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Toros de Aragua vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 77-66
24-18 22-18 11-17 20-13
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#14
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game73.7
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Rafael Romero Bolívar
Other2025
Meetings · Toros de Aragua v Llaneros
30 Apr 2025
TORO93
LLAN95
30 Mar 2025
TORO77
LLAN66
02 May 2024
TORO72
LLAN76
21 Apr 2023
TORO94
LLAN100
09 Apr 2023
TORO80
LLAN85
24 Aug 2022
TORO69
LLAN85
27 Jul 2022
TORO63
LLAN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Aragua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Spartans
#9
L
69-102
69
102
-33
64avg 63
A02/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
A04/07
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
58avg 63
A07/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
52avg 63
A13/07
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
64-93
64
93
-29
40avg 63
A14/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
68-100
68
100
-32
59avg 63
A15/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
69-70
69
70
-1
63avg 63
H17/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 63
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
89-78 OT
89
78
+11
85avg 63
A23/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
72-76
72
76
-4
69avg 63
A24/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
15-37
24-29
11-23
–
–
–
–
15-23
18-21
21-25
20-23
18-22
15-16
17-19
13-18
15-22
11-38
19-18
19-15
12-22
14-28
27-20
15-30
11-6
17-18
19-17
22-29
12-16
18-18
11-25
25-24
19-16
23-17
9-17
19-20
24-14
20-25
14-14
14-23
157.3Avg total
71.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.383.3154.7-12.017%
Season at home (1)69.070.0139.0-1.00%
Season away (5)71.886.0157.8-14.220%
Last 10 (10)71.186.2157.3-15.110%
Last 5 (5)72.881.4154.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)74.488.9163.3-14.54%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.477.4155.8+1.060%
vs Weaker (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
70avg 64
A03/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
73-104
73
104
-31
60avg 64
A07/07
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
74-97
74
97
-23
60avg 64
A14/07
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
64avg 64
A14/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 64
H16/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
48avg 64
A18/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
40avg 64
H20/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 64
H21/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
61avg 64
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
50-81
50
81
-31
43avg 64
A27/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-30
12-17
29-28
16-37
21-23
14-23
22-21
17-27
20-26
15-22
22-22
16-23
19-12
13-17
15-11
9-18
17-22
23-13
16-22
13-15
12-28
17-17
17-16
13-16
19-18
7-15
11-5
12-23
18-14
16-20
23-15
13-19
19-21
20-20
15-21
11-15
17-18
14-29
8-19
147.0Avg total
66.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)62.173.7135.9-11.60%
Season at home (3)61.367.0128.3-5.70%
Season away (4)62.878.8141.5-16.00%
Last 10 (10)66.081.0147.0-15.00%
Last 5 (5)59.072.8131.8-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)72.282.7154.8-10.55%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.276.0148.2-3.825%
vs Weaker (2)85.581.0166.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
Toros de AraguaLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartans
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A02/07
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A07/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/07
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
26-60
26
60
-34
A14/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A15/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H17/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/03
Superliga
74.2Avg total
32.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.344.180.4-7.817%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.743.082.7-3.320%-
Last 30 away (19)34.544.779.3-10.216%-
Last 10 (9)32.941.374.2-8.433%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.070.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.345.380.6-9.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.439.877.2-2.440%-
vs Weaker (1)53.040.093.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A03/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A07/07
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A14/07
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H16/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A18/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/03
Superliga
74.2Avg total
31.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.577.3-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.637.875.4-0.242%-
Last 30 away (18)36.442.278.6-5.822%-
Last 10 (10)31.942.374.2-10.40%-
Last 5 (5)29.437.466.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.541.276.7-5.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.538.977.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (2)44.539.083.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.6
43.7%
50.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.2
29.5%
32.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.412.9
66.5%
67.2%12.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.3
44.0%
50.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
32.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.713.4
64.7%
67.2%13.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros de Aragua
LWLLLLLLLL
Llaneros
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#14
-18.7
Net rating
-20.0
90.1
Offensive rating
89.3
108.8
Defensive rating
109.3
43.9%
Effective FG%
42.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.5%
3-point %
27.3%
66.9%
Assist %
57.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 89.3Defence108.8 · 109.3Shooting43.9% · 42.9%3-point %29.5% · 27.3%Ball care19.8% · 19.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Toros de Aragua   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toros de Aragua wins
9
Llaneros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25AFrontinos72-76
23/03/25AFrontinos89-78 OT
19/03/25ATrotamundos66-83
17/03/25HTrotamundos69-70
15/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia68-100
14/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia64-93
13/07/24ABrillantes63-75
07/07/24APioneros74-92
04/07/24ABroncos77-93
02/07/24ASpartans69-102
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia50-81
26/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia67-81
21/03/25HFrontinos69-72
20/03/25HFrontinos50-54
18/03/25APioneros59-76
16/03/25HPioneros65-75
14/03/25ATrotamundos75-77 OT
14/07/24ASpartans74-97
07/07/24ABroncos73-104
03/07/24AGladiadores78-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %17%0%20%
Points / game71.369.071.8
Allowed / game83.370.086.0
Point differential-12.0-1.0-14.2
Avg total154.7139.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%20%
Llaneros
Superliga 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.161.362.8
Allowed / game73.767.078.8
Point differential-11.6-5.7-16.0
Avg total135.9128.3141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gaiteros del Zulia880100%84.664.6+20.0
2 Spartans75271%79.073.3+5.7
3 Pioneros75271%82.077.6+4.4
4 Marinos85362%78.572.9+5.6
5 Frontinos85362%73.573.9-0.4
6 Gladiadores84450%85.084.4+0.6
7 Trotamundos84450%78.181.0-2.9
8 Guaiqueries73443%80.479.9+0.6
9 Cocodrilos73443%73.974.7-0.9
10 Panteras73443%70.078.1-8.1
11 Brillantes83538%78.580.0-1.5
12 Piratas de La Guaira62433%79.584.7-5.2
13 Toros de Aragua61517%71.383.3-12.0
14 Llaneros7070%62.173.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros de Aragua2422112077
Llaneros1818171366
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