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Towson vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 68-42
36-19 32-23
Position#175
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game65.5
Towson 🏆
USA
vs
UMBC Retrievers
USA
Position#261
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Towson v UMBC Retrievers
14 Nov 2026
TOWS68
UMBC42
07 Dec 2024
TOWS71
UMBC84
10 Dec 2019
TOWS77
UMBC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Towson winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.20
Implied82.0%
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best odds5.34
Implied18.0%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TowsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A03/03
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
81-56
81
56
+25
A08/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A03/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A06/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#363
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H10/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-22
32-34
30-36
41-31
27-36
42-21
30-17
44-51
43-32
38-24
28-27
27-28
35-43
35-46
19-27
38-40
38-28
28-18
40-24
50-36
133.5Avg total
70.1Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.865.5136.2+5.250%
Season at home (2)78.053.0131.0+25.0100%
Season away (2)63.578.0141.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)70.163.4133.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)69.666.0135.6+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.574.8138.2-11.20%
vs Similar (20)67.066.2133.2+0.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.561.8144.3+20.783%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
91-52
91
52
+39
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A17/03
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A02/11
NCAA
Marist
#306
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A06/11
NCAA
McDaniel
#417
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H09/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
47-27
46-24
45-28
34-30
50-39
43-29
48-40
30-28
44-31
41-49
42-37
27-33
27-49
33-38
47-50
51-25
40-36
42-39
43-31
151.3Avg total
81.7Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.575.2152.8+2.250%
Season at home (2)88.065.5153.5+22.5100%
Season away (2)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)81.769.6151.3+12.170%
Last 5 (5)78.677.4156.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)69.576.0145.5-6.550%
vs Similar (3)77.389.3166.7-12.00%
vs Weaker (24)77.465.5142.9+11.879%
This opponent (Towson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139Actual: Under 139
Over 139
no forecast
@ 1.43
Under 139
no forecast
@ 2.65
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
Under
Bet365
2.65
Over/Under 144 · main lineActual: Under 144
Over 144
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under 144
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.88
Over/Under 149Actual: Under 149
Over 149
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under 149
no forecast
@ 1.70
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathon Be
1.65
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Towson total 74.5Actual: Towson under 74.5
Over 74.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under 74.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.35
Towson total 79 · main lineActual: Towson under 79
Over 79
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under 79
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Towson total 82.5Actual: Towson under 82.5
Over 82.5
no forecast
@ 2.82
Under 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.33
UMBC Retrievers total 63.5Actual: UMBC Retrievers under 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.50
UMBC Retrievers total 68 · main lineActual: UMBC Retrievers under 68
Over 68
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 68
no forecast
@ 1.87
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
UMBC Retrievers total 71.5Actual: UMBC Retrievers under 71.5
Over 71.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
Under 71.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Towson -13Actual: Towson -13
TOWS -13
no forecast
@ 2.40
UMBC +13
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
TOWS
Bet365
2.40
UMBC
Bet365
1.52
Spread Towson -10 · main lineActual: Towson -10
TOWS -10
no forecast
@ 1.90
UMBC +10
no forecast
@ 1.96
Best 5 market prices
TOWS
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.81
1xBet
1.76
UMBC
1xBet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
Spread Towson -7Actual: Towson -7
TOWS -7
no forecast
@ 1.52
UMBC +7
no forecast
@ 2.40
Best 5 market prices
TOWS
Bet365
1.52
UMBC
Bet365
2.40

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +6.5+6.5
TowsonUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TowsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A08/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A10/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A06/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#363
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H13/11
NCAA
60.8Avg total
31.6Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)32.031.463.4+0.547%33%
Last 30 at home (15)34.127.962.1+6.260%33%
Last 30 away (15)29.834.964.7-5.133%33%
Last 10 (10)31.629.260.8+2.460%20%
Last 5 (5)32.029.861.8+2.260%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.537.566.0-9.025%50%
vs Similar (20)30.130.860.9-0.735%25%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.529.570.0+11.0100%50%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A17/03
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/11
NCAA
Marist
#306
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A06/11
NCAA
McDaniel
#417
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
38.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)36.331.968.2+4.460%50%
Last 30 at home (15)37.930.868.7+7.180%47%
Last 30 away (15)34.633.067.6+1.640%53%
Last 10 (10)38.432.871.2+5.670%70%
Last 5 (5)38.836.875.6+2.040%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.536.070.5-1.550%50%
vs Similar (3)34.344.078.3-9.70%100%
vs Weaker (24)36.030.366.4+5.767%42%
This opponent (Towson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Towson win
TOWS win
no forecast
@ 1.35
UMBC win
no forecast
@ 3.80
1st half Spread Towson -6 · main lineActual: Towson -6
TOWS -6
no forecast
@ 1.87
UMBC +6
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main lineActual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
Towson 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Towson under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
UMBC Retrievers 1st half total 31.5 · main lineActual: UMBC Retrievers under 31.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half: TOWS + total 68.5
TOWS & over
no forecast
@ 2.55
TOWS & under
no forecast
@ 2.70
1st half: Draw + total 68.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: UMBC + total 68.5
UMBC & over
no forecast
@ 6.00
UMBC & under
no forecast
@ 6.50
1st half Spread Towson -5Actual: Towson -5
TOWS -5
no forecast
@ 1.87
UMBC +5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.55
Under
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Towson -7.5Actual: Towson -7.5
TOWS -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
UMBC +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Towson -8.5Actual: Towson -8.5
TOWS -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
UMBC +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Towson -3.5Actual: Towson -3.5
TOWS -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.66
UMBC +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Towson (regulation)
TOWS
no forecast
@ 1.37
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
UMBC
no forecast
@ 3.80

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TOWS win + total 144.5
🔒 Pro
UMBC win + total 144.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TOWS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: UMBC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Towson wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Towson v UMBC Retrievers71-84
09/12/23UMBC Retrievers v Towson73-89
11/12/19Towson v UMBC Retrievers77-71
Towsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HLoyola Maryland90-60
10/11/26HLIU Sharks66-46
06/11/26AUtah Utes57-67
03/11/26ASanta Clara70-89
10/03/26AHofstra65-68 OT
08/03/26ACharleston81-56
07/03/26HHampton74-68
03/03/26AStony Brook69-57
28/02/26HCampbell71-67
27/02/26HElon58-56
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMorgan State85-70
09/11/26HMcDaniel91-61
06/11/26AMarist80-88
02/11/26AGeorge Mason54-82
17/03/26AHoward83-86
14/03/26HVermont74-59
10/03/26HUMass Lowell91-69
07/03/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats84-69
03/03/26ANJIT91-52
28/02/26AUMass Lowell84-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Towson
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.878.063.5
Allowed / game65.553.078.0
Point differential+5.2+25.0-14.5
Avg total136.2131.0141.5
Over 14450%50%50%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.588.067.0
Allowed / game75.265.585.0
Point differential+2.2+22.5-18.0
Avg total152.8153.5152.0
Over 14475%100%50%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
5 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
6 Towson42250%70.865.5+5.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%79.262.8+16.5
2 Binghamton43175%70.066.5+3.5
3 Vermont42250%78.565.2+13.2
4 UMBC Retrievers42250%77.575.2+2.2
5 Maine Black Bears51420%64.272.0-7.8
6 Bryant University51420%60.271.8-11.6
7 NJIT61517%55.777.3-21.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Towson363268
UMBC Retrievers192342
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