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Tortona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-80
18-22 20-16 23-18 27-24
Position#6
Record16-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.9
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record20-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 29· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tortona v Brescia
03 May 2026
TOR88
BRE80
17 Nov 2024
TOR78
BRE85
05 Nov 2023
TOR59
BRE87
16 Apr 2023
TOR77
BRE90
13 Apr 2022
TOR81
BRE74
23 May 2016
TOR76
BRE72
21 May 2016
TOR76
BRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 80
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
96avg 80
H08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 80
A15/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 80
H08/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
100-73
100
73
+27
98avg 80
H22/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
87-97
87
97
-10
80avg 80
A28/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
86-91
86
91
-5
73avg 80
A04/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
103-84
103
84
+19
101avg 80
H12/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
56avg 80
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
69-88
69
88
-19
52avg 80
A26/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-18
19-26
19-20
19-23
22-32
39-24
24-20
23-17
19-16
22-27
25-22
21-15
20-23
18-18
26-22
27-22
28-16
18-17
27-18
28-21
21-28
23-22
15-26
23-16
23-28
21-24
19-23
23-21
31-18
23-22
26-23
7-14
18-18
15-17
29-25
14-20
15-28
23-22
17-18
171.7Avg total
87.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.485.9173.3+1.559%
Season at home (14)92.886.5179.3+6.371%
Season away (13)81.685.3166.9-3.746%
Last 10 (10)87.184.6171.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.281.8155.0-8.620%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.885.6172.3+1.256%
vs Weaker (16)91.488.1179.4+3.369%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 81
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
73avg 81
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
96-98
96
98
-2
96avg 81
A14/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
79-78
79
78
+1
66avg 81
A15/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 81
A22/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 81
H29/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
100-85
100
85
+15
89avg 81
H04/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
78avg 81
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 81
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
90-99
90
99
-9
81avg 81
H26/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-25
23-14
24-17
19-23
18-23
18-25
24-16
34-22
21-19
23-31
18-26
24-29
18-14
19-14
18-21
30-18
17-18
22-24
16-17
21-23
29-28
22-26
20-24
23-24
18-20
29-17
30-24
21-25
20-21
24-17
24-11
17-17
22-27
21-19
26-19
31-18
20-30
27-25
12-26
174.8Avg total
88.6Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.784.0172.8+4.774%
Season at home (13)92.186.2178.3+5.877%
Season away (14)85.682.0167.6+3.671%
Last 10 (10)88.686.2174.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)91.488.2179.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.486.0159.4-12.640%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.783.1168.8+2.660%
vs Weaker (15)90.184.3174.4+5.780%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
TortonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H22/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A28/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H12/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A26/04
Lega A
83.3Avg total
42.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.085.7+1.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.841.885.6+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)43.542.285.7+1.371%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.083.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.242.881.0-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.442.185.6+1.367%-
vs Weaker (16)45.541.787.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A14/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H04/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H26/04
Lega A
89.5Avg total
44.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.587.0-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.743.790.4+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.743.484.1-2.744%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.989.5-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.691.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.446.282.6-9.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.543.887.3-0.340%-
vs Weaker (15)45.942.588.3+3.460%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.2
55.2%
54.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
76.1%14.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.4
50.5%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.518.2
80.9%
76.1%18.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LLWLLWWWWL
Brescia
LWWWLWWLLW
#6
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
+2.3
99.5
Offensive rating
102.7
96.7
Defensive rating
100.4
54.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.8%
3-point %
36.6%
55.1%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 102.7Defence96.7 · 100.4Shooting54.6% · 52.2%3-point %35.8% · 36.6%Ball care14.3% · 12.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tortona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Brescia v Tortona92-86
12/02/25Brescia v Tortona86-79
19/01/25Brescia v Tortona98-106 OT
17/11/24Tortona v Brescia78-85
06/04/24Brescia v Tortona72-65
05/11/23Tortona v Brescia59-87
23/09/23Brescia v Tortona86-63
16/04/23Tortona v Brescia77-90 OT
20/11/22Brescia v Tortona83-68
13/04/22Tortona v Brescia81-74
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AReggiana69-88
19/04/26HVirtus Bologna69-74
12/04/26HTrento103-84
04/04/26ATreviso86-91
28/03/26AVarese87-97
22/03/26HCantu100-73
08/03/26HCremona85-78
15/02/26ASassari89-82
08/02/26HTrieste104-99
31/01/26HUdine79-80
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HTreviso90-99
19/04/26ATrieste86-82
11/04/26AVenezia89-74
04/04/26HBasket Napoli100-85
29/03/26HReggiana92-101
22/03/26ATrento85-77
15/03/26ACremona79-78
14/02/26AVarese96-98
09/02/26HVirtus Bologna79-87
01/02/26AOlimpia Milano90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL59%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%71%46%
Points / game87.492.881.6
Allowed / game85.986.585.3
Point differential+1.5+6.3-3.7
Avg total173.3179.3166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeWLLWL77%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %74%77%71%
Points / game88.792.185.6
Allowed / game84.086.282.0
Point differential+4.7+5.8+3.6
Avg total172.8178.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2722581%83.576.1+7.4
2 Brescia2720774%88.784.0+4.7
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%87.280.4+6.8
4 Venezia2718967%90.386.1+4.2
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona27161159%87.485.9+1.5
7 Reggiana27141352%83.580.6+2.9
8 Trieste27131448%84.187.2-3.1
9 Varese28131546%84.587.3-2.8
10 Trento27111641%83.182.9+0.2
11 Udine27101737%82.083.6-1.6
12 Basket Napoli27101737%84.487.4-3.0
13 Cremona27101737%82.085.1-3.1
14 Cantu2891932%84.388.8-4.5
15 Sassari2781930%86.389.9-3.6
16 Treviso2781930%83.990.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona1820232788
Brescia2216182480
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