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Tortona vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 99-94
24-27 23-23 23-30 29-14
Position#9
Record8-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game84.2
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game94.3
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaFerraris
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Scafati
20 Dec 2026
TOR v SKA
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
TOR99
SKA94
07 Jan 2024
TOR89
SKA52
22 Jan 2023
TOR79
SKA74
25 Apr 2021
TOR69
SKA67
24 Oct 2018
TOR85
SKA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 76
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 76
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
90-95
90
95
-5
85avg 76
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
77-61
77
61
+16
73avg 76
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 76
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
82-100
82
100
-18
77avg 76
A17/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 76
A22/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 76
H29/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 76
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
69-59
69
59
+10
64avg 76
H07/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
22-20
21-15
12-21
31-17
27-20
19-29
21-28
32-22
14-24
26-22
18-27
19-12
19-14
20-15
19-20
12-27
27-21
30-15
20-19
15-28
20-22
27-26
20-24
28-26
23-19
23-25
19-19
25-16
19-25
25-15
22-21
17-20
22-23
18-26
26-23
18-21
13-16
22-10
16-12
168.4Avg total
85.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.284.2170.4+2.057%
Season at home (7)83.080.0163.0+3.057%
Season away (7)89.488.4177.9+1.057%
Last 10 (10)85.083.4168.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)83.683.4167.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.084.2166.2-2.245%
vs Similar (9)83.785.7169.3-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.775.0158.7+8.790%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 77
A27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
87avg 77
H03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 77
A10/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 77
H16/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
57-90
57
90
-33
39avg 77
A01/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
110-119
110
119
-9
102avg 77
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
85avg 77
H14/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
92avg 77
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
57avg 77
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
98avg 77
H05/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
17-18
17-18
12-20
22-20
24-22
21-19
18-16
17-26
28-9
14-35
16-34
27-25
22-25
18-21
27-14
18-26
8-20
18-20
13-24
30-31
29-29
23-28
28-31
22-22
16-23
28-24
17-14
19-22
19-24
19-18
25-18
14-21
22-22
16-31
19-23
31-17
23-30
22-23
18-24
182.4Avg total
86.9Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.494.3181.7-6.929%
Season at home (7)96.395.9192.1+0.443%
Season away (7)78.692.7171.3-14.114%
Last 10 (10)86.995.5182.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)97.8104.8202.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.292.3172.4-12.117%
vs Similar (12)87.789.3177.0-1.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
TortonaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A17/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H29/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/01
Champions League
84.8Avg total
42.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.783.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.382.2+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)42.343.185.4-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.284.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.540.883.4+1.745%-
vs Similar (9)41.444.786.1-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.240.082.2+2.260%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H16/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A01/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H05/01
Lega A
88.2Avg total
43.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.386.2-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.443.990.3+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.442.782.1-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.188.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.048.293.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.942.884.7-0.850%-
vs Similar (12)44.344.188.4+0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.2
50.6%
52.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.4
37.5%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
76.8%13.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.2
51.3%
52.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.5
31.4%
35.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.8%19.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWWLWWLWL
Scafati
LLLWLLWLWL
#9
League position
#15
+2.5
Net rating
-10.6
115.2
Offensive rating
108.1
112.7
Defensive rating
118.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.5%
3-point %
31.4%
63.5%
Assist %
49.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 108.1Defence112.7 · 118.6Shooting53.2% · 49.8%3-point %37.5% · 31.4%Ball care17.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds36.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tortona wins
3
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
17/03/24Scafati v Tortona94-91
07/01/24Tortona v Scafati89-52
22/01/23Tortona v Scafati79-74
18/12/22Scafati v Tortona72-91
09/05/21Scafati v Tortona89-69
25/04/21Tortona v Scafati69-67
30/01/19Scafati v Tortona88-82
24/10/18Tortona v Scafati85-64
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25HPeristeri69-59
04/01/25ABasket Napoli83-92
29/12/24HTrento91-77
22/12/24APistoia93-89
17/12/24AManresa82-100
14/12/24HVenezia89-82
10/12/24AChemnitz77-61
07/12/24HTreviso90-95
01/12/24AOlimpia Milano98-94
17/11/24HBrescia78-85
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HTrieste107-110 OT
29/12/24AVirtus Bologna71-97
22/12/24ABasket Napoli94-96 OT
14/12/24HPistoia107-102 OT
08/12/24HTrento110-119
01/12/24AReggiana57-90
16/11/24HVarese94-85
10/11/24ATreviso75-104
03/11/24HCremona85-77
27/10/24AVenezia69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game86.283.089.4
Allowed / game84.280.088.4
Point differential+2.0+3.0+1.0
Avg total170.4163.0177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWWLWL43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game87.496.378.6
Allowed / game94.395.992.7
Point differential-6.9+0.4-14.1
Avg total181.7192.1171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %21%29%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1411379%89.683.3+6.3
2 Brescia1411379%89.985.4+4.5
3 Trapani1410471%93.786.6+7.1
4 Virtus Bologna1410471%85.480.3+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano149564%88.484.4+4.0
6 Reggiana149564%78.976.6+2.3
7 Tortona148657%86.284.2+2.0
8 Trieste148657%86.785.2+1.5
9 Treviso147750%85.886.6-0.8
10 Venezia146843%77.577.3+0.2
11 Sassari146843%83.184.3-1.1
12 Varese145936%89.196.4-7.3
13 Scafati1441029%87.494.3-6.9
14 Cremona1431121%76.880.8-4.0
15 Pistoia1431121%82.188.5-6.4
16 Basket Napoli1421214%82.589.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2423232999
Scafati2723301494
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