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Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-78
18-16 28-22 21-8 19-32
Position#2
Record19-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#10
Record13-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game87.2
ItalyLega ARound 29· Unipol Forum
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Trieste
27 Sep 2026
MIL83
TRI79
03 May 2026
MIL86
TRI78
26 Jan 2025
MIL87
TRI74
20 Nov 2022
MIL98
TRI81
13 Mar 2022
MIL102
TRI84
31 Jan 2021
MIL81
TRI100
06 Oct 2019
MIL88
TRI73
12 May 2019
MIL93
TRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H09/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A16/04
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
125-97
125
97
+28
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A26/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
23-32
25-18
12-27
32-19
25-30
22-17
24-21
14-14
26-20
23-22
20-30
19-30
22-34
35-23
17-16
25-18
19-16
15-20
21-22
24-27
30-24
29-27
13-24
20-20
14-32
21-22
29-20
23-26
22-21
10-21
21-17
29-27
34-16
37-18
25-36
27-14
25-25
14-23
24-23
182.0Avg total
91.5Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.280.4167.6+6.870%
Season at home (14)87.981.6169.4+6.371%
Season away (13)86.579.2165.6+7.369%
Last 10 (10)91.590.5182.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)94.292.6186.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.894.8177.5-12.00%
vs Similar (13)90.191.4181.5-1.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.481.1167.5+5.377%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
61-97
61
97
-36
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A11/03
Champions League
Trento
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H14/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H17/03
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H22/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A29/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H04/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A26/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
7-24
12-31
21-18
19-18
23-19
10-27
24-18
24-21
21-18
18-20
21-19
20-27
17-10
18-25
27-14
14-27
21-27
30-12
13-18
20-31
22-23
18-22
16-21
25-20
23-33
22-18
20-18
19-27
25-14
20-15
25-14
17-17
27-22
19-21
19-26
16-27
27-26
21-22
17-20
165.3Avg total
79.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.187.2171.3-3.148%
Season at home (14)85.981.5167.4+4.471%
Season away (13)82.293.3175.5-11.223%
Last 10 (10)79.985.4165.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)83.687.4171.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.585.6165.1-6.136%
vs Similar (16)83.781.9165.6+1.856%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Olimpia MilanoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H09/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A16/04
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A26/04
Lega A
93.6Avg total
47.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.643.790.3+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.743.793.5+6.080%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.687.1-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)47.845.893.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)49.646.496.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.849.294.0-4.525%-
vs Similar (13)47.547.194.6+0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.338.584.8+7.885%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A11/03
Champions League
Trento
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/03
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H22/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A29/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H04/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A26/04
Lega A
86.3Avg total
40.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.083.7-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.442.684.1-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.283.3+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.845.586.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.092.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.343.383.6-3.029%-
vs Similar (16)43.040.883.8+2.262%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.415.2
71.0%
54.1%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.5
38.3%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws9.28.1
88.0%
76.1%8.1
They take 48.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.0
55.9%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.315.5
80.3%
76.1%15.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLLWLLWL
Trieste
LLWWLLWWLL
#2
League position
#10
+5.2
Net rating
-5.8
58.1
Offensive rating
92.7
52.9
Defensive rating
98.5
63.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
30.6%
77.8%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence58.1 · 92.7Defence52.9 · 98.5Shooting63.4% · 51.4%3-point %38.3% · 30.6%Ball care18.3% · 15.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Trieste wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AVenezia90-85
19/04/26HBasket Napoli125-97
16/04/26AOlympiacos76-85
09/04/26HBayern84-94
07/04/26AValencia96-102
05/04/26HReggiana80-76
02/04/26AParis93-103
29/03/26AUdine83-86
26/03/26HVirtus Bologna103-87
24/03/26AMonaco85-90
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
19/04/26HBrescia82-86
12/04/26AUdine89-70
04/04/26HVarese90-89
29/03/26ACantu76-97
22/03/26HVenezia78-84
17/03/26HTenerife82-76
14/03/26HTrento84-78
11/03/26ANymburk76-82
07/03/26AReggiana61-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%71%69%
Points / game87.287.986.5
Allowed / game80.481.679.2
Point differential+6.8+6.3+7.3
Avg total167.6169.4165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%71%23%
Points / game84.185.982.2
Allowed / game87.281.593.3
Point differential-3.1+4.4-11.2
Avg total171.3167.4175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2722581%83.576.1+7.4
2 Brescia2720774%88.784.0+4.7
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%87.280.4+6.8
4 Venezia2718967%90.386.1+4.2
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona27161159%87.485.9+1.5
7 Reggiana27141352%83.580.6+2.9
8 Trieste27131448%84.187.2-3.1
9 Varese28131546%84.587.3-2.8
10 Trento27111641%83.182.9+0.2
11 Udine27101737%82.083.6-1.6
12 Basket Napoli27101737%84.487.4-3.0
13 Cremona27101737%82.085.1-3.1
14 Cantu2891932%84.388.8-4.5
15 Sassari2781930%86.389.9-3.6
16 Treviso2781930%83.990.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1828211986
Trieste162283278
← all games of the day
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