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Pesaro vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-83
22-21 24-19 18-23 30-20
Position#10
Record12-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game87.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#15
Record10-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game83.6
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Trieste
23 Apr 2023
PES94
TRI83
06 Oct 2021
PES74
TRI61
27 Dec 2020
PES84
TRI74
05 Jan 2020
PES76
TRI82
12 Nov 2018
PES103
TRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 73
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 73
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 73
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-102
70
102
-32
61avg 73
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 73
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 73
A19/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
15-23
23-29
17-16
16-14
6-22
14-15
21-23
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
18-22
17-15
24-22
29-20
24-32
18-13
12-23
22-20
16-20
17-24
19-20
18-20
22-19
9-31
27-30
12-22
18-15
19-16
19-22
23-33
20-27
25-16
26-26
11-27
167.4Avg total
77.5Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.087.2171.2-3.244%
Season at home (13)83.984.3168.2-0.454%
Season away (14)84.189.9173.9-5.836%
Last 10 (10)77.589.9167.4-12.420%
Last 5 (5)75.491.2166.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)80.288.9169.2-8.735%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.782.6167.2+2.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
47avg 69
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
62avg 69
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 69
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
59-95
59
95
-36
no box
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
75-80
75
80
-5
65avg 69
H18/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
84avg 69
A25/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 69
H02/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 69
A08/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 69
H16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
80-103
80
103
-23
78avg 69
A19/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
20-21
16-18
8-14
16-25
25-25
11-18
17-12
20-13
37-27
20-22
20-24
20-26
14-27
17-21
8-21
16-24
22-11
19-26
18-19
19-19
21-32
26-18
19-24
16-20
29-25
19-14
16-19
12-18
22-24
16-24
18-19
24-17
19-21
22-23
15-22
23-23
19-20
22-33
16-27
160.0Avg total
75.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.083.6161.6-5.537%
Season at home (14)75.579.5155.0-4.043%
Season away (13)80.887.9168.7-7.231%
Last 10 (10)75.284.8160.0-9.620%
Last 5 (5)78.688.4167.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.683.5159.0-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.084.7169.7+0.356%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -4.6-4.6
PesaroTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/04
Lega A
79.7Avg total
37.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.882.7-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.679.3+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.086.1-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.479.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.680.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.343.683.9-3.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.539.881.3+1.775%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H02/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A19/04
Lega A
83.9Avg total
40.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.780.4-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.578.9-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.981.9-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.083.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.141.179.3-3.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.339.783.0+3.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.5
49.0%
51.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.4
38.4%
36.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.3
73.7%
76.1%12.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.1
52.8%
51.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.9
36.4%
36.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.29.0
73.8%
76.1%9.0
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLWLLLW
Trieste
LLLWLLLWLL
#10
League position
#15
-15.8
Net rating
-10.9
105.7
Offensive rating
110.2
121.5
Defensive rating
121.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
60.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.4%
3-point %
36.4%
55.6%
Assist %
53.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 110.2Defence121.5 · 121.1Shooting52.7% · 53.5%3-point %38.4% · 36.4%Ball care17.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds23.6% · 31.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
4
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
02/10/22Trieste v Pesaro74-100
23/01/22Trieste v Pesaro89-78
06/10/21Pesaro v Trieste74-61
18/04/21Trieste v Pesaro101-88
27/12/20Pesaro v Trieste84-74
05/01/20Pesaro v Trieste76-82
09/03/19Trieste v Pesaro105-68
12/11/18Pesaro v Trieste103-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23ATreviso82-96
16/04/23HScafati79-86
09/04/23AOlimpia Milano70-102
02/04/23HTrento70-84
26/03/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
18/03/23HBrescia88-79
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
18/02/23ABrescia57-74
15/02/23HVarese84-80
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23ASassari80-103
16/04/23HVarese80-83
08/04/23ATrento68-85
02/04/23HVirtus Bologna80-78
25/03/23AScafati85-93
18/03/23HReggiana75-80
12/03/23ABrescia59-95
05/03/23HTreviso97-86
12/02/23ATortona69-80
05/02/23HOlimpia Milano59-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%54%36%
Points / game84.083.984.1
Allowed / game87.284.389.9
Point differential-3.2-0.4-5.8
Avg total171.2168.2173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL37%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %37%43%31%
Points / game78.075.580.8
Allowed / game83.679.587.9
Point differential-5.5-4.0-7.2
Avg total161.6155.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2721678%84.177.6+6.5
2 Olimpia Milano2720774%82.773.0+9.7
3 Tortona28181064%80.577.8+2.7
4 Sassari27161159%85.480.4+5.0
5 Varese27161159%91.490.8+0.6
6 Venezia27151256%82.580.1+2.4
7 Brindisi27141352%83.782.0+1.7
8 Trento27131448%75.877.2-1.4
9 Brescia27121544%82.981.3+1.5
10 Pesaro27121544%84.087.2-3.2
11 Treviso27111641%81.286.0-4.8
12 Reggiana27101737%75.877.0-1.2
13 Scafati27101737%78.579.7-1.3
14 Trieste27101737%78.083.6-5.5
15 Basket Napoli28101836%78.383.8-5.5
16 Verona2791833%78.485.6-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2224183094
Trieste2119232083
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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