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Varese vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-79
20-15 17-25 16-13 20-26
Position#12
Record11-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record12-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.5
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Trieste
10 Oct 2026
VAR85
TRI84
21 Dec 2025
VAR84
TRI69
04 May 2025
VAR85
TRI80
18 Dec 2022
VAR104
TRI99
13 Apr 2022
VAR76
TRI92
25 Apr 2021
VAR73
TRI79
19 Jan 2020
VAR91
TRI85
28 Oct 2018
VAR78
TRI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 72
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 72
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 72
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 72
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 72
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 72
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 72
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 72
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 72
A18/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
26-18
14-10
21-21
20-19
21-13
20-23
21-14
26-20
24-18
21-23
24-22
14-18
19-23
19-23
17-21
22-28
18-16
21-19
17-27
19-15
25-28
21-24
33-25
24-17
164.3Avg total
82.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.986.4168.4-4.541%
Season at home (14)82.683.1165.7-0.650%
Season away (13)81.290.0171.2-8.831%
Last 10 (10)82.282.1164.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)85.283.4168.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.387.5168.8-6.238%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.486.6169.0-4.240%
vs Weaker (2)85.084.5169.5+0.550%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 75
H07/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 75
A27/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 75
H07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
96-70
96
70
+26
95avg 75
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 75
H21/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
68avg 75
A28/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
56avg 75
A11/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
58avg 75
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
101-88
101
88
+13
99avg 75
H18/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
19-13
20-18
17-23
18-25
20-18
23-23
20-27
13-27
18-17
24-19
19-18
16-19
26-26
19-20
21-14
21-22
24-14
21-15
30-19
21-25
17-16
11-25
20-21
19-19
13-24
26-28
18-24
18-23
13-17
17-16
19-25
5-24
22-22
24-16
18-19
33-15
19-34
28-19
21-20
162.9Avg total
79.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.280.5160.8-0.346%
Season at home (13)82.882.4165.2+0.554%
Season away (13)77.678.7156.3-1.138%
Last 10 (10)79.383.6162.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)76.486.4162.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.281.7152.9-10.518%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.779.6162.3+3.156%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
VareseTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/04
Lega A
79.6Avg total
39.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.383.2-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.981.4-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.245.784.9-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.379.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.083.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.446.886.2-7.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.141.181.1-1.033%-
vs Weaker (2)41.537.078.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H18/04
Lega A
80.4Avg total
37.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.280.8-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.842.584.3-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)35.842.077.8-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.780.4-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.879.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.843.077.8-8.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.941.782.6-0.844%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.3
53.4%
51.2%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.8
40.0%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
75.8%13.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.2
37.9%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
75.8%12.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWWWWLLL
Trieste
WLLLLWWLLL
#12
League position
#6
-0.1
Net rating
-2.4
112.1
Offensive rating
106.6
112.2
Defensive rating
109.0
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.0%
3-point %
37.9%
56.2%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 106.6Defence112.2 · 109.0Shooting56.7% · 53.2%3-point %40.0% · 37.9%Ball care19.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds26.7% · 25.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
27/01/21Trieste v Varese108-83
19/01/20Varese v Trieste91-85
29/09/19Trieste v Varese62-92
10/02/19Trieste v Varese96-104
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21ATreviso103-94
14/04/21HVenezia75-77
11/04/21AReggiana77-95
05/04/21AOlimpia Milano83-81
28/03/21HTrento88-70
14/03/21HPesaro81-68
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21HPesaro101-88
14/04/21ATrento69-81
11/04/21AVirtus Bologna67-81
28/03/21ATreviso76-95
21/03/21HVenezia69-87
13/03/21AReggiana96-70
07/03/21HCantu82-79
27/02/21ABrindisi74-81
12/02/21ABrindisi81-93
07/02/21HBrescia78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW41%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game81.982.681.2
Allowed / game86.483.190.0
Point differential-4.5-0.6-8.8
Avg total168.4165.7171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeWLWLW54%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%54%38%
Points / game80.282.877.6
Allowed / game80.582.478.7
Point differential-0.3+0.5-1.1
Avg total160.8165.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%85.975.1+10.7
2 Brindisi2620677%85.277.5+7.7
3 Virtus Bologna2719870%85.776.9+8.8
4 Venezia2718967%81.277.3+4.0
5 Sassari2617965%89.785.8+3.9
6 Treviso27141352%84.988.4-3.5
7 Trieste26121446%80.280.5-0.3
8 Cremona26111542%85.285.7-0.5
9 Trento26111542%77.679.7-2.1
10 Varese27111641%81.986.4-4.5
11 Pesaro28111739%81.183.8-2.7
12 Reggiana26101638%76.080.8-4.8
13 Brescia2791833%80.984.7-3.8
14 Cantu2791833%78.082.3-4.3
15 Fortitudo Bologna2791833%77.782.1-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2017162073
Trieste1525132679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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