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Trento vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-79
20-23 21-29 25-5 21-22
Position#4
Record10-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game83.3
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record8-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game82.6
ItalyLega ARound 12· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trento v Virtus Bologna
15 Nov 2026
TRE v VIR
upcoming
24 May 2026
TRE81
VIR90
22 May 2026
TRE102
VIR85
01 Nov 2025
TRE83
VIR102
22 Dec 2024
TRE87
VIR79
15 Oct 2023
TRE75
VIR90
20 Nov 2022
TRE64
VIR71
26 Sep 2021
TRE88
VIR102
09 Jan 2021
TRE85
VIR92
05 Jan 2020
TRE77
VIR83
30 Dec 2018
TRE71
VIR65
30 Sep 2017
TRE78
VIR74
12 Dec 2015
TRE80
VIR66
10 May 2015
TRE96
VIR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
71avg 75
H09/11
Lega A
BC Wolves
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 75
A12/11
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
W
92-88
92
88
+4
86avg 75
A17/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 75
H28/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#14
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 75
H01/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#4
L
70-81
70
81
-11
57avg 75
H03/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
113avg 75
A08/12
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
82-70
82
70
+12
57avg 75
A10/12
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
99-107
99
107
-8
97avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
105avg 75
A18/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-6
14-25
16-18
21-25
30-19
13-22
19-22
22-21
23-27
27-24
20-16
20-17
12-22
10-21
26-23
22-14
16-19
23-26
29-24
22-19
18-26
16-21
14-15
31-30
29-29
28-23
31-28
22-16
20-19
19-13
21-22
30-32
28-27
22-26
19-22
25-24
24-23
22-30
24-18
177.5Avg total
88.7Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.283.3175.5+8.991%
Season at home (5)89.075.6164.6+13.4100%
Season away (6)94.889.7184.5+5.283%
Last 10 (10)88.788.8177.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)95.695.6191.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.890.8167.6-13.915%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.583.6171.1+3.962%
vs Weaker (9)92.484.7177.1+7.8100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 79
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
78avg 79
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 79
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 79
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
64avg 79
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
72avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
H20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
19-27
32-19
21-18
25-34
18-26
20-22
23-20
17-10
19-18
19-26
25-13
24-37
24-22
29-20
13-11
16-20
21-21
17-17
18-19
26-24
17-14
15-26
23-14
15-24
17-29
29-14
10-21
21-23
23-15
12-19
30-31
21-16
167.8Avg total
82.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.582.6169.1+3.873%
Season at home (5)87.681.8169.4+5.880%
Season away (6)85.583.3168.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)82.984.9167.8-2.030%
Last 5 (5)79.480.0159.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.585.5165.0-6.020%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.785.9171.6-0.240%
vs Weaker (9)85.782.2167.9+3.467%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
TrentoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H09/11
Lega A
BC Wolves
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A12/11
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A17/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#14
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H03/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A10/12
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A18/12
Eurocup
89.5Avg total
46.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.488.1-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.480.9+0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)46.447.994.4-1.556%-
Last 10 (10)46.143.489.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)49.849.098.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.447.287.5-6.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.942.688.5+3.238%-
vs Weaker (9)46.642.088.6+4.678%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/12
Euroleague
82.3Avg total
40.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.183.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.141.680.7-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)44.142.586.6+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.682.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.242.082.2-1.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.142.785.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker (9)41.042.383.3-1.333%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.3
51.7%
52.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.7
39.9%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.6%
76.8%13.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.8
54.4%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.3
29.0%
35.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.416.4
73.2%
76.8%16.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLWWLWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
WLLWWLLLLL
#4
League position
#1
-0.9
Net rating
-2.7
112.3
Offensive rating
110.7
113.2
Defensive rating
113.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.9%
3-point %
29.0%
60.0%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 110.7Defence113.2 · 113.4Shooting55.3% · 50.2%3-point %39.9% · 29.0%Ball care18.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Trento   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trento wins
9
Virtus Bologna wins
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24ABuducnost108-110 OT
15/12/24ATrapani99-107
10/12/24ATrefl Sopot82-70
08/12/24AScafati119-110
03/12/24HGran Canaria70-81
01/12/24HBasket Napoli90-83
28/11/24HBesiktas68-83
17/11/24APistoia92-88
12/11/24ABC Wolves83-88
09/11/24HTrieste76-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HBarcelona86-81
18/12/24AOlympiacos77-87
15/12/24HTrieste70-78
12/12/24ABaskonia82-81
08/12/24AOlimpia Milano82-73
06/12/24HCrvena zvezda87-94
04/12/24HAlba Berlin88-90 OT
01/12/24ABrescia97-98
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game92.289.094.8
Allowed / game83.375.689.7
Point differential+8.9+13.4+5.2
Avg total175.5164.6184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL73%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game86.587.685.5
Allowed / game82.681.883.3
Point differential+3.8+5.8+2.2
Avg total169.1169.4168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1110191%92.283.3+8.9
2 Brescia1210283%90.485.6+4.8
3 Trapani119282%93.785.7+8.0
4 Reggiana129375%81.274.5+6.7
5 Virtus Bologna118373%86.582.6+3.8
6 Trieste127558%86.284.2+2.0
7 Tortona127558%86.184.2+1.9
8 Olimpia Milano116555%84.484.5-0.2
9 Treviso126650%86.386.6-0.2
10 Sassari125742%83.685.8-2.2
11 Venezia124833%76.577.5-1.0
12 Scafati124833%87.292.8-5.6
13 Pistoia123925%82.086.2-4.2
14 Varese123925%89.398.5-9.2
15 Cremona1221017%77.581.2-3.8
16 Basket Napoli121118%81.489.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2021252187
Virtus Bologna232952279
← all games of the day
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