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Tortona vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 82-89
22-27 13-19 14-20 33-23
Position#9
Record14-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#14
Record8-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.2
ItalyLega ARound 29· PalaFerraris
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Basket Napoli
25 Oct 2026
TOR90
NAP92
02 Nov 2025
TOR87
NAP76
04 May 2025
TOR82
NAP89
10 Mar 2024
TOR97
NAP72
27 Nov 2022
TOR74
NAP73
19 Mar 2022
TOR83
NAP77
02 May 2021
TOR83
NAP62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 76
H19/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 76
H23/03
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 76
H26/03
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 76
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 76
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
80avg 76
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 76
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
54avg 76
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 76
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 76
H27/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
18-16
23-24
15-21
32-17
22-17
18-16
22-18
18-17
22-15
25-24
15-18
22-22
16-22
23-27
21-23
17-23
37-28
16-29
21-21
10-23
26-17
19-19
25-21
16-20
20-16
21-21
25-30
19-24
19-11
16-24
10-18
20-25
22-33
17-19
32-15
16-22
20-19
11-23
21-21
167.7Avg total
82.4Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.985.6171.5+0.350%
Season at home (14)82.582.6165.1-0.150%
Season away (14)89.388.6177.9+0.750%
Last 10 (10)82.485.3167.7-2.930%
Last 5 (5)78.886.8165.6-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.089.2172.2-6.238%
vs Similar (9)81.687.2168.8-5.722%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.776.6163.2+10.183%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 76
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
70-74
70
74
-4
59avg 76
H02/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-94
85
94
-9
79avg 76
A08/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
89avg 76
H16/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 76
A23/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
95-87
95
87
+8
93avg 76
H31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
71avg 76
A06/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
87-97
87
97
-10
81avg 76
H12/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
79avg 76
A19/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 76
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
12-22
17-35
23-16
21-18
22-18
13-18
14-20
20-26
24-23
24-19
17-26
20-20
24-24
25-22
24-22
25-21
17-22
31-17
18-21
19-17
22-30
23-26
31-14
15-17
21-34
22-23
24-35
20-26
21-24
21-25
25-22
19-20
20-18
25-19
22-32
18-27
21-30
26-16
12-22
173.9Avg total
83.4Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.288.2171.5-5.029%
Season at home (14)84.085.8169.8-1.843%
Season away (14)82.590.7173.2-8.214%
Last 10 (10)83.490.5173.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)85.495.4180.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.290.1173.2-6.925%
vs Similar (11)86.487.3173.6-0.945%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
TortonaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H19/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/03
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H26/03
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/04
Lega A
82.7Avg total
41.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.181.3-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.682.8+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.480.1-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.882.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.944.285.1-3.438%-
vs Similar (9)38.444.082.4-5.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.836.778.5+5.267%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H02/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H16/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A23/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A06/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H12/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A19/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H28/04
Lega A
85.2Avg total
39.7Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.742.885.4-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.746.084.7-7.37%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.585.2-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.248.687.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.144.183.2-4.925%-
vs Similar (11)43.543.587.1+0.036%-
vs Weaker (2)43.046.089.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.6
50.6%
52.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.3
34.4%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.115.5
85.6%
76.8%15.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.7
53.8%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
76.8%13.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LLLLLLLWWW
Basket Napoli
LLLLWWWLLL
#9
League position
#14
-3.6
Net rating
-9.0
110.2
Offensive rating
107.9
113.9
Defensive rating
116.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
35.5%
64.2%
Assist %
61.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 107.9Defence113.9 · 116.9Shooting51.1% · 53.5%3-point %34.4% · 35.5%Ball care16.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 24.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tortona wins
5
Basket Napoli wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HOlimpia Milano68-85
19/04/25ATreviso91-92
16/04/25HTenerife64-77
13/04/25ASassari82-87
09/04/25ATenerife89-93 OT
05/04/25HTrapani91-101
30/03/25AVenezia82-94
26/03/25HWurzburg80-74
23/03/25HPistoia94-68
19/03/25HAEK Athens83-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25HTrapani77-95
19/04/25AReggiana86-89
12/04/25HVarese87-97
06/04/25ATrieste82-109
31/03/25HOlimpia Milano95-87
23/03/25AScafati91-81
16/03/25HVirtus Bologna93-88
08/03/25ACremona85-94
02/03/25HPistoia70-74
09/02/25AVenezia68-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.982.589.3
Allowed / game85.682.688.6
Point differential+0.3-0.1+0.7
Avg total171.5165.1177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game83.284.082.5
Allowed / game88.285.890.7
Point differential-5.0-1.8-8.2
Avg total171.5169.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2821775%94.884.8+10.0
2 Virtus Bologna2821775%84.976.4+8.5
3 Trento2921872%87.681.2+6.3
4 Brescia2820871%89.784.8+5.0
5 Olimpia Milano2819968%89.483.9+5.5
6 Trieste28171161%87.385.2+2.0
7 Reggiana29171259%79.477.8+1.7
8 Venezia28151354%83.580.6+2.9
9 Tortona28141450%85.985.6+0.3
10 Sassari28121643%81.583.9-2.4
11 Treviso28111739%84.487.8-3.4
12 Varese2891932%87.195.8-8.7
13 Basket Napoli2882029%83.288.2-5.0
14 Cremona2882029%79.084.8-5.9
15 Scafati2862221%84.892.2-7.5
16 Pistoia2862221%79.589.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2213143382
Basket Napoli2719202389
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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