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Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 122-115
30-28 29-34 27-30 36-23
Position#11
Record36-28
FormLLWLL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#16
Record39-26
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Phoenix Suns
13 Jan 2027
TOR v PHX
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
TOR122
PHX115
23 Feb 2025
TOR127
PHX109
29 Nov 2023
TOR112
PHX105
30 Dec 2022
TOR113
PHX104
11 Jan 2022
TOR95
PHX99
26 Mar 2021
TOR100
PHX104
21 Feb 2020
TOR118
PHX101
17 Jan 2019
TOR111
PHX109
05 Dec 2017
TOR126
PHX113
22 Jan 2017
TOR103
PHX115
29 Nov 2015
TOR102
PHX107
24 Nov 2014
TOR104
PHX100
16 Mar 2014
TOR113
PHX121
30 Nov 2012
TOR101
PHX97
25 Feb 2011
TOR92
PHX110
29 Nov 2009
TOR94
PHX113
18 Jan 2009
TOR113
PHX117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
110-101
110
101
+9
100avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-94
122
94
+28
118avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
107-116
107
116
-9
98avg 106
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
107-110
107
110
-3
94avg 106
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
134-125
134
125
+9
132avg 106
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
95-111
95
111
-16
85avg 106
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
107-115
107
115
-8
98avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
122-92
122
92
+30
121avg 106
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
99-113
99
113
-14
85avg 106
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
111-122
111
122
-11
94avg 106
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
28-22
34-33
23-23
22-27
38-24
32-22
30-21
32-25
19-35
29-38
27-18
29-30
30-27
31-21
17-32
25-33
36-31
37-28
36-33
31-32
27-36
24-19
13-24
27-31
27-24
22-35
31-25
36-29
21-15
31-22
34-26
29-29
20-29
34-28
16-27
30-29
28-31
25-33
28-29
221.3Avg total
111.4Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)113.6111.8225.4+1.856%
Season at home (32)113.4111.8225.2+1.653%
Season away (32)113.8111.8225.7+2.059%
Last 10 (10)111.4109.9221.3+1.540%
Last 5 (5)106.8110.6217.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.3113.6215.9-11.314%
vs Similar ◀ (13)114.2114.2228.4-0.146%
vs Weaker (10)118.8105.5224.3+13.390%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
W
113-110 OT
113
110
+3
91avg 102
H21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
77-92
77
92
-15
62avg 102
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 102
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
113-110
113
110
+3
103avg 102
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
114-103
114
103
+11
112avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
103-105
103
105
-2
90avg 102
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 102
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 102
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
129-114
129
114
+15
128avg 102
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
113avg 102
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
22-26
34-22
19-23
20-20
20-27
17-24
20-21
26-21
20-29
11-30
24-17
22-27
27-22
31-31
33-30
22-30
37-25
31-20
24-28
20-24
30-31
27-28
26-22
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
28-30
32-28
21-19
30-22
36-30
26-35
38-32
29-17
36-36
31-25
29-27
27-20
213.6Avg total
108.2Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)112.9110.6223.4+2.360%
Season at home (35)111.2108.0219.2+3.363%
Season away (30)114.8113.6228.4+1.157%
Last 10 (10)108.2105.4213.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)116.8108.4225.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)103.0109.1212.1-6.143%
vs Similar ◀ (13)108.1110.3218.4-2.246%
vs Weaker (10)116.8106.7223.5+10.190%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
Toronto RaptorsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A12/03
NBA
112.2Avg total
56.0Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.7112.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.057.5115.5+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)56.353.9110.1+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)56.056.2112.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)55.257.0112.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.059.6114.6-4.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.455.3113.7+3.162%-
vs Weaker (10)57.053.5110.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A12/03
NBA
107.7Avg total
53.4Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.556.7113.3-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.754.1107.8-0.344%-
Last 30 away (12)60.860.8121.5+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)53.454.3107.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)59.458.2117.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.059.1116.1-2.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.856.6108.5-4.823%-
vs Weaker (10)62.355.2117.5+7.180%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.730.1
54.0%
54.8%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.8
34.1%
35.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.818.8
79.0%
78.1%18.8
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.4
50.3%
54.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.316.4
36.2%
35.8%49.2
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
78.1%14.2
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLWLLWLLWW
Phoenix Suns
WWWWLWWLLW
#11
League position
#16
+1.5
Net rating
+2.9
111.5
Offensive rating
111.5
110.0
Defensive rating
108.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.4%
Turnover %
12.5%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.1%
3-point %
36.2%
63.8%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 111.5Defence110.0 · 108.6Shooting53.0% · 52.3%3-point %34.1% · 36.2%Ball care11.4% · 12.5%Off. rebounds22.0% · 31.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans111-122
11/03/26AHouston Rockets99-113
08/03/26HDallas Mavericks122-92
06/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves107-115
04/03/26HNew York Knicks95-111
01/03/26AWashington Wizards134-125
26/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs107-110
25/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder107-116
22/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-94
20/02/26AChicago Bulls110-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AIndiana Pacers123-108
11/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks129-114
09/03/26HCharlotte Hornets111-99
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
06/03/26HChicago Bulls103-105
04/03/26ASacramento Kings114-103
27/02/26HLos Angeles Lakers113-110
25/02/26HBoston Celtics81-97
23/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers77-92
21/02/26HOrlando Magic113-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL56%
HomeLLLLW53%
AwayWWLLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %56%53%59%
Points / game113.6113.4113.8
Allowed / game111.8111.8111.8
Point differential+1.8+1.6+2.0
Avg total225.4225.2225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%34%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (10)100% (2)
Overtime %6%9%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLWLWW63%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653530
Win %60%63%57%
Points / game112.9111.2114.8
Allowed / game110.6108.0113.6
Point differential+2.3+3.3+1.1
Avg total223.4219.2228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)64% (14)29% (7)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder65511478%118.4108.0+10.4
2 Detroit Pistons65471872%117.2109.6+7.6
3 San Antonio Spurs64461872%118.8111.9+6.9
4 Boston Celtics66432365%114.3107.1+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers65412463%116.3114.9+1.4
6 New York Knicks65402562%117.0111.0+6.0
7 Houston Rockets65402562%114.2110.0+4.3
8 Denver Nuggets67412661%120.6116.5+4.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers66402661%118.8114.8+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves66402661%118.6115.1+3.4
11 Phoenix Suns65392660%112.9110.6+2.3
12 Miami Heat66382858%120.7116.5+4.1
13 Orlando Magic63362757%115.5113.8+1.7
14 Toronto Raptors64362856%113.6111.8+1.8
15 Atlanta Hawks66353153%117.7116.9+0.8
16 Philadelphia 76ers66353153%115.8116.5-0.7
17 Los Angeles Clippers65333251%113.4112.6+0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets67343351%115.7112.3+3.4
19 Golden State Warriors65323349%115.2114.2+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers66313547%115.1117.8-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks65273842%111.0115.9-4.9
22 Chicago Bulls66273941%115.9120.2-4.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies65234235%115.8118.3-2.5
24 Dallas Mavericks66224433%113.1117.7-4.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans67224533%115.6120.0-4.4
26 Utah Jazz66204630%117.4125.0-7.6
27 Brooklyn Nets66174926%106.9115.8-8.9
28 Washington Wizards65164925%112.8123.9-11.0
29 Sacramento Kings67165124%110.6120.9-10.2
30 Indiana Pacers66155123%111.3120.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors30292736122
Phoenix Suns28343023115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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