PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-83
24-17 19-21 22-23 15-22
Position#15
Record10-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record14-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game91.4
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trieste v Varese
24 Jan 2027
TRI v VAR
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
TRI90
VAR89
03 Nov 2024
TRI107
VAR81
16 Apr 2023
TRI80
VAR83
14 Nov 2021
TRI70
VAR86
27 Jan 2021
TRI108
VAR83
29 Sep 2019
TRI62
VAR92
10 Feb 2019
TRI96
VAR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 69
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
47avg 69
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
62avg 69
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 69
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
59-95
59
95
-36
no box
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
75-80
75
80
-5
65avg 69
H18/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
84avg 69
A25/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 69
H02/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 69
A08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
22-18
19-18
20-18
18-19
24-15
23-20
20-14
15-12
20-21
16-18
8-14
16-25
25-25
11-18
17-12
20-13
37-27
20-22
20-24
20-26
14-27
17-21
8-21
16-24
22-11
19-26
18-19
19-19
21-32
26-18
19-24
16-20
29-25
19-14
16-19
12-18
22-24
16-24
18-19
156.0Avg total
75.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.982.8160.7-4.940%
Season at home (13)75.279.2154.4-4.146%
Season away (12)80.886.7167.5-5.833%
Last 10 (10)75.880.2156.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)73.486.2159.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.182.5157.6-7.432%
vs Similar (11)85.582.7168.3+2.864%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 83
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 83
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 83
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 83
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 83
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 83
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 83
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 83
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 83
H08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
15-27
28-22
30-27
25-18
28-21
20-30
24-22
25-22
14-29
26-20
15-17
26-19
180.0Avg total
88.6Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)91.791.4183.1+0.356%
Season at home (13)92.389.4181.7+2.962%
Season away (12)91.093.6184.6-2.650%
Last 10 (10)88.691.4180.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)91.895.0186.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.5101.2188.7-13.70%
vs Similar (14)88.789.3178.0-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)99.392.9192.2+6.489%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
TriesteVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H02/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/04
Lega A
82.7Avg total
40.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.680.3-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.239.678.8-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)40.241.681.8-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.982.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.283.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.741.278.9-3.542%-
vs Similar (11)43.239.582.7+3.673%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/04
Lega A
97.1Avg total
46.9Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.447.593.9-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.745.391.0+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)47.149.796.7-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)46.950.297.1-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)47.051.898.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.551.394.8-7.817%-
vs Similar (14)46.444.290.6+2.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)49.650.399.9-0.844%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.6
54.1%
51.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.6
36.5%
36.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws13.310.0
75.2%
76.1%10.0
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.9
53.2%
51.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.1
36.6%
36.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.7
73.9%
76.1%16.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWLLLWLLWW
Varese
LWWLWWLLLW
#15
League position
#4
-1.8
Net rating
-4.3
113.5
Offensive rating
110.5
115.3
Defensive rating
114.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
36.6%
49.2%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 110.5Defence115.3 · 114.8Shooting54.3% · 54.0%3-point %36.5% · 36.6%Ball care15.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.4% · 26.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22Varese v Trieste104-99 OT
13/04/22Varese v Trieste76-92
14/11/21Trieste v Varese70-86
25/04/21Varese v Trieste73-79
27/01/21Trieste v Varese108-83
19/01/20Varese v Trieste91-85
29/09/19Trieste v Varese62-92
10/02/19Trieste v Varese96-104
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23ATrento68-85
02/04/23HVirtus Bologna80-78
25/03/23AScafati85-93
18/03/23HReggiana75-80
12/03/23ABrescia59-95
05/03/23HTreviso97-86
12/02/23ATortona69-80
05/02/23HOlimpia Milano59-65
29/01/23HBasket Napoli85-68
22/01/23AVenezia81-72
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23HReggiana81-85
02/04/23ATreviso97-95
26/03/23HVerona98-94
18/03/23ASassari73-102
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87
05/02/23ATortona91-103
28/01/23HBrescia80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWLWLW46%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%46%33%
Points / game77.975.280.8
Allowed / game82.879.286.7
Point differential-4.9-4.1-5.8
Avg total160.7154.4167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game91.792.391.0
Allowed / game91.489.493.6
Point differential+0.3+2.9-2.6
Avg total183.1181.7184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2519676%83.677.3+6.3
2 Olimpia Milano2619773%82.572.9+9.6
3 Tortona2617965%81.278.0+3.2
4 Sassari26151158%84.780.4+4.3
5 Varese25141156%91.791.4+0.3
6 Venezia26141254%82.680.3+2.3
7 Brindisi26141254%83.681.6+2.0
8 Trento25131252%75.976.7-0.8
9 Pesaro25121348%84.386.9-2.6
10 Brescia26121446%83.281.4+1.8
11 Trieste25101540%77.982.8-4.9
12 Reggiana26101638%76.177.1-1.0
13 Treviso26101638%80.786.2-5.5
14 Scafati2591636%78.179.6-1.6
15 Basket Napoli2691735%78.384.2-5.9
16 Verona2681831%78.786.2-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2419221580
Varese1721232283
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.