PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 84-68
24-13 22-21 17-21 21-13
Position#4
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.5
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record4-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game80.4
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
122avg 101
H09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
76-59
76
59
+17
112avg 101
A16/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
106avg 101
H30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
91avg 101
A06/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
94avg 101
H14/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
no box
A20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
78-73
78
73
+5
111avg 101
A27/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
97avg 101
H04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
92avg 101
A10/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
28-22
20-27
22-9
22-7
13-21
20-21
21-10
31-25
14-14
16-15
24-22
18-22
30-22
16-16
16-24
17-23
19-18
13-22
18-21
17-15
12-19
23-17
18-23
14-13
22-20
16-22
21-18
23-22
19-15
14-19
22-17
16-17
15-27
18-23
25-25
27-14
14-15
10-22
15-18
153.6Avg total
76.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.076.5151.5-1.536%
Season at home (5)79.880.6160.4-0.840%
Season away (6)71.073.0144.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)76.477.2153.6-0.840%
Last 5 (5)73.278.4151.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar (18)76.876.3153.2+0.544%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.778.2155.9-0.644%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
114avg 105
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
92avg 105
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
94avg 105
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
104avg 105
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
109avg 105
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
H14/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
21-17
20-24
29-29
19-18
18-14
11-21
14-16
24-12
18-30
15-17
11-15
17-14
9-26
18-22
20-25
19-21
15-18
13-18
24-19
20-19
16-21
23-17
17-14
20-28
18-30
31-13
13-21
19-25
18-23
13-20
20-18
21-21
17-12
16-16
27-22
18-17
18-28
9-18
22-23
152.3Avg total
72.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.980.4158.3-2.536%
Season at home (6)82.078.5160.5+3.550%
Season away (5)73.082.6155.6-9.620%
Last 10 (10)72.879.5152.3-6.730%
Last 5 (5)75.281.2156.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.478.6151.0-6.335%
vs Similar (13)81.080.5161.5+0.554%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A16/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A27/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A10/12
Lega A
76.1Avg total
39.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.775.3+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.436.574.9+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)38.736.875.5+1.965%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.076.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.471.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (18)38.435.974.3+2.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.838.177.9+1.767%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/12
Champions League
76.9Avg total
36.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.678.1-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.439.478.8+0.144%-
Last 30 away (12)34.542.577.0-8.08%-
Last 10 (10)36.240.776.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.881.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.141.978.0-5.918%-
vs Similar (13)39.338.978.2+0.446%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.6
47.9%
51.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.7
29.5%
35.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.915.4
67.2%
74.0%15.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.1
48.0%
51.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.7
34.5%
35.7%23.0
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.9%
74.0%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLWLLLLWWW
Varese
LWLLWLLLLW
#4
League position
#10
-1.6
Net rating
-5.7
97.8
Offensive rating
98.8
99.4
Defensive rating
104.5
46.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
21.8%
Turnover %
20.6%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
34.5%
51.7%
Assist %
52.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 98.8Defence99.4 · 104.5Shooting46.8% · 49.4%3-point %29.5% · 34.5%Ball care21.8% · 20.6%Off. rebounds35.1% · 27.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trento wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
09/11/14Varese v Trento70-76
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/16ASassari66-69
04/12/16HOlimpia Milano74-92
27/11/16APesaro78-73
20/11/16APistoia78-84 OT
14/11/16HTorino70-74
06/11/16ACaserta67-84
30/10/16HReggiana80-84
23/10/16HCapo d'Orlando85-76
16/10/16AVenezia76-59
09/10/16HCremona90-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/16HNeptunas67-86
11/12/16HReggiana81-71
06/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne70-86
03/12/16HCantu82-92
30/11/16HOldenburg76-71
27/11/16ACapo d'Orlando71-76
22/11/16AUsak Sportif64-87
19/11/16HBrescia68-74
16/11/16HHydroTruck Radom62-69
13/11/16APesaro87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game75.079.871.0
Allowed / game76.580.673.0
Point differential-1.5-0.8-2.0
Avg total151.5160.4144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game77.982.073.0
Allowed / game80.478.582.6
Point differential-2.5+3.5-9.6
Avg total158.3160.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1110191%88.777.7+11.0
2 Reggiana118373%83.179.7+3.4
3 Venezia118373%83.080.5+2.5
4 Avellino117464%78.675.6+3.0
5 Capo d'Orlando127558%79.075.5+3.5
6 Caserta127558%83.283.2+0.1
7 Brindisi116555%82.279.7+2.5
8 Brescia115645%81.581.9-0.5
9 Torino115645%82.784.5-1.8
10 Sassari125742%75.275.5-0.3
11 Trento114736%75.076.5-1.5
12 Varese114736%77.980.4-2.5
13 Pistoia114736%74.778.7-4.0
14 Cantu114736%77.583.3-5.7
15 Pesaro124833%76.179.5-3.4
16 Cremona112918%76.282.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2422172184
Varese1321211368
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.