PythiaBasketballBETA
On 18 November 2026 the EuroCup will see Trento host Neptunas, with the model favouring Trento at 63% versus 37% for Neptunas; the projected score is 88-84 and the total is 172.1. Trento, 2-5 overall with 82.1 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game, sits 27th in the league and has struggled at home, going 1-3 with 85.2 points and 92.5 allowed; their last five games yielded one win and four losses, including a 86-96 defeat to Tofas at home, a 86-88 loss to Olimpia Milano away and a 79-90 loss to Basket Napoli away. Neptunas, also 2-5 with 84.7 points and 90.3 allowed, sits 26th and has gone 0-3 on the road, scoring 84.0 and conceding 97.0; their last five games contain two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 90-82 win over Slask Wroclaw at home and a 82-80 win over Taurage at home, but a 79-94 loss to Tofas away. In their single previous meeting, Trento edged Neptunas 76-73 on 29 September 2026. The spread is -4.5 in favour of Trento with a 50% chance of covering, while the over on 175.5 has a 41% probability, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 82.1 | 89.0 | 171.1 | -6.9 | 29% |
| Season at home (4) | 85.2 | 92.5 | 177.8 | -7.2 | 25% |
| Season away (3) | 78.0 | 84.3 | 162.3 | -6.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.8 | 87.0 | 167.8 | -6.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.4 | 90.8 | 172.2 | -9.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 83.4 | 87.8 | 171.1 | -4.4 | 38% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 82.5 | 85.6 | 168.1 | -3.1 | 42% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 88.5 | 93.0 | 181.5 | -4.5 | 0% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 84.7 | 90.3 | 175.0 | -5.6 | 29% |
| Season at home (4) | 85.2 | 85.2 | 170.5 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 84.0 | 97.0 | 181.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.8 | 89.9 | 176.7 | -3.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.0 | 89.8 | 172.8 | -6.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 82.7 | 95.2 | 177.8 | -12.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 83.6 | 82.5 | 166.1 | +1.2 | 55% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 89.5 | 85.5 | 175.0 | +4.1 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 89.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 44.1 | 85.1 | -3.2 | 33% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 39.2 | 44.2 | 83.4 | -4.9 | 23% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 42.3 | 44.1 | 86.4 | -1.8 | 41% | 35% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.5 | 41.7 | 83.2 | -0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.8 | 43.0 | 83.8 | -2.2 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 41.3 | 43.9 | 85.2 | -2.6 | 31% | 38% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 40.3 | 44.3 | 84.7 | -4.0 | 33% | 25% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 42.0 | 45.0 | 87.0 | -3.0 | 50% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 89.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.6 | 42.9 | 87.5 | +1.8 | 57% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 45.2 | 41.6 | 86.9 | +3.6 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 43.8 | 44.5 | 88.3 | -0.6 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.1 | 44.3 | 89.4 | +0.8 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.8 | 43.8 | 87.6 | +0.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 43.2 | 49.5 | 92.7 | -6.3 | 17% | 83% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 45.5 | 38.5 | 84.1 | +7.0 | 82% | 36% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 44.5 | 43.5 | 88.0 | +1.1 | 54% | 54% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half: Under 92.5 | 72.9% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp |
| Under 181.5 | 71.8% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp |
| Neptunas under 89.5 | 70.2% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +6.9pp |
| Trento under 94.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp |
| Neptunas +11.5 | 72.6% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.3 | 17.0 | 54.0% | 34.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.3 | 10.4 | 34.0% | 31.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.2 | 15.1 | 75.6% | 15.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.5 | 21.1 | 54.0% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.8 | 7.8 | 34.0% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.6 | 20.2 | 75.6% | 20.2 |
Trento
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Tofas | 86-96 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Olimpia Milano | 86-88 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Basket Napoli | 79-90 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Maxima Roma | 62-88 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Buducnost | 94-92 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Scafati | 81-87 |
| 21/10/26 | A | JL Bourg | 79-90 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Varese | 87-85 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Chemnitz | 80-88 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Udine | 74-66 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Slask Wroclaw | 90-82 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Taurage | 82-80 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Tofas | 79-94 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Lietkabelis | 79-99 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Basket Napoli | 85-94 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Siauliai | 110-88 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Buducnost | 89-104 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Jonava | 84-83 |
| 13/10/26 | H | JL Bourg | 93-89 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Rytas | 77-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 29% |
| Home | LLWL | 25% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Points / game | 82.1 | 85.2 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 89.0 | 92.5 | 84.3 |
| Point differential | -6.9 | -7.2 | -6.3 |
| Avg total | 171.1 | 177.8 | 162.3 |
| Over 175.5 | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLW | 29% |
| Home | LWLW | 50% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 84.7 | 85.2 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 90.3 | 85.2 | 97.0 |
| Point differential | -5.6 | +0.0 | -13.0 |
| Avg total | 175.0 | 170.5 | 181.0 |
| Over 175.5 | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hapoel Jerusalem | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 88.4 | 74.0 | +14.4 |
| 2 |  Basket Napoli | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.9 | 84.0 | +10.9 |
| 3 |  Bahcesehir Kol. | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 92.6 | 76.6 | +16.0 |
| 4 |  Aris | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 90.6 | 77.0 | +13.6 |
| 5 |  Tenerife | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.4 | 79.0 | +12.4 |
| 6 |  Tofas | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.7 | 82.9 | +8.9 |
| 7 |  PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 87.7 | 82.0 | +5.7 |
| 8 |  Manresa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 88.1 | 83.3 | +4.9 |
| 9 |  London Lions | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.1 | 75.3 | +5.9 |
| 10 |  Buducnost | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.4 | 84.4 | +4.0 |
| 11 | Maxima Roma | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.4 | 84.7 | +3.7 |
| 12 |  Le Mans | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.7 | 78.1 | +2.6 |
| 13 |  Chemnitz | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.9 | 85.4 | +2.4 |
| 14 |  Venezia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.3 | 80.6 | +5.7 |
| 15 |  Ulm | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 87.6 | 87.4 | +0.1 |
| 16 |  Turk Telekom | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.6 | 80.9 | -0.3 |
| 17 |  Tortona | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.6 | 83.3 | -2.7 |
| 18 | BC Roma | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 87.0 | 90.6 | -3.6 |
| 19 |  Siauliai | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 86.3 | -6.3 |
| 20 |  Rigas Zelli | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 78.6 | 85.3 | -6.7 |
| 21 |  Lietkabelis | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 73.7 | 81.7 | -8.0 |
| 22 |  Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.6 | 94.7 | -8.1 |
| 23 |  KK Bosna | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.9 | 81.9 | -2.0 |
| 24 |  JL Bourg | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.1 | 84.7 | -3.6 |
| 25 |  Cedevita Olimpija | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.9 | 79.0 | -4.1 |
| 26 | Neptunas | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 84.7 | 90.3 | -5.6 |
| 27 | Trento | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 82.1 | 89.0 | -6.9 |
| 28 |  Rostock | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.4 | 86.4 | -8.0 |
| 29 |  Cluj-Napoca | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.3 | 94.3 | -13.0 |
| 30 |  San Pablo Burgos | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 76.9 | 85.9 | -9.0 |
| 31 |  Slask Wroclaw | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.7 | 89.9 | -10.1 |
| 32 |  Balkan | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 67.4 | 80.6 | -13.1 |
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