Miami Heat
WLLWLLWLWW
#7
League position
#13
+2.3
Net rating
+5.4
104.2
Offensive rating
103.2
101.9
Defensive rating
97.8
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.5%
3-point %
36.5%
43.7%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 103.2Defence101.9 · 97.8Shooting49.2% · 51.1%3-point %31.5% · 36.5%Ball care14.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.6% · 21.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toronto Raptors wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/16AWashington Wizards113-103
31/10/16HDenver Nuggets105-102
28/10/16HCleveland Cavaliers91-94
26/10/16HDetroit Pistons109-91
21/10/16AWashington Wizards82-119
19/10/16ADetroit Pistons103-92
14/10/16ACleveland Cavaliers119-94
06/10/16ALos Angeles Clippers98-104
04/10/16HDenver Nuggets106-108
01/10/16HGolden State Warriors97-93
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/16HSacramento Kings108-96 OT
30/10/16HSan Antonio Spurs99-106
29/10/16HCharlotte Hornets91-97
26/10/16AOrlando Magic108-96
21/10/16HPhiladelphia 76ers110-113
20/10/16ACharlotte Hornets88-96
18/10/16HOrlando Magic107-77
15/10/16HMinnesota Timberwolves96-101
15/10/16ASan Antonio Spurs108-100
11/10/16HBrooklyn Nets121-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game102.3101.6103.0
Allowed / game100.097.6102.4
Point differential+2.3+4.0+0.6
Avg total202.3199.2205.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%20%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %50%38%75%
Points / game103.5104.0102.5
Allowed / game98.899.996.8
Point differential+4.7+4.1+5.8
Avg total202.3203.9199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1210283%113.8104.5+9.3
2 San Antonio Spurs118373%100.894.3+6.5
3 Atlanta Hawks128467%101.594.1+7.4
4 Boston Celtics128467%107.4103.5+3.9
5 Oklahoma City Thunder96367%102.4101.4+1.0
6 Houston Rockets117464%113.6109.1+4.5
7 Cleveland Cavaliers117464%107.5105.4+2.2
8 Memphis Grizzlies117464%102.8102.1+0.7
9 Toronto Raptors106460%102.3100.0+2.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers106460%95.397.9-2.6
11 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%101.995.6+6.3
12 Chicago Bulls116555%106.5100.6+5.8
13 Detroit Pistons116555%96.891.8+5.0
14 Utah Jazz116555%96.893.6+3.2
15 Charlotte Hornets116555%95.797.9-2.2
16 Milwaukee Bucks116555%97.3101.0-3.7
17 Miami Heat126650%103.598.8+4.7
18 Denver Nuggets126650%104.8104.2+0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers126650%105.3107.2-1.9
20 New York Knicks105550%104.0108.3-4.3
21 Washington Wizards115645%103.8102.0+1.8
22 Indiana Pacers115645%108.2109.8-1.6
23 Phoenix Suns115645%103.7107.2-3.5
24 Sacramento Kings114736%100.6103.5-2.8
25 Orlando Magic124833%97.8104.9-7.2
26 Los Angeles Lakers134931%106.4108.6-2.2
27 Brooklyn Nets113827%102.8110.2-7.4
28 Dallas Mavericks112918%95.5104.2-8.7
29 Philadelphia 76ers112918%94.4106.3-11.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans111109%102.2108.8-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors2527232196
Miami Heat2719261587
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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