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Cremona vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-85
26-20 23-24 19-24 26-17
Position#13
Record5-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game82.0
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record5-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game86.5
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaRadi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Cremona v Basket Napoli
29 Mar 2026
CRE88
NAP81
08 Mar 2025
CRE94
NAP85
11 Feb 2024
CRE90
NAP83
09 Mar 2022
CRE96
NAP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
79avg 68
A15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
76avg 68
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 68
H28/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
80-76
80
76
+4
68avg 68
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 68
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 68
A20/01
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
80avg 68
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
51-78
51
78
-27
38avg 68
A01/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 68
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
79avg 68
A02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-24
19-21
18-20
17-23
19-16
22-27
25-25
24-15
20-25
10-14
11-26
9-22
27-22
16-15
28-17
26-21
9-25
22-16
21-24
13-23
19-18
23-20
8-20
26-23
14-18
21-15
13-18
18-20
12-12
11-22
10-24
21-25
27-19
11-18
26-18
19-22
24-18
19-29
25-30
160.7Avg total
76.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.382.0158.3-5.725%
Season at home (10)77.480.3157.7-2.930%
Season away (10)75.383.7159.0-8.420%
Last 10 (10)76.484.3160.7-7.930%
Last 5 (5)74.884.6159.4-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.583.7160.2-7.219%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.981.9162.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (6)72.275.2147.3-3.017%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
69avg 74
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
84avg 74
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 74
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 74
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 74
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 74
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
78avg 74
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 74
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 74
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
70-74
70
74
-4
59avg 74
H02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
23-19
24-29
16-18
22-19
24-19
18-19
18-25
12-22
27-27
29-19
18-21
20-17
23-22
26-18
23-26
13-26
22-18
21-30
19-12
27-11
24-21
17-15
19-23
17-25
24-17
26-19
23-17
27-23
17-21
19-19
27-22
16-18
12-22
17-35
23-16
21-18
22-18
13-18
14-20
168.5Avg total
83.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.886.5168.3-4.825%
Season at home (10)82.483.4165.8-1.040%
Season away (10)81.189.7170.8-8.610%
Last 10 (10)83.884.7168.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)81.079.6160.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.888.2170.1-6.417%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.190.7175.7-5.633%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
CremonaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/03
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.378.6-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.777.6-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.879.6-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.380.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.678.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.641.179.6-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.141.582.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker (6)34.036.570.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H02/03
Lega A
82.8Avg total
41.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.884.9-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.541.985.4+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.446.084.4-7.60%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.482.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.880.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.142.681.7-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.944.086.9-1.140%-
vs Weaker (2)43.046.089.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.4
45.6%
52.9%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.3
36.9%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
76.8%13.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.5
53.5%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.4%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
76.8%13.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLWLLWLLL
Basket Napoli
LLWWWLWLWL
#13
League position
#14
-11.9
Net rating
-1.2
103.8
Offensive rating
109.7
115.7
Defensive rating
110.9
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.9%
3-point %
32.4%
59.9%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 109.7Defence115.7 · 110.9Shooting50.0% · 51.4%3-point %36.9% · 32.4%Ball care15.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds24.2% · 26.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cremona   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Basket Napoli v Cremona81-87
11/02/24Cremona v Basket Napoli90-83
26/11/23Basket Napoli v Cremona80-70
09/03/22Cremona v Basket Napoli96-93 OT
05/12/21Basket Napoli v Cremona91-88
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ABrescia87-99
09/02/25HTrapani85-80
01/02/25AReggiana51-78
26/01/25HScafati88-85 OT
20/01/25AVirtus Bologna63-81
12/01/25HVenezia78-86
05/01/25ATrento80-76
28/12/24HSassari65-80
21/12/24ATrieste83-91
15/12/24ATreviso84-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HPistoia70-74
09/02/25AVenezia68-91
02/02/25HBrescia90-85
25/01/25ATreviso90-78
19/01/25HSassari87-70
12/01/25AVirtus Bologna75-86
04/01/25HTortona92-83
28/12/24AVarese86-89
22/12/24HScafati96-94 OT
15/12/24ABrescia84-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeWLLWW30%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game76.377.475.3
Allowed / game82.080.383.7
Point differential-5.7-2.9-8.4
Avg total158.3157.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL25%
HomeWWWWL40%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game81.882.481.1
Allowed / game86.583.489.7
Point differential-4.8-1.0-8.6
Avg total168.3165.8170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2015575%85.077.9+7.1
2 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
3 Brescia2015575%91.886.2+5.6
4 Trapani2014670%92.783.3+9.3
5 Olimpia Milano2013765%89.084.8+4.2
6 Reggiana2013765%80.877.1+3.7
7 Trieste2012860%86.283.7+2.5
8 Tortona2011955%85.385.5-0.1
9 Venezia20101050%79.377.5+1.8
10 Treviso2081240%85.387.9-2.5
11 Sassari2071335%79.584.2-4.7
12 Scafati2061430%87.592.8-5.3
13 Varese2061430%88.899.2-10.4
14 Basket Napoli2051525%81.886.5-4.8
15 Cremona2051525%76.382.0-5.7
16 Pistoia2051525%82.188.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2623192694
Basket Napoli2024241785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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