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Tortona vs Cantu Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game88.4
ItalyLega ARound 26· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tortona v Cantu
11 Apr 2027
TOR v KAN
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
TOR100
KAN73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Tortona
3.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.8
81.6▼ 1.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.1
86.2▲ 1.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
55%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.9
14.2▼ 1.8
🔥 Form · Cantu
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.1
73.8▼ 4.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.1
88.4▼ 0.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
51%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.4
14.2▼ 2.2
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#19
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#8
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#26
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#30
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
22-24
24-27
25-18
21-31
25-19
16-13
22-23
23-25
21-31
15-24
11-28
22-20
24-24
20-22
23-17
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
173.2Avg total
83.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.495.0179.4-10.620%
Season at home (3)88.791.3180.0-2.733%
Season away (2)78.0100.5178.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)83.889.4173.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)81.686.2167.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.690.5170.1-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.882.4166.2+1.554%
vs Weaker (9)89.484.7174.1+4.867%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#12
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
25-14
16-24
19-12
19-28
20-22
20-19
20-20
20-19
26-25
30-26
24-26
17-19
21-25
24-27
21-24
15-21
22-17
19-13
16-29
17-21
14-22
21-24
21-18
20-18
16-18
20-22
21-19
19-20
22-29
20-17
19-33
18-20
20-24
15-23
19-25
20-23
19-15
14-18
7-25
166.3Avg total
78.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.888.4162.2-14.60%
Season at home (2)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
Season away (3)68.386.0154.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)78.388.0166.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)73.888.4162.2-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.488.7169.1-8.312%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.187.0173.1-0.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
TortonaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#19
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#26
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#30
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
90.7Avg total
44.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.785.6+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.841.083.8+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)43.044.687.6-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.790.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.485.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.545.689.1-2.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.241.283.4+0.962%-
vs Weaker (9)43.342.285.6+1.156%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/10
Lega A
81.8Avg total
39.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.286.6-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.443.286.6+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.547.186.6-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.881.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.546.787.2-6.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.543.485.9-0.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
34.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
74.4%17.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
74.4%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWLLLWLLW
Cantu
LLLLLLLWLW
#14
League position
#16
-6.5
Net rating
-10.7
97.7
Offensive rating
90.1
104.2
Defensive rating
100.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
34.1%
52.6%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 90.1Defence104.2 · 100.9Shooting51.6% · 51.1%3-point %32.4% · 34.1%Ball care14.1% · 16.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Tortona   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
0
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26Tortona v Cantu100-73
04/01/26Cantu v Tortona79-85
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
11/10/26AReggiana86-93
07/10/26HLe Mans89-83
04/10/26ABC Roma70-108
30/09/26ARigas Zelli84-86
27/09/26HVerona101-93
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AReggiana60-81
18/10/26ATrieste72-92
11/10/26HBasket Napoli80-99
05/10/26HUdine84-85 OT
26/09/26AVenezia73-85
03/05/26HTreviso72-80
25/04/26AUdine83-95
19/04/26HVarese100-96
13/04/26AVirtus Bologna79-89
04/04/26HSassari80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game84.488.778.0
Allowed / game95.091.3100.5
Point differential-10.6-2.7-22.5
Avg total179.4180.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.882.068.3
Allowed / game88.492.086.0
Point differential-14.6-10.0-17.7
Avg total162.2174.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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