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Trouville vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 81-106
15-30 19-32 28-23 19-21
Position#13
Record4-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
Position#12
Record7-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game93.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Trouville
Other2024-25
Meetings · Trouville v Welcome
18 Mar 2025
TROU81
WELC106
02 Dec 2024
TROU83
WELC77
05 Nov 2018
TROU83
WELC61
03 Nov 2017
TROU80
WELC73
04 Dec 2015
TROU80
WELC66
28 Nov 2015
TROU86
WELC59
05 Nov 2012
TROU81
WELC66
26 Dec 2011
TROU70
WELC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trouville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrouvilleUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrouville
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 67
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
68-73
68
73
-5
58avg 67
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
58avg 67
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
84avg 67
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
78avg 67
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 67
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
69-74
69
74
-5
63avg 67
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
74avg 67
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
79-85
79
85
-6
77avg 67
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
88-98
88
98
-10
36avg 67
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
24-22
18-21
17-27
12-20
18-9
19-20
19-24
15-19
19-20
15-11
17-21
22-28
24-24
31-19
13-26
21-24
22-22
19-28
22-19
15-22
12-19
17-13
31-23
24-23
12-24
13-8
20-19
19-20
24-17
18-30
19-24
19-23
13-21
28-25
19-16
29-30
26-23
10-31
23-14
162.6Avg total
77.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.984.2159.0-9.316%
Season at home (11)73.282.8156.0-9.618%
Season away (14)76.285.2161.4-9.014%
Last 10 (10)77.485.2162.6-7.80%
Last 5 (5)78.285.0163.2-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)75.185.2160.3-10.214%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.574.0148.5+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 67
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-117
69
117
-48
53avg 67
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 67
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
77-112
77
112
-35
70avg 67
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
49avg 67
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 67
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 67
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 67
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 67
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
70avg 67
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
22-23
22-24
13-19
21-28
23-29
13-30
12-30
19-15
20-19
11-15
21-17
17-29
23-23
22-30
15-30
9-22
13-23
13-21
24-22
21-21
20-32
26-18
32-17
21-25
19-34
17-28
15-14
18-25
26-20
20-21
17-21
23-24
27-20
19-20
28-26
27-21
14-22
20-19
24-15
170.3Avg total
78.0Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.493.0171.4-14.528%
Season at home (13)80.591.2171.7-10.838%
Season away (12)76.294.8171.1-18.617%
Last 10 (10)78.092.3170.3-14.340%
Last 5 (5)86.888.6175.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)78.893.0171.8-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trouville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
TrouvilleWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrouvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
81.9Avg total
38.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.345.181.4-8.820%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.244.178.3-9.823%-
Last 30 away (17)37.945.983.8-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.381.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)36.445.682.0-9.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)34.539.073.5-4.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.2Avg total
39.6Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.547.184.6-9.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.144.583.6-5.438%-
Last 30 away (14)35.750.185.8-14.47%-
Last 10 (10)39.648.688.2-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.892.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)37.448.085.4-10.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.034.573.5+4.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trouville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trouvilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trouville: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.1
52.0%
51.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
71.7%13.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.9
48.5%
51.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.5%
71.7%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trouville
LLLLLLLLLL
Welcome
WWLLWLLWLL
#13
League position
#12
-11.5
Net rating
-19.3
101.6
Offensive rating
100.2
113.1
Defensive rating
119.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.6%
3-point %
32.8%
61.9%
Assist %
54.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 100.2Defence113.1 · 119.5Shooting49.4% · 48.8%3-point %30.6% · 32.8%Ball care17.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 21.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Trouville   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Trouville wins
2
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
04/02/25Welcome v Trouville71-66
02/12/24Trouville v Welcome83-77
18/01/19Welcome v Trouville71-81
05/11/18Trouville v Welcome83-61
12/12/17Welcome v Trouville81-83
03/11/17Trouville v Welcome80-73
26/11/16Welcome v Trouville84-81
09/01/16Welcome v Trouville73-91
05/12/15Trouville v Welcome80-66
29/11/15Trouville v Welcome86-59
Trouvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AHebraica y Macabi88-98
11/03/25AUrupan79-85
08/03/25ABigua80-91
05/03/25ACordon69-74
27/02/25HAguada75-77
12/02/25HDefensor84-93
06/02/25AUrupan90-97
04/02/25AWelcome66-71
30/01/25HMalvin68-73
27/01/25APenarol75-93
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HUrupan85-77
12/03/25HUrunday97-90
09/03/25AHebraica y Macabi81-87
04/03/25AAguada72-101
27/02/25HUrupan99-88
12/02/25APenarol59-88
08/02/25ADefensor77-112
04/02/25HTrouville71-66
30/01/25HNacional69-117
27/01/25AMalvin70-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trouville
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %16%18%14%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game84.282.885.2
Point differential-9.3-9.6-9.0
Avg total159.0156.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW28%
HomeLWWWW38%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%38%17%
Points / game78.480.576.2
Allowed / game93.091.294.8
Point differential-14.5-10.8-18.6
Avg total171.4171.7171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2522388%93.379.0+14.3
2 Aguada2520580%89.780.2+9.5
3 Penarol2518772%83.774.9+8.8
4 Malvin2516964%80.476.2+4.2
5 Defensor25121348%85.882.0+3.8
6 Bigua25111444%84.685.4-0.8
7 Hebraica y Macabi25111444%85.287.4-2.2
8 Cordon25111444%82.885.2-2.5
9 Urunday2591636%80.285.8-5.6
10 Urupan2591636%81.287.0-5.8
11 Welcome2571828%78.493.0-14.5
12 Trouville2542116%74.984.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trouville1519281981
Welcome30322321106
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