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Basket Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-88
20-20 24-24 25-22 24-22
Position#14
Record5-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game86.9
Basket Napoli 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#1
Record16-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna
03 Jan 2027
NAP v VIR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
NAP71
VIR90
16 Mar 2025
NAP93
VIR88
21 Sep 2024
NAP87
VIR96
30 Oct 2023
NAP75
VIR88
02 Oct 2022
NAP77
VIR89
24 Oct 2021
NAP92
VIR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
84avg 75
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
78avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 75
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 75
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
70-74
70
74
-4
59avg 75
H02/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-94
85
94
-9
79avg 75
A08/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
24-19
18-19
18-25
12-22
27-27
29-19
18-21
20-17
23-22
26-18
23-26
13-26
22-18
21-30
19-12
27-11
24-21
17-15
19-23
17-25
24-17
26-19
23-17
27-23
17-21
19-19
27-22
16-18
12-22
17-35
23-16
21-18
22-18
13-18
14-20
20-26
24-23
24-19
17-26
168.3Avg total
83.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.986.9168.8-5.024%
Season at home (10)82.483.4165.8-1.040%
Season away (11)81.590.1171.5-8.69%
Last 10 (10)83.984.4168.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.684.4165.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.888.2170.1-6.417%
vs Similar (15)85.990.5176.4-4.533%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
78avg 78
H02/02
Lega A
Partizan
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 78
H05/02
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 78
H07/02
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
98-66
98
66
+32
102avg 78
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
71avg 78
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
57avg 78
H28/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 78
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 78
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 78
H13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
16-21
20-19
28-21
23-17
13-27
21-22
14-15
25-17
21-18
18-23
13-25
20-19
34-19
20-14
24-14
18-20
15-27
20-24
24-20
14-34
15-20
25-14
16-24
20-25
18-9
25-25
23-21
24-24
18-15
10-22
16-28
26-20
23-21
15-15
16-19
17-30
16-20
21-18
13-12
159.0Avg total
77.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.877.8162.5+7.076%
Season at home (11)86.677.0163.6+9.691%
Season away (10)82.778.6161.3+4.160%
Last 10 (10)77.981.1159.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)74.283.2157.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.689.0166.6-11.49%
vs Similar (9)79.876.4156.2+3.378%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.472.2154.7+10.267%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
Basket NapoliVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H02/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
Lega A
82.7Avg total
41.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.085.5-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.541.985.4+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)39.146.485.5-7.20%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.382.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.282.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.142.681.7-3.525%-
vs Similar (15)43.744.388.0-0.740%-
vs Weaker (2)43.046.089.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H02/02
Lega A
Partizan
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/02
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H07/02
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H28/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H13/03
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
39.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.080.2+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.139.878.9-0.756%-
Last 30 away (12)41.840.282.1+1.658%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.681.3-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.681.8-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.444.083.4-4.645%-
vs Similar (9)42.237.379.6+4.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.036.976.9+3.167%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.7
55.5%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.2
31.9%
35.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
76.8%14.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.5
56.9%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
35.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
76.8%14.3
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LLLWWWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
LWLWLLWLLW
#14
League position
#1
-0.4
Net rating
-3.1
110.9
Offensive rating
109.9
111.3
Defensive rating
113.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
12.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
30.7%
64.5%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 109.9Defence111.3 · 113.1Shooting52.2% · 52.6%3-point %31.9% · 30.7%Ball care12.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 26.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basket Napoli wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli86-75
21/09/24Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna87-96
28/01/24Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli101-89
30/10/23Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna75-88
08/04/23Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli81-89
02/10/22Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna77-89
06/03/22Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli86-75
24/10/21Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna92-89
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ACremona85-94
02/03/25HPistoia70-74
09/02/25AVenezia68-91
02/02/25HBrescia90-85
25/01/25ATreviso90-78
19/01/25HSassari87-70
12/01/25AVirtus Bologna75-86
04/01/25HTortona92-83
28/12/24AVarese86-89
22/12/24HScafati96-94 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HReal Madrid67-80
10/03/25HTrento80-75
07/03/25AAnadolu Efes68-89
02/03/25HOlimpia Milano86-80
28/02/25HOlympiacos70-92
12/02/25HOlimpia Milano77-91
09/02/25ATortona98-66
07/02/25HParis77-83
05/02/25HPartizan71-81
02/02/25HVenezia85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL24%
HomeWWWWL40%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%40%9%
Points / game81.982.481.5
Allowed / game86.983.490.1
Point differential-5.0-1.0-8.6
Avg total168.8165.8171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%91%60%
Points / game84.886.682.7
Allowed / game77.877.078.6
Point differential+7.0+9.6+4.1
Avg total162.5163.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2116576%84.877.8+7.0
2 Trapani2216673%94.583.8+10.6
3 Trento2216673%87.681.7+6.0
4 Brescia2216673%91.185.7+5.4
5 Olimpia Milano2215768%88.684.0+4.6
6 Reggiana2214864%81.077.2+3.8
7 Tortona2213959%86.285.0+1.2
8 Trieste2213959%86.485.5+1.0
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2281436%84.487.5-3.0
11 Sassari2281436%80.184.1-4.0
12 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
13 Scafati2261627%86.593.0-6.5
14 Varese2261627%87.397.8-10.5
15 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
16 Pistoia2251723%81.488.8-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2024252493
Virtus Bologna2024222288
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