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Cremona vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 94-99
22-26 24-26 21-19 27-28
Position#13
Record9-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record14-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game85.7
ItalyLega ARound 30· PalaRadi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Cremona v Tortona
21 Dec 2025
CRE71
TOR76
11 May 2025
CRE94
TOR99
17 Dec 2023
CRE83
TOR67
10 Apr 2022
CRE73
TOR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
79avg 70
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 70
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 70
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 70
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
83avg 70
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
83-118
83
118
-35
78avg 70
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-101
81
101
-20
69avg 70
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
84avg 70
A04/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
24-18
19-29
25-30
26-20
23-24
19-24
26-17
9-23
20-16
25-26
16-22
22-23
20-17
23-28
24-25
29-19
26-22
22-15
17-21
6-16
16-14
18-23
28-15
21-21
27-19
22-21
16-28
18-27
25-27
16-33
24-31
13-28
24-24
30-20
14-29
21-15
27-19
22-14
19-17
175.9Avg total
86.0Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.384.1163.4-4.831%
Season at home (14)80.682.5163.1-1.936%
Season away (15)78.185.7163.7-7.627%
Last 10 (10)86.089.9175.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)85.291.6176.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.486.9163.3-10.511%
vs Similar (10)84.381.8166.1+2.560%
vs Weaker (2)77.065.5142.5+11.550%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 77
H23/03
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 77
H26/03
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 77
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 77
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
80avg 77
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 77
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
54avg 77
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 77
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 77
H27/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 77
H04/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
22-17
18-16
22-18
18-17
22-15
25-24
15-18
22-22
16-22
23-27
21-23
17-23
37-28
16-29
21-21
10-23
26-17
19-19
25-21
16-20
20-16
21-21
25-30
19-24
19-11
16-24
10-18
20-25
22-33
17-19
32-15
16-22
20-19
11-23
21-21
22-27
13-19
14-20
33-23
168.3Avg total
82.3Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.885.7171.5+0.048%
Season at home (15)82.583.1165.5-0.647%
Season away (14)89.388.6177.9+0.750%
Last 10 (10)82.386.0168.3-3.720%
Last 5 (5)77.486.0163.4-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.089.2172.2-6.238%
vs Similar (8)80.687.9168.5-7.212%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.377.5163.8+8.877%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
CremonaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A04/05
Lega A
83.0Avg total
41.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.481.9-0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.440.177.5-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.641.879.3-4.239%-
vs Similar (10)41.940.482.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker (2)36.533.570.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/03
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H26/03
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H04/05
Lega A
82.6Avg total
40.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.081.1-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.582.4+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.480.1-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.782.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.280.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.944.285.1-3.438%-
vs Similar (8)38.443.581.9-5.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.337.478.7+3.962%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.7
52.7%
52.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.612.1
40.9%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
76.8%13.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.1
48.3%
52.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.6
35.0%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.615.5
88.1%
76.8%15.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLLLWWLLWL
Tortona
LLLLLLLLWW
#13
League position
#9
-6.0
Net rating
-4.5
113.4
Offensive rating
110.2
119.5
Defensive rating
114.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.9%
3-point %
35.0%
61.4%
Assist %
65.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 110.2Defence119.5 · 114.7Shooting56.7% · 50.2%3-point %40.9% · 35.0%Ball care14.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds22.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cremona wins
4
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Tortona v Cremona80-68
30/03/24Tortona v Cremona87-76
17/12/23Cremona v Tortona83-67
10/04/22Cremona v Tortona73-74
15/01/22Tortona v Cremona97-92
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25APistoia89-65
28/04/25HTrieste81-101
18/04/25AOlimpia Milano83-118
13/04/25HTrento86-89
06/04/25AVarese87-85 OT
30/03/25HTreviso94-77
23/03/25ASassari89-93
16/03/25AVenezia70-87
08/03/25HBasket Napoli94-85
02/03/25ABrescia87-99
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HBasket Napoli82-89
27/04/25HOlimpia Milano68-85
19/04/25ATreviso91-92
16/04/25HTenerife64-77
13/04/25ASassari82-87
09/04/25ATenerife89-93 OT
05/04/25HTrapani91-101
30/03/25AVenezia82-94
26/03/25HWurzburg80-74
23/03/25HPistoia94-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW31%
HomeWWWLL36%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %31%36%27%
Points / game79.380.678.1
Allowed / game84.182.585.7
Point differential-4.8-1.9-7.6
Avg total163.4163.1163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %14%14%13%
Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%47%50%
Points / game85.882.589.3
Allowed / game85.783.188.6
Point differential+0.0-0.6+0.7
Avg total171.5165.5177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2922776%94.684.7+9.9
2 Virtus Bologna2922776%85.576.7+8.8
3 Trento3022873%88.581.5+7.0
4 Brescia2921872%89.984.5+5.4
5 Olimpia Milano29191066%89.184.1+5.0
6 Trieste30181260%87.284.9+2.3
7 Reggiana29171259%79.477.8+1.7
8 Venezia29151452%83.180.7+2.4
9 Tortona29141548%85.885.7+0.0
10 Treviso29121741%84.387.2-2.9
11 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
12 Varese29101934%87.195.3-8.2
13 Cremona2992031%79.384.1-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati2962321%84.892.7-7.8
16 Pistoia2962321%79.089.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2224212794
Tortona2626192899
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