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Tortona vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.1
ItalyLega ARound 20· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tortona v Trento
14 Feb 2027
TOR v TRE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
TOR103
TRE84
29 Dec 2024
TOR91
TRE77
26 Nov 2023
TOR83
TRE80
16 May 2023
TOR84
TRE81
14 May 2023
TOR79
TRE78
16 Feb 2023
TOR74
TRE70
02 Oct 2022
TOR76
TRE70
12 Feb 2022
TOR76
TRE50
08 Sep 2021
TOR81
TRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Aris
#4
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 76
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 76
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 76
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 76
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 76
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
106-92 OT
106
92
+14
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
14-19
19-21
20-17
24-29
20-16
16-11
14-17
15-21
22-20
22-19
27-21
16-16
25-25
25-23
18-21
9-22
29-23
21-18
19-21
18-25
167.5Avg total
82.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.591.1177.6-4.638%
Season at home (4)88.287.5175.8+0.850%
Season away (4)84.894.8179.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)82.684.9167.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)83.683.6167.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.187.6165.8-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.483.2166.6+0.243%
vs Weaker (8)91.084.4175.4+6.675%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 76
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 76
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 76
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 76
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 76
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
10-13
16-15
17-22
19-38
21-24
18-13
15-28
25-25
28-26
20-30
22-19
16-13
24-21
20-23
22-23
20-29
13-24
19-15
16-31
27-18
170.1Avg total
80.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.884.1163.9-4.438%
Season at home (4)78.588.5167.0-10.025%
Season away (4)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)80.989.2170.1-8.320%
Last 5 (5)77.690.0167.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.489.1172.6-5.731%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.884.1165.9-2.246%
vs Weaker (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
TortonaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/11
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A15/11
Lega A
83.4Avg total
41.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.084.5+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.383.4+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.785.7-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.783.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.081.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.244.086.2-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.441.182.6+0.357%-
vs Weaker (8)44.841.586.2+3.262%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
Lega A
83.2Avg total
40.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.784.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.743.281.8-4.523%-
Last 30 away (17)42.344.186.4-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.383.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.944.285.2-3.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.243.583.6-3.338%-
vs Weaker (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.1
76.7%
74.6%18.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.0
48.2%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.4
33.2%
34.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
74.6%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWLLWLWLL
Trento
LLLLLWLLWL
#12
League position
#11
-8.6
Net rating
-5.3
95.7
Offensive rating
87.9
104.3
Defensive rating
93.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
33.2%
52.0%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 87.9Defence104.3 · 93.1Shooting49.6% · 48.9%3-point %31.2% · 33.2%Ball care14.0% · 17.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Tortona   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tortona wins
3
Trento wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Tortona v Trento103-84
19/10/25Trento v Tortona89-75
01/03/25Trento v Tortona85-89
29/12/24Tortona v Trento91-77
13/04/24Trento v Tortona83-81
26/11/23Tortona v Trento83-80 OT
21/05/23Trento v Tortona81-82
19/05/23Trento v Tortona79-76
16/05/23Tortona v Trento84-81
14/05/23Tortona v Trento79-78
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACantu106-92 OT
11/11/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-91
08/11/26HTreviso87-76
04/11/26ACedevita Olimpija71-73 OT
01/11/26AUdine77-86
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVirtus Bologna75-88
10/11/26HTofas86-96
08/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
03/11/26ABasket Napoli79-90
01/11/26HMaxima Roma62-88
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game86.588.284.8
Allowed / game91.187.594.8
Point differential-4.6+0.8-10.0
Avg total177.6175.8179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game79.878.581.0
Allowed / game84.188.579.8
Point differential-4.4-10.0+1.2
Avg total163.9167.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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