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Trieste vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 101-88
33-15 19-34 28-19 21-20
Position#6
Record11-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game80.2
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record11-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Trieste v Pesaro
02 Oct 2022
TRI74
PES100
23 Jan 2022
TRI89
PES78
18 Apr 2021
TRI101
PES88
26 Apr 2020
TRI v PES
upcoming
09 Mar 2019
TRI105
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
100-81
100
81
+19
105avg 74
A31/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 74
H07/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 74
A27/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 74
H07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
96-70
96
70
+26
95avg 74
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 74
H21/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
68avg 74
A28/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
56avg 74
A11/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
58avg 74
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
26-20
25-20
28-19
22-27
19-13
20-18
17-23
18-25
20-18
23-23
20-27
13-27
18-17
24-19
19-18
16-19
26-26
19-20
21-14
21-22
24-14
21-15
30-19
21-25
17-16
11-25
20-21
19-19
13-24
26-28
18-24
18-23
13-17
17-16
19-25
5-24
22-22
24-16
18-19
162.1Avg total
79.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.480.2159.6-0.844%
Season at home (12)81.381.9163.2-0.650%
Season away (13)77.678.7156.3-1.138%
Last 10 (10)79.282.9162.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)75.482.8158.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.680.7152.2-9.125%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.679.1160.7+2.553%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
no box
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 72
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 72
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 72
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 72
A29/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
89-97
89
97
-8
85avg 72
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
76avg 72
A10/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
44avg 72
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
25-27
21-23
29-23
15-12
26-16
11-17
22-24
15-21
6-27
15-26
23-13
16-24
15-22
22-27
25-27
18-26
10-14
21-21
19-20
9-15
19-22
21-20
21-18
16-25
19-22
21-22
23-22
30-28
21-22
16-26
22-21
25-25
31-16
12-17
11-19
13-25
19-18
13-21
17-22
164.6Avg total
77.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.883.0163.8-2.242%
Season at home (13)80.880.7161.5+0.246%
Season away (13)80.885.3166.2-4.538%
Last 10 (10)77.387.3164.6-10.030%
Last 5 (5)75.885.2161.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.785.4162.1-8.627%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.681.4163.1+0.253%
vs Weaker (1)84.069.0153.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
TriestePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A31/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A14/04
Lega A
79.2Avg total
37.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.679.8-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.941.282.1-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)35.842.077.8-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.079.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.641.275.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.242.077.2-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.241.381.5-1.141%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A10/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/04
Lega A
80.5Avg total
37.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.379.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.538.276.6+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)40.341.982.2-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)37.243.380.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.684.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.539.778.2-1.355%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.640.480.0-0.841%-
vs Weaker (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.9
50.5%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.0
39.1%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.610.9
69.9%
75.8%10.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.1
48.7%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.2
32.2%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
75.8%13.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLLLWWLLLW
Pesaro
LWLLLLLLWW
#6
League position
#10
-0.5
Net rating
-8.2
107.6
Offensive rating
105.1
108.1
Defensive rating
113.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
48.5%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.1%
3-point %
32.2%
58.2%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 105.1Defence108.1 · 113.3Shooting53.7% · 48.5%3-point %39.1% · 32.2%Ball care16.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds24.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
27/12/20Pesaro v Trieste84-74
05/01/20Pesaro v Trieste76-82
09/03/19Trieste v Pesaro105-68
12/11/18Pesaro v Trieste103-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21ATrento69-81
11/04/21AVirtus Bologna67-81
28/03/21ATreviso76-95
21/03/21HVenezia69-87
13/03/21AReggiana96-70
07/03/21HCantu82-79
27/02/21ABrindisi74-81
12/02/21ABrindisi81-93
07/02/21HBrescia78-81
31/01/21AOlimpia Milano100-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21HBrindisi62-86
10/04/21AFortitudo Bologna79-77
03/04/21HTreviso89-97
29/03/21AReggiana79-91
20/03/21HVirtus Bologna70-75
14/03/21AVarese68-81
07/03/21ACremona78-100
14/02/21AOlimpia Milano59-87
13/02/21ABrindisi74-69
12/02/21ASassari115-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game79.481.377.6
Allowed / game80.281.978.7
Point differential-0.8-0.6-1.1
Avg total159.6163.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWLLLL46%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game80.880.880.8
Allowed / game83.080.785.3
Point differential-2.2+0.2-4.5
Avg total163.8161.5166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi2520580%86.077.5+8.5
2 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.874.9+10.9
3 Virtus Bologna2618869%85.377.3+8.0
4 Venezia2617965%80.877.3+3.5
5 Sassari2516964%89.586.2+3.3
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste25111444%79.480.2-0.8
8 Trento25111444%77.679.1-1.5
9 Pesaro26111542%80.883.0-2.2
10 Cremona25101540%85.586.4-0.9
11 Varese26101638%81.186.2-5.0
12 Reggiana2591636%76.181.2-5.1
13 Fortitudo Bologna2691735%77.881.7-3.9
14 Cantu2691735%78.382.7-4.4
15 Brescia2791833%80.984.7-3.8
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste33192821101
Pesaro1534192088
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