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Toros de Aragua vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-95 (OT)
23-18 20-25 18-21 16-13 16-18
Position#11
Record9-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#14
Record4-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game77.8
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Rafael Romero Bolívar
Other2025
Meetings · Toros de Aragua v Llaneros
30 Apr 2025
TORO93
LLAN95
30 Mar 2025
TORO77
LLAN66
02 May 2024
TORO72
LLAN76
21 Apr 2023
TORO94
LLAN100
09 Apr 2023
TORO80
LLAN85
24 Aug 2022
TORO69
LLAN85
27 Jul 2022
TORO63
LLAN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
77-75
77
75
+2
64avg 66
A07/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 66
H11/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
60-92
60
92
-32
50avg 66
H12/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 66
A15/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 66
A17/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
72-66
72
66
+6
78avg 66
H19/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
62-56
62
56
+6
51avg 66
H20/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
67-87
67
87
-20
68avg 66
A22/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
105avg 66
A23/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
69avg 66
A25/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-22
18-17
21-16
17-20
14-16
26-14
17-17
9-21
14-29
19-23
18-19
22-23
22-21
17-16
27-20
14-23
20-24
20-13
11-17
29-22
13-11
24-23
6-10
22-18
19-23
21-15
0-0
26-26
11-17
15-27
15-17
18-23
24-18
24-9
30-29
17-18
13-19
15-29
27-19
149.7Avg total
73.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.678.3151.9-4.843%
Season at home (9)73.172.8145.9+0.356%
Season away (12)73.982.5156.4-8.633%
Last 10 (10)73.376.4149.7-3.160%
Last 5 (5)73.874.6148.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.285.3158.5-12.114%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.271.5148.8+5.888%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
75avg 66
H07/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 66
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
59-70
59
70
-11
42avg 66
A12/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 66
A13/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 66
H15/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 66
A19/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
92avg 66
H21/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 66
H25/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
81avg 66
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 66
H28/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-18
17-18
16-21
24-24
19-26
23-23
16-16
14-14
14-17
13-16
18-23
15-19
14-15
15-24
21-17
23-22
21-22
16-17
20-27
25-20
12-22
25-16
12-22
15-21
27-11
24-15
23-19
14-15
20-14
24-30
19-25
21-23
20-25
23-21
23-16
21-26
22-24
16-26
31-24
159.2Avg total
77.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.877.8149.6-6.120%
Season at home (10)76.479.0155.4-2.620%
Season away (10)67.176.7143.8-9.620%
Last 10 (10)77.881.4159.2-3.620%
Last 5 (5)83.483.0166.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.482.0155.4-8.614%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.675.4147.0-3.933%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
Toros de AraguaLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H11/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
H12/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A17/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H19/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A25/04
Superliga
77.6Avg total
36.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.942.379.2-5.428%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.341.279.5-2.936%-
Last 30 away (18)36.142.979.0-6.922%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.477.6-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.243.879.0-8.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.438.479.8+3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A12/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A13/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H25/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H28/04
Superliga
78.1Avg total
38.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.941.277.1-5.417%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.039.777.7-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)34.042.676.6-8.66%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.878.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.279.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.341.076.2-5.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.241.979.1-4.722%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.27.6
39.6%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
67.2%14.5
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.9
48.1%
50.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.5
29.3%
32.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.3
72.9%
67.2%15.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros de Aragua
LWLWWLWLWW
Llaneros
LWLWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#14
-5.8
Net rating
-3.7
101.5
Offensive rating
101.9
107.3
Defensive rating
105.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
46.5%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
22.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.6%
3-point %
29.3%
70.8%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 101.9Defence107.3 · 105.5Shooting52.2% · 46.5%3-point %39.6% · 29.3%Ball care22.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 32.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Toros de Aragua   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toros de Aragua wins
7
Llaneros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25ATrotamundos72-85
23/04/25ABrillantes96-79
22/04/25ABrillantes67-87
20/04/25HFrontinos62-56
19/04/25HFrontinos72-66
17/04/25APioneros65-77
15/04/25ALlaneros88-80
12/04/25HGaiteros del Zulia60-92
11/04/25HGaiteros del Zulia74-67
07/04/25ALlaneros77-75
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25HBrillantes90-100
27/04/25HBrillantes87-85
25/04/25HPioneros77-84
21/04/25HTrotamundos89-66
19/04/25APioneros74-80
15/04/25HToros de Aragua80-88
13/04/25ABrillantes65-75
12/04/25ABrillantes59-70
09/04/25HTrotamundos82-89
07/04/25HToros de Aragua75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%56%33%
Points / game73.673.173.9
Allowed / game78.372.882.5
Point differential-4.8+0.3-8.6
Avg total151.9145.9156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%11%8%
Llaneros
Superliga 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL20%
HomeLWLWL20%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game71.876.467.1
Allowed / game77.879.076.7
Point differential-6.1-2.6-9.6
Avg total149.6155.4143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gaiteros del Zulia2118386%84.469.6+14.9
2 Pioneros2013765%80.778.8+1.9
3 Spartans2012860%81.377.1+4.2
4 Marinos2012860%80.878.2+2.7
5 Trotamundos2112957%79.380.1-0.8
6 Piratas de La Guaira179853%83.686.1-2.5
7 Cocodrilos20101050%78.877.5+1.4
8 Brillantes21101148%80.179.7+0.5
9 Gladiadores1991047%88.288.7-0.5
10 Toros de Aragua2191243%73.678.3-4.8
11 Guaiqueries1771041%79.580.4-0.9
12 Panteras1971237%78.183.3-5.2
13 Frontinos2061430%69.375.3-6.0
14 Llaneros2041620%71.877.8-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Toros de Aragua232018161693
Llaneros182521131895
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