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Tortona vs Scafati Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record2-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Position#15
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game91.9
ItalyLega ARound 12· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tortona v Scafati
20 Dec 2026
TOR v SKA
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
TOR99
SKA94
07 Jan 2024
TOR89
SKA52
22 Jan 2023
TOR79
SKA74
25 Apr 2021
TOR69
SKA67
24 Oct 2018
TOR85
SKA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 76
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#4
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 76
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 76
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 76
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 76
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 76
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
14-19
19-21
20-17
24-29
20-16
16-11
14-17
15-21
22-20
22-19
27-21
16-16
25-25
25-23
18-21
9-22
165.6Avg total
80.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.791.0174.7-7.329%
Season at home (4)88.287.5175.8+0.850%
Season away (3)77.795.7173.3-18.00%
Last 10 (10)80.685.0165.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)79.681.8161.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.388.0168.3-7.730%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.582.2164.7+0.342%
vs Weaker (8)90.885.2176.0+5.575%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 73
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 73
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
39avg 73
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
74avg 73
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 73
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
L
90-103
90
103
-13
81avg 73
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
24-14
26-20
19-16
32-16
17-27
17-18
14-15
11-19
17-28
14-23
21-17
17-24
21-16
24-30
15-15
25-24
22-28
25-18
10-19
17-32
19-18
20-23
27-35
22-26
16-19
24-19
25-17
29-25
24-26
23-27
14-25
19-22
28-15
28-27
14-27
19-26
17-19
25-24
20-22
170.7Avg total
82.5Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.591.9173.4-10.412%
Season at home (4)83.886.5170.2-2.825%
Season away (4)79.297.2176.5-18.00%
Last 10 (10)82.588.2170.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)86.094.8180.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.591.9173.4-10.412%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.978.7157.6+0.171%
vs Weaker (15)87.174.2161.3+12.993%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
TortonaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/11
Eurocup
83.8Avg total
41.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.584.7-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.284.2+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.985.3-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.383.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.344.086.3-1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.240.781.9+0.658%-
vs Weaker (8)43.643.286.9+0.450%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/11
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/11
Lega A
86.5Avg total
42.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.281.4+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.982.9+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.480.1-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.586.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.687.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.445.986.2-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.736.379.0+6.486%-
vs Weaker (15)42.937.179.9+5.880%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.1
76.7%
74.6%18.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.9
48.2%
54.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.3
39.6%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.214.4
64.9%
74.6%14.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWLLWLWLLL
Scafati
LLLWLLLLWW
#12
League position
#15
-8.6
Net rating
-4.9
95.7
Offensive rating
95.9
104.3
Defensive rating
100.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.2%
3-point %
39.6%
52.0%
Assist %
56.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 95.9Defence104.3 · 100.8Shooting49.6% · 52.6%3-point %31.2% · 39.6%Ball care14.0% · 14.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tortona wins
3
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Scafati v Tortona79-102
11/01/25Tortona v Scafati99-94
17/03/24Scafati v Tortona94-91
07/01/24Tortona v Scafati89-52
22/01/23Tortona v Scafati79-74
18/12/22Scafati v Tortona72-91
09/05/21Scafati v Tortona89-69
25/04/21Tortona v Scafati69-67
30/01/19Scafati v Tortona88-82
24/10/18Tortona v Scafati85-64
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-91
08/11/26HTreviso87-76
04/11/26ACedevita Olimpija71-73 OT
01/11/26AUdine77-86
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
11/10/26AReggiana86-93
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ATreviso81-91
08/11/26HBasket Napoli89-91
31/10/26ABC Roma90-103
24/10/26HTrento87-81
18/10/26AVirtus Bologna83-108
11/10/26HVerona82-89
04/10/26HVarese77-85
27/09/26AUdine63-87
26/04/26ARimini80-76
19/04/26HAvellino Basket93-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game83.788.277.7
Allowed / game91.087.595.7
Point differential-7.3+0.8-18.0
Avg total174.7175.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game81.583.879.2
Allowed / game91.986.597.2
Point differential-10.4-2.8-18.0
Avg total173.4170.2176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
4 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
5 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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