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Basket Napoli vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-76
16-15 16-20 31-18 18-23
Position#7
Record7-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#9
Record5-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 14· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Tortona
24 Jan 2027
NAP v TOR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NAP76
TOR82
04 Jan 2025
NAP92
TOR83
30 Dec 2023
NAP81
TOR76
23 Apr 2023
NAP82
TOR69
07 Nov 2021
NAP82
TOR79
16 May 2021
NAP78
TOR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
90-71
90
71
+19
86avg 75
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 75
H30/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 75
A04/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
97-96
97
96
+1
86avg 75
H11/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 75
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 75
H26/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 75
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
89avg 75
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 75
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
82avg 75
A23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
26-15
25-16
18-26
22-23
6-23
20-21
27-21
19-25
28-12
24-18
26-22
22-18
19-27
22-21
34-30
24-14
18-19
14-28
23-15
12-18
23-16
14-15
31-21
21-19
19-20
18-14
18-28
18-31
26-19
25-25
18-14
16-25
25-21
19-21
25-24
18-20
21-35
24-25
31-21
170.0Avg total
86.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.182.9169.0+3.254%
Season at home (6)84.380.3164.7+4.067%
Season away (7)87.685.1172.7+2.443%
Last 10 (10)86.084.0170.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)84.486.4170.8-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.785.1166.8-3.438%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.384.1168.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (2)93.574.0167.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Igokea
#49
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 70
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 70
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
79avg 70
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
57avg 70
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
90avg 70
H09/12
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 70
A13/12
Champions League
Cremona
#11
L
67-83
67
83
-16
55avg 70
A17/12
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 70
A20/12
Champions League
Treviso
#13
L
68-82
68
82
-14
56avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
16-16
26-16
19-31
24-25
13-16
28-17
25-19
24-19
19-19
22-18
6-15
23-25
18-19
21-17
19-20
17-29
19-18
18-25
16-27
25-28
23-27
23-21
26-24
12-17
18-23
27-26
18-21
18-18
13-22
22-22
14-21
21-22
23-14
22-15
11-23
13-14
25-19
16-24
14-25
166.0Avg total
80.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.283.0160.2-5.838%
Season at home (6)75.282.7157.8-7.533%
Season away (7)79.083.3162.3-4.343%
Last 10 (10)80.985.1166.0-4.250%
Last 5 (5)76.885.2162.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.687.1159.7-14.611%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.279.5159.7+0.669%
vs Weaker (7)81.983.7165.6-1.943%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -5.8-5.8
Basket NapoliTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H30/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H11/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H26/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A23/12
Lega A
81.8Avg total
40.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.782.6-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.783.8+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.681.4-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.481.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.884.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.442.483.8-1.046%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.742.281.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker (2)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#49
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H09/12
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/12
Champions League
Cremona
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A17/12
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A20/12
Champions League
Treviso
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/12
Lega A
80.5Avg total
39.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.079.8-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.640.782.3+0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)36.641.377.9-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.180.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.143.680.7-6.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.538.277.7+1.454%-
vs Weaker (7)41.142.683.7-1.429%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.6
53.7%
53.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.1
36.3%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.8
79.4%
76.3%15.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.8
50.4%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.2%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.8
75.0%
76.3%16.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LLLLWWWWLW
Tortona
LWLLLLWWWW
#7
League position
#9
+2.4
Net rating
-6.5
108.5
Offensive rating
108.1
106.1
Defensive rating
114.6
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.3%
3-point %
32.2%
56.9%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 108.1Defence106.1 · 114.6Shooting54.0% · 49.5%3-point %36.3% · 32.2%Ball care18.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds25.4% · 29.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Napoli wins
3
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23Basket Napoli v Tortona82-69
27/11/22Tortona v Basket Napoli74-73
19/03/22Tortona v Basket Napoli83-77
07/11/21Basket Napoli v Tortona82-79
16/05/21Basket Napoli v Tortona78-73 OT
02/05/21Tortona v Basket Napoli83-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ATrento94-101
17/12/23AScafati85-91
10/12/23HReggiana87-89
02/12/23APistoia76-81
26/11/23HCremona80-70
19/11/23ATreviso79-76
11/11/23HVarese97-96
04/11/23APesaro97-77
30/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-88
22/10/23HBrindisi90-71
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HTreviso68-82
20/12/23AIgokea77-74
17/12/23ACremona67-83
13/12/23AMurcia75-87
09/12/23HPistoia97-100
03/12/23AVirtus Bologna70-99
29/11/23HTofas91-85 OT
26/11/23HTrento83-80 OT
19/11/23AReggiana90-77
15/11/23HIgokea91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL54%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game86.184.387.6
Allowed / game82.980.385.1
Point differential+3.2+4.0+2.4
Avg total169.0164.7172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game77.275.279.0
Allowed / game83.082.783.3
Point differential-5.8-7.5-4.3
Avg total160.2157.8162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1411379%86.374.7+11.6
2 Venezia1310377%82.077.4+4.6
3 Virtus Bologna139469%88.177.8+10.3
4 Trento139469%86.482.2+4.2
5 Olimpia Milano148657%78.774.6+4.1
6 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
7 Basket Napoli137654%86.182.9+3.2
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Scafati136746%87.388.5-1.2
10 Pistoia136746%79.081.2-2.2
11 Pesaro135838%80.886.5-5.6
12 Tortona135838%77.283.0-5.8
13 Sassari135838%75.585.0-9.5
14 Varese145936%85.289.9-4.6
15 Treviso134931%79.582.7-3.2
16 Brindisi1421214%71.982.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli1616311881
Tortona1520182376
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