PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-77
17-16 18-22 28-18 20-21
Position#10
Record14-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game87.4
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record23-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game83.8
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals· PalaTrieste
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trieste v Brescia
23 May 2026
TRI83
BRE77
21 May 2026
TRI80
BRE84
19 Apr 2026
TRI82
BRE86
24 May 2025
TRI88
BRE92
22 May 2025
TRI70
BRE80
08 Dec 2024
TRI65
BRE69
26 Nov 2022
TRI90
BRE91
10 Oct 2021
TRI80
BRE72
07 Feb 2021
TRI78
BRE81
19 Oct 2019
TRI76
BRE74
21 Oct 2018
TRI90
BRE86
10 May 2015
TRI79
BRE73
08 May 2015
TRI85
BRE84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A29/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H04/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A26/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A03/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H21/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
22-23
18-22
16-21
25-20
23-33
22-18
20-18
19-27
25-14
20-15
25-14
17-17
27-22
19-21
19-26
16-27
27-26
21-22
17-20
16-18
22-28
8-21
32-19
22-29
22-24
20-21
25-20
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
172.0Avg total
83.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.187.4171.5-3.344%
Season at home (16)85.782.4168.1+3.262%
Season away (16)82.592.4174.9-9.925%
Last 10 (10)83.988.1172.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)84.288.8173.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.386.8166.1-7.521%
vs Similar (16)84.282.5166.8+1.856%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H29/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H04/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
90-99
90
99
-9
H26/04
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A03/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H10/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H16/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H18/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A21/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
29-28
22-26
20-24
23-24
18-20
29-17
30-24
21-25
20-21
24-17
24-11
17-17
22-27
21-19
26-19
31-18
20-30
27-25
12-26
22-18
16-20
18-23
24-27
27-16
30-15
15-24
20-16
24-28
27-31
24-13
15-20
21-19
28-23
19-21
22-19
22-18
22-21
17-15
23-26
174.7Avg total
89.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.583.8172.3+4.772%
Season at home (16)91.885.4177.2+6.475%
Season away (16)85.282.2167.4+2.969%
Last 10 (10)89.385.4174.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)87.282.6169.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.885.0157.8-12.250%
vs Similar (10)86.585.6172.1+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.882.8171.5+6.075%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
TriesteBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A29/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H04/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A26/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
92.6Avg total
44.3Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.185.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.685.5-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.542.786.1+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.348.392.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.693.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.845.186.9-3.429%-
vs Similar (16)43.441.484.8+2.162%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H04/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H26/04
Lega A
Tortona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A03/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H10/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H16/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H18/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/05
Lega A
90.3Avg total
46.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.687.3+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.692.6+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.882.6-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)46.144.290.3+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)47.841.889.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.546.080.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (10)43.444.287.6-0.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.142.788.8+3.456%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.8
58.1%
54.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.6
31.9%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.9
80.1%
76.1%14.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.5
53.8%
54.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.9
37.1%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.516.4
80.0%
76.1%16.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLWLLLLWWL
Brescia
WWLWLLWWWL
#10
League position
#4
-4.4
Net rating
+4.1
98.0
Offensive rating
105.2
102.4
Defensive rating
101.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
37.1%
65.0%
Assist %
56.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 105.2Defence102.4 · 101.1Shooting53.3% · 54.5%3-point %31.9% · 37.1%Ball care13.5% · 10.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Trieste   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
21/05/26Trieste v Brescia80-84
18/05/26Brescia v Trieste90-82
16/05/26Brescia v Trieste90-92
19/04/26Trieste v Brescia82-86
09/11/25Brescia v Trieste98-75
24/05/25Trieste v Brescia88-92 OT
22/05/25Trieste v Brescia70-80
19/05/25Brescia v Trieste92-103
17/05/25Brescia v Trieste89-77
09/02/25Brescia v Trieste93-90
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90
10/05/26HCremona89-94
03/05/26AOlimpia Milano78-86
26/04/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
19/04/26HBrescia82-86
12/04/26AUdine89-70
04/04/26HVarese90-89
29/03/26ACantu76-97
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/26ATrieste84-80
18/05/26HTrieste90-82
16/05/26HTrieste90-92
10/05/26HSassari92-71
03/05/26ATortona80-88
26/04/26HTreviso90-99
19/04/26ATrieste86-82
11/04/26AVenezia89-74
04/04/26HBasket Napoli100-85
29/03/26HReggiana92-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeLWLLL62%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game84.185.782.5
Allowed / game87.482.492.4
Point differential-3.3+3.2-9.9
Avg total171.5168.1174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW72%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %72%75%69%
Points / game88.591.885.2
Allowed / game83.885.482.2
Point differential+4.7+6.4+2.9
Avg total172.3177.2167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (2)71% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3225778%84.777.2+7.4
2 Olimpia Milano3223972%86.679.8+6.8
3 Brescia3223972%88.583.8+4.7
4 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
5 Venezia32211166%89.785.3+4.4
6 Tortona32191359%86.485.1+1.3
7 Reggiana32151747%82.680.9+1.7
8 Trento32151747%83.282.9+0.3
9 Varese29131645%84.587.9-3.4
10 Trieste32141844%84.187.4-3.3
11 Basket Napoli29111838%84.786.9-2.2
12 Cremona29111838%82.786.1-3.5
13 Udine29101934%81.183.8-2.7
14 Treviso29101934%83.689.1-5.5
15 Cantu2992031%83.988.5-4.7
16 Sassari2982128%85.389.6-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1718282083
Brescia1622182177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.