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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 114-129
30-36 35-26 32-38 17-29
Position#21
Record30-37
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game115.4
vs
Position#14
Record40-27
FormWWLWW
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game110.3
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns
18 Dec 2026
MIL v PHX
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MIL114
PHX129
01 Apr 2025
MIL133
PHX123
17 Mar 2024
MIL140
PHX129
26 Feb 2023
MIL104
PHX101
06 Mar 2022
MIL132
PHX122
20 Jul 2021
MIL105
PHX98
14 Jul 2021
MIL109
PHX103
11 Jul 2021
MIL120
PHX100
19 Apr 2021
MIL127
PHX128
02 Feb 2020
MIL129
PHX108
23 Nov 2018
MIL114
PHX116
22 Jan 2018
MIL109
PHX105
26 Feb 2017
MIL100
PHX96
30 Mar 2016
MIL105
PHX94
06 Jan 2015
MIL96
PHX102
29 Jan 2014
MIL117
PHX126
08 Jan 2013
MIL108
PHX99
07 Feb 2012
MIL105
PHX107
04 Mar 2011
MIL88
PHX102
03 Apr 2010
MIL107
PHX98
08 Nov 2008
MIL96
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
139-118
139
118
+21
133avg 104
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
94-122
94
122
-28
82avg 104
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
128-117
128
117
+11
119avg 104
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
118-116
118
116
+2
112avg 104
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
98-127
98
127
-29
89avg 104
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
97-120
97
120
-23
84avg 104
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-108
81
108
-27
71avg 104
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
113-131
113
131
-18
107avg 104
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
113-99
113
99
+14
112avg 104
H08/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
91-130
91
130
-39
77avg 104
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-38
38-27
32-31
36-22
27-22
24-38
22-32
21-30
30-29
33-29
26-35
39-24
33-33
29-30
31-31
25-22
30-38
27-39
26-26
15-24
32-30
34-21
23-36
8-33
20-30
23-27
22-26
16-25
38-25
33-41
18-32
24-33
24-13
27-31
32-32
30-23
15-25
40-42
15-33
21-30
226.0Avg total
107.2Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)111.3115.4226.7-4.145%
Season at home (34)113.5117.4230.9-3.947%
Season away (33)109.0113.5222.5-4.542%
Last 10 (10)107.2118.8226.0-11.640%
Last 5 (5)99.0117.6216.6-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)105.4117.0222.5-11.633%
vs Similar (6)121.0114.7235.7+6.383%
vs Weaker (3)109.0107.0216.0+2.033%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
109-136
109
136
-27
100avg 102
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
94-121
94
121
-27
74avg 102
A20/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
W
113-110 OT
113
110
+3
91avg 102
H21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
77-92
77
92
-15
62avg 102
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 102
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
113-110
113
110
+3
103avg 102
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
114-103
114
103
+11
112avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
103-105
103
105
-2
90avg 102
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 102
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 102
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
27-38
28-37
29-24
25-30
24-31
22-37
23-23
21-25
22-26
34-22
19-23
20-20
20-27
17-24
20-21
26-21
20-29
11-30
24-17
22-27
27-22
31-31
33-30
22-30
37-25
31-20
24-28
20-24
30-31
27-28
26-22
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
28-30
32-28
21-19
30-22
212.2Avg total
103.3Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)112.6110.3222.8+2.360%
Season at home (38)111.8108.4220.2+3.363%
Season away (29)113.6112.7226.3+0.955%
Last 10 (10)103.3108.9212.2-5.650%
Last 5 (5)111.8106.6218.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)103.6108.6212.2-5.050%
vs Similar (14)107.3109.6216.9-2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)114.5105.6220.1+8.988%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
Milwaukee BucksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H08/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H09/03
NBA
119.8Avg total
59.0Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.358.7115.1-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.161.2117.3-5.131%-
Last 30 away (14)56.655.9112.5+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)59.060.8119.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)57.257.0114.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.360.3114.7-6.033%-
vs Similar (6)63.754.8118.5+8.883%-
