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Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-107
19-23 18-32 34-14 24-38
Position#2
Record49-19
FormWLWWL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game108.6
vs
Position#5
Record41-26
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game110.7
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Houston Rockets
20 Dec 2026
TOR v HOU
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
TOR121
HOU139
22 Dec 2024
TOR110
HOU114
09 Feb 2024
TOR107
HOU104
09 Nov 2022
TOR116
HOU109
08 Apr 2022
TOR117
HOU115
11 Oct 2021
TOR107
HOU92
12 Aug 2021
TOR92
HOU76
26 Feb 2021
TOR122
HOU111
24 Jul 2020
TOR94
HOU83
05 Dec 2019
TOR109
HOU119
08 Oct 2019
TOR134
HOU129
05 Mar 2019
TOR95
HOU107
09 Mar 2018
TOR108
HOU105
08 Jan 2017
TOR122
HOU129
06 Mar 2016
TOR107
HOU113
30 Mar 2015
TOR99
HOU96
02 Apr 2014
TOR107
HOU103
16 Dec 2012
TOR103
HOU96
07 Mar 2012
TOR116
HOU98
19 Nov 2010
TOR106
HOU96
13 Dec 2009
TOR101
HOU88
15 Oct 2009
TOR112
HOU124
02 Jan 2009
TOR94
HOU73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
119-107
119
107
+12
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
119-101
119
101
+18
A08/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
104-99
104
99
+5
A10/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
127-125
127
125
+2
H12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
129-120
129
120
+9
H14/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
120-117
120
117
+3
H23/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
98-113
98
113
-15
H24/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
118-95
118
95
+23
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
119-117
119
117
+2
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
107-112 OT
107
112
-5
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-28
32-27
28-27
19-25
22-33
38-35
28-17
31-16
25-23
21-19
28-27
30-30
21-29
35-31
36-32
35-33
30-26
29-39
44-28
26-27
26-23
29-33
33-35
32-26
15-25
35-28
21-27
27-33
30-32
36-13
29-23
23-27
31-24
30-30
32-30
26-33
19-24
26-24
33-25
22-27
226.6Avg total
116.0Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)114.3108.6222.9+5.772%
Season at home (35)115.8107.3223.2+8.583%
Season away (33)112.6110.0222.6+2.761%
Last 10 (10)116.0110.6226.6+5.480%
Last 5 (5)112.4110.8223.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)113.5112.3225.7+1.255%
vs Weaker (19)113.6110.1223.7+3.579%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
127-101
127
101
+26
A07/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
112-117
112
117
-5
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-104
120
104
+16
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
111-121
111
121
-10
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
106-111
106
111
-5
A22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
118-112
118
112
+6
A24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
119-111
119
111
+8
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
118-113
118
113
+5
A28/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
121-118
121
118
+3
H01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
115-104
115
104
+11
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
44-17
28-29
23-27
28-25
42-23
20-42
22-27
25-22
39-28
28-28
28-26
29-28
29-24
26-35
27-34
32-22
26-30
32-31
16-28
35-20
26-34
31-32
26-26
39-28
21-32
35-25
24-26
41-33
21-36
28-25
28-19
33-32
22-37
31-29
35-20
33-23
32-20
35-35
15-26
227.9Avg total
116.7Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)113.5110.7224.3+2.861%
Season at home (33)116.8112.4229.2+4.470%
Season away (34)110.4109.2219.5+1.253%
Last 10 (10)116.7111.2227.9+5.570%
Last 5 (5)118.2111.6229.8+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)109.0116.0225.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)117.6116.1233.7+1.564%
vs Weaker (18)118.7112.5231.2+6.272%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
Toronto RaptorsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A08/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A10/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H14/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H23/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H24/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A03/03
NBA
111.6Avg total
57.0Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.255.9112.0+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.053.6110.6+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)55.258.4113.6-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)57.054.6111.6+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)55.451.2106.6+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)58.558.3116.7+0.236%-
