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Tortona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-82 (OT)
18-14 23-19 13-20 21-22 14-7
Position#9
Record11-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game85.5
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record6-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game99.2
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaFerraris
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Varese
14 Mar 2027
TOR v VAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
TOR90
VAR87
09 Mar 2025
TOR89
VAR82
24 Mar 2024
TOR90
VAR83
05 Feb 2023
TOR103
VAR91
16 Apr 2022
TOR104
VAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#36
W
73-65
73
65
+8
69avg 76
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
92avg 76
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 76
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 76
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 76
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 76
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
66-98
66
98
-32
51avg 76
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 76
A12/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 76
A01/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#31
W
97-77
97
77
+20
97avg 76
H04/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-5
13-18
11-18
27-24
19-23
24-29
17-18
28-18
26-11
6-26
25-20
10-12
16-18
20-21
20-14
23-27
23-26
12-18
17-17
20-25
20-27
24-15
19-23
23-28
19-20
19-34
14-20
14-24
21-24
12-18
27-20
19-24
18-24
20-16
25-26
26-19
30-26
21-13
29-16
17-22
165.1Avg total
81.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.385.5170.8-0.255%
Season at home (10)81.382.1163.4-0.850%
Season away (10)89.388.8178.1+0.560%
Last 10 (10)81.483.7165.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)83.487.8171.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.687.5174.1-0.962%
vs Similar (10)82.384.9167.2-2.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.076.5160.5+7.582%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 82
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-97
80
97
-17
68avg 82
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 82
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 82
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 82
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 82
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 82
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
92-119
92
119
-27
84avg 82
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 82
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-106 OT
93
106
-13
88avg 82
A02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
29-24
18-22
22-27
17-22
24-26
21-28
18-21
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
22-28
27-35
18-32
25-24
25-25
13-27
19-22
22-18
32-23
23-26
14-18
20-22
186.9Avg total
87.8Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.899.2188.0-10.430%
Season at home (10)90.996.7187.6-5.850%
Season away (10)86.7101.7188.4-15.010%
Last 10 (10)87.899.1186.9-11.340%
Last 5 (5)87.4109.2196.6-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)88.398.7187.0-10.328%
vs Similar (12)91.892.8184.6-1.142%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -8.7-8.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -8.7-8.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
TortonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#36
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A01/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#31
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/03
Champions League
79.7Avg total
38.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.483.7-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.243.284.3-2.031%-
Last 30 away (17)41.341.983.2-0.635%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.279.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.645.188.8-1.525%-
vs Similar (10)40.043.183.1-3.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.439.981.3+1.545%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A02/03
Lega A
97.0Avg total
48.7Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.147.795.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.347.997.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)47.147.694.6-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)48.748.397.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.253.4101.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)47.949.397.2-1.356%-
vs Similar (12)48.345.393.7+3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.9
50.8%
52.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.4
32.6%
35.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.315.2
83.1%
76.8%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.5
54.9%
52.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.2
36.0%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
76.8%15.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLLLLLLWW
Varese
LLLLLWWWLW
#9
League position
#12
-4.0
Net rating
-14.2
110.3
Offensive rating
109.0
114.3
Defensive rating
123.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
36.0%
61.9%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 109.0Defence114.3 · 123.2Shooting49.8% · 54.4%3-point %32.6% · 36.0%Ball care17.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds35.5% · 21.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tortona wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Varese v Tortona95-105
24/03/24Tortona v Varese90-83
15/10/23Varese v Tortona78-80
05/02/23Tortona v Varese103-91
02/01/23Varese v Tortona88-89
16/04/22Tortona v Varese104-99
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25HPromitheas97-77
01/03/25ATrento89-85
12/02/25ABrescia79-86
09/02/25HVirtus Bologna66-98
04/02/25AAEK Athens86-93
01/02/25ATrieste72-86
28/01/25AWurzburg79-80
25/01/25HReggiana67-69
19/01/25ABrescia106-98 OT
14/01/25APeristeri73-65
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ATrapani93-106 OT
09/02/25HTrento79-92
02/02/25AOlimpia Milano92-119
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
05/01/25ASassari86-81
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86
22/12/24AReggiana80-97
15/12/24HOlimpia Milano94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game85.381.389.3
Allowed / game85.582.188.8
Point differential-0.1-0.8+0.5
Avg total170.8163.4178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%50%10%
Points / game88.890.986.7
Allowed / game99.296.7101.7
Point differential-10.4-5.8-15.0
Avg total188.0187.6188.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2015575%85.077.9+7.1
2 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
3 Brescia2015575%91.886.2+5.6
4 Trapani2014670%92.783.3+9.3
5 Olimpia Milano2013765%89.084.8+4.2
6 Reggiana2013765%80.877.1+3.7
7 Trieste2012860%86.283.7+2.5
8 Tortona2011955%85.385.5-0.1
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2081240%85.387.9-2.5
11 Sassari2171433%80.384.8-4.5
12 Scafati2061430%87.592.8-5.3
13 Varese2061430%88.899.2-10.4
14 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
15 Pistoia2051525%82.188.5-6.4
16 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tortona182313211489
Varese14192022782
← all games of the day
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