vs Weaker (3)55.755.3111.0+0.333%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-75
52
75
-23
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A20/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H09/03
NBA
105.9Avg total
50.6Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.656.0111.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (19)53.153.8106.9-0.742%-
Last 30 away (11)60.059.7119.7+0.355%-
Last 10 (10)50.655.3105.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)55.253.8109.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)55.157.9113.0-2.838%-
vs Similar (14)52.456.4108.9-4.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)61.853.2115.0+8.588%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.025.9
56.3%
54.8%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.314.2
35.2%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
78.1%12.8
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.422.2
47.8%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.415.4
33.9%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
78.1%12.7
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLLWWLW
Phoenix Suns
WWLWWLLWLL
#21
League position
#14
-11.6
Net rating
-5.8
107.6
Offensive rating
107.4
119.3
Defensive rating
113.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.4%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.2%
3-point %
33.9%
62.1%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 107.4Defence119.3 · 113.2Shooting54.7% · 49.3%3-point %35.2% · 33.9%Ball care14.6% · 12.4%Off. rebounds20.8% · 31.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HOrlando Magic91-130
08/03/26HUtah Jazz113-99
05/03/26HAtlanta Hawks113-131
03/03/26HBoston Celtics81-108
01/03/26AChicago Bulls97-120
28/02/26HNew York Knicks98-127
26/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers118-116
25/02/26HMiami Heat128-117
22/02/26HToronto Raptors94-122
21/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans139-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HCharlotte Hornets111-99
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
06/03/26HChicago Bulls103-105
04/03/26ASacramento Kings114-103
27/02/26HLos Angeles Lakers113-110
25/02/26HBoston Celtics81-97
23/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers77-92
21/02/26HOrlando Magic113-110 OT
20/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs94-121
12/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder109-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLLWL47%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %45%47%42%
Points / game111.3113.5109.0
Allowed / game115.4117.4113.5
Point differential-4.1-3.9-4.5
Avg total226.7230.9222.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)50% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLWLWW63%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673829
Win %60%63%55%
Points / game112.6111.8113.6
Allowed / game110.3108.4112.7
Point differential+2.3+3.3+0.9
Avg total222.8220.2226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)62% (16)29% (7)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder70541677%117.9108.2+9.7
2 San Antonio Spurs66491774%119.0111.5+7.5
3 Detroit Pistons68482071%116.9109.7+7.1
4 Boston Celtics68462268%114.7106.8+7.9
5 Houston Rockets67432464%115.6110.5+5.1
6 New York Knicks69432662%115.9110.2+5.7
7 Denver Nuggets70422860%119.5116.0+3.4
8 Phoenix Suns67402760%112.6110.3+2.3
9 Cleveland Cavaliers69412859%118.4114.8+3.6
10 Minnesota Timberwolves69412859%118.5114.9+3.6
11 Toronto Raptors68402859%113.9111.7+2.2
12 Orlando Magic65382758%115.7113.3+2.4
13 Los Angeles Lakers69402958%114.8114.7+0.1
14 Atlanta Hawks69363352%117.8117.5+0.3
15 Philadelphia 76ers69363352%115.2116.0-0.9
16 Miami Heat71373452%119.9117.0+2.9
17 Los Angeles Clippers67343351%112.4111.7+0.6
18 Golden State Warriors69353451%115.1114.0+1.1
19 Charlotte Hornets70343649%116.2113.1+3.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers69323746%115.7118.4-2.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks67303745%111.3115.4-4.1
22 Chicago Bulls69294042%115.8119.8-4.1
23 Memphis Grizzlies69244535%116.0119.0-3.0
24 Dallas Mavericks69244535%113.0116.8-3.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans68214731%115.8120.5-4.7
26 Utah Jazz69214830%117.7125.2-7.4
27 Brooklyn Nets68185026%107.5116.1-8.6
28 Washington Wizards67175025%112.4123.1-10.7
29 Indiana Pacers68175125%111.7120.2-8.5
30 Sacramento Kings69165323%110.8121.0-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks30353217114
Phoenix Suns36263829129
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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