vs Weaker (19)54.854.5109.3+0.447%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A07/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A28/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A03/03
NBA
117.1Avg total
62.9Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.456.7117.2+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.155.9117.0+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)59.757.6117.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)62.954.2117.1+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)60.659.0119.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.054.0114.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)61.558.9120.4+2.564%-
vs Weaker (18)59.855.6115.4+4.361%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.029.6
51.9%
51.7%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.4
37.6%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.621.0
82.0%
76.6%21.0
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.6
54.9%
51.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.017.4
36.2%
35.4%52.2
🏀 Free throws22.619.1
84.5%
76.6%19.1
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 48.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWWLWWWWWW
Houston Rockets
WWWWWLLWLW
#2
League position
#5
+7.8
Net rating
+5.2
113.5
Offensive rating
115.0
105.7
Defensive rating
109.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
11.2%
Turnover %
11.6%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.6%
3-point %
36.2%
67.6%
Assist %
55.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 115.0Defence105.7 · 109.7Shooting53.6% · 54.6%3-point %37.6% · 36.2%Ball care11.2% · 11.6%Off. rebounds21.8% · 21.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19ADetroit Pistons107-112 OT
02/03/19HPortland Trail Blazers119-117
27/02/19HBoston Celtics118-95
24/02/19HOrlando Magic98-113
23/02/19HSan Antonio Spurs120-117
14/02/19HWashington Wizards129-120
12/02/19HBrooklyn Nets127-125
10/02/19ANew York Knicks104-99
08/02/19AAtlanta Hawks119-101
06/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers119-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19ABoston Celtics115-104
01/03/19HMiami Heat121-118
28/02/19ACharlotte Hornets118-113
26/02/19HAtlanta Hawks119-111
24/02/19AGolden State Warriors118-112
22/02/19ALos Angeles Lakers106-111
14/02/19AMinnesota Timberwolves111-121
12/02/19HDallas Mavericks120-104
10/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
07/02/19ASacramento Kings127-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL72%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %72%83%61%
Points / game114.3115.8112.6
Allowed / game108.6107.3110.0
Point differential+5.7+8.5+2.7
Avg total222.9223.2222.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%49%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (20)70% (10)60% (10)
Overtime %7%3%12%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %61%70%53%
Points / game113.5116.8110.4
Allowed / game110.7112.4109.2
Point differential+2.8+4.4+1.2
Avg total224.3229.2219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)70% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks68511775%117.7108.2+9.6
2 Toronto Raptors68491972%114.3108.6+5.7
3 Denver Nuggets67452267%111.9107.0+4.9
4 Golden State Warriors68452366%118.1112.2+5.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers67432464%115.6112.3+3.3
6 Indiana Pacers69442564%108.4103.7+4.7
7 Oklahoma City Thunder67422563%114.9110.3+4.5
8 Portland Trail Blazers68422662%113.6109.8+3.8
9 Houston Rockets67412661%113.5110.7+2.8
10 Utah Jazz66392759%110.7106.5+4.2
11 Los Angeles Clippers69402958%114.1112.7+1.4
12 Boston Celtics68392957%111.4106.8+4.6
13 San Antonio Spurs70393156%111.6110.4+1.2
14 Brooklyn Nets70353550%111.5112.2-0.8
15 Detroit Pistons67333449%107.2107.7-0.5
16 Charlotte Hornets68333549%111.4111.6-0.1
17 Sacramento Kings68333549%113.3115.5-2.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers70333747%112.3113.9-1.6
19 Miami Heat69323746%106.6107.1-0.5
20 Orlando Magic70313944%105.3106.4-1.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves68303844%112.3113.6-1.3
22 Washington Wizards67293843%114.0116.4-2.4
23 Dallas Mavericks66283842%108.3109.9-1.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans71304142%115.8115.7+0.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies70274339%101.5104.4-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks70244634%112.3118.8-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls70205029%104.7112.0-7.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers68185026%103.8113.1-9.3
29 New York Knicks69165323%106.2113.9-7.8
30 Phoenix Suns69155422%106.2115.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors1918342495
Houston Rockets23321438107
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