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Tortona vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:45
Final 91-77
25-16 19-25 25-15 22-21
Position#9
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game84.2
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Trento
Italy
Position#4
Record11-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game82.9
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaFerraris
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Trento
14 Feb 2027
TOR v TRE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
TOR103
TRE84
29 Dec 2024
TOR91
TRE77
26 Nov 2023
TOR83
TRE80
16 May 2023
TOR84
TRE81
14 May 2023
TOR79
TRE78
16 Feb 2023
TOR74
TRE70
02 Oct 2022
TOR76
TRE70
12 Feb 2022
TOR76
TRE50
08 Sep 2021
TOR81
TRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
66avg 75
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 75
H13/11
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 75
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 75
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
90-95
90
95
-5
85avg 75
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
77-61
77
61
+16
73avg 75
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 75
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
82-100
82
100
-18
77avg 75
A17/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 75
A22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
22-32
18-25
23-16
20-31
22-18
20-18
20-19
15-19
20-26
22-16
20-10
23-29
22-20
21-15
12-21
31-17
27-20
19-29
21-28
32-22
14-24
26-22
18-27
19-12
19-14
20-15
19-20
12-27
27-21
30-15
20-19
15-28
20-22
27-26
20-24
28-26
23-19
23-25
19-19
169.5Avg total
84.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.184.2170.2+1.958%
Season at home (6)81.780.5162.2+1.250%
Season away (6)90.587.8178.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)84.784.8169.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)86.285.4171.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.683.7163.4-4.136%
vs Similar (11)84.584.5169.1+0.045%
vs Weaker (8)85.674.9160.5+10.8100%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 75
A12/11
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
W
92-88
92
88
+4
86avg 75
A17/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 75
H28/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#14
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 75
H01/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#4
L
70-81
70
81
-11
57avg 75
H03/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
113avg 75
A08/12
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
82-70
82
70
+12
57avg 75
A10/12
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
99-107
99
107
-8
97avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
105avg 75
A18/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
87-79
87
79
+8
78avg 75
H22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
30-19
13-22
19-22
22-21
23-27
27-24
20-16
20-17
12-22
10-21
26-23
22-14
16-19
23-26
29-24
22-19
18-26
16-21
14-15
31-30
29-29
28-23
31-28
22-16
20-19
19-13
21-22
30-32
28-27
22-26
19-22
25-24
24-23
22-30
24-18
20-23
21-29
25-5
21-22
179.7Avg total
89.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.882.9174.7+8.892%
Season at home (6)88.776.2164.8+12.5100%
Season away (6)94.889.7184.5+5.283%
Last 10 (10)89.889.9179.7-0.150%
Last 5 (5)99.095.2194.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.890.8167.6-13.915%
vs Similar (8)85.581.9167.4+3.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.484.7177.1+7.8100%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
TortonaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/11
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A17/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A22/12
Lega A
86.8Avg total
42.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.083.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.681.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.484.5-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.986.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.840.181.9+1.745%-
vs Similar (11)41.442.684.0-1.345%-
vs Weaker (8)44.040.084.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A12/11
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A17/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#14
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H03/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A10/12
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A18/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H22/12
Lega A
91.7Avg total
45.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.487.8-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.641.181.7-0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)46.247.693.8-1.460%-
Last 10 (10)45.646.191.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.050.4100.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.447.287.5-6.831%-
vs Similar (8)44.842.587.2+2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.642.088.6+4.678%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.1
50.9%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.6
34.9%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
76.8%13.7
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
52.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.9
39.3%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
76.8%14.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWWLWLWLL
Trento
WLLWWLWLWL
#9
League position
#4
-0.4
Net rating
-0.9
113.2
Offensive rating
115.4
113.6
Defensive rating
116.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
39.3%
61.3%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 115.4Defence113.6 · 116.3Shooting51.5% · 55.4%3-point %34.9% · 39.3%Ball care17.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds35.9% · 31.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tortona wins
2
Trento wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Trento v Tortona83-81
26/11/23Tortona v Trento83-80 OT
21/05/23Trento v Tortona81-82
19/05/23Trento v Tortona79-76
16/05/23Tortona v Trento84-81
14/05/23Tortona v Trento79-78
18/03/23Trento v Tortona73-75
16/02/23Tortona v Trento74-70
02/10/22Tortona v Trento76-70
12/02/22Tortona v Trento76-50
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24APistoia93-89
17/12/24AManresa82-100
14/12/24HVenezia89-82
10/12/24AChemnitz77-61
07/12/24HTreviso90-95
01/12/24AOlimpia Milano98-94
17/11/24HBrescia78-85
13/11/24HBenfica77-71
09/11/24AReggiana82-86
06/11/24AVirtus Bologna81-85
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HVirtus Bologna87-79
18/12/24ABuducnost108-110 OT
15/12/24ATrapani99-107
10/12/24ATrefl Sopot82-70
08/12/24AScafati119-110
03/12/24HGran Canaria70-81
01/12/24HBasket Napoli90-83
28/11/24HBesiktas68-83
17/11/24APistoia92-88
12/11/24ABC Wolves83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game86.181.790.5
Allowed / game84.280.587.8
Point differential+1.9+1.2+2.7
Avg total170.2162.2178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game91.888.794.8
Allowed / game82.976.289.7
Point differential+8.8+12.5+5.2
Avg total174.7164.8184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1211192%91.882.9+8.8
2 Brescia1210283%90.485.6+4.8
3 Trapani1310377%94.686.2+8.4
4 Reggiana139469%80.577.2+3.4
5 Virtus Bologna128467%85.883.0+2.8
6 Trieste127558%86.284.2+2.0
7 Tortona127558%86.184.2+1.9
8 Olimpia Milano127558%86.185.0+1.1
9 Treviso126650%86.386.6-0.2
10 Sassari136746%83.384.2-0.8
11 Venezia124833%76.577.5-1.0
12 Scafati124833%87.292.8-5.6
13 Varese134931%89.397.5-8.2
14 Pistoia123925%82.086.2-4.2
15 Cremona1321115%76.581.2-4.6
16 Basket Napoli131128%81.889.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2519252291
Trento1625152177
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