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Welcome vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 85-77
27-21 14-22 20-19 24-15
Position#12
Record6-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game93.6
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#10
Record9-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game87.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2024-25
Meetings · Welcome v Urupan
15 Mar 2025
WELC85
URUP77
27 Feb 2025
WELC99
URUP88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 67
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 67
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-117
69
117
-48
53avg 67
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 67
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
77-112
77
112
-35
70avg 67
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
49avg 67
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 67
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 67
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 67
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 67
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
19-26
28-17
25-15
13-31
22-23
22-24
13-19
21-28
23-29
13-30
12-30
19-15
20-19
11-15
21-17
17-29
23-23
22-30
15-30
9-22
13-23
13-21
24-22
21-21
20-32
26-18
32-17
21-25
19-34
17-28
15-14
18-25
26-20
20-21
17-21
23-24
27-20
19-20
28-26
171.2Avg total
78.3Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.293.6171.8-15.525%
Season at home (12)80.192.4172.5-12.333%
Season away (12)76.294.8171.1-18.617%
Last 10 (10)78.392.9171.2-14.640%
Last 5 (5)81.690.8172.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)78.593.5172.1-15.021%
vs Similar (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
90-61
90
61
+29
84avg 75
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
74avg 75
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
74avg 75
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
65-121
65
121
-56
56avg 75
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 75
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
60avg 75
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
81avg 75
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
94avg 75
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 75
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 75
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
25-18
22-14
16-13
24-14
15-15
16-22
18-14
20-24
22-17
22-28
25-24
25-27
10-36
14-29
16-29
28-22
24-24
19-31
26-13
19-25
21-27
21-15
11-24
21-21
32-20
18-26
17-32
22-19
26-20
24-28
22-25
20-20
26-13
12-18
25-27
23-19
21-13
25-28
16-19
170.5Avg total
83.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.387.0168.4-5.738%
Season at home (13)85.192.8177.9-7.838%
Season away (11)76.980.2157.1-3.336%
Last 10 (10)83.686.9170.5-3.360%
Last 5 (5)84.487.8172.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.288.7166.9-10.520%
vs Similar (8)75.272.8148.0+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.781.6170.3+7.186%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
WelcomeUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.4Avg total
39.0Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.147.284.3-10.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.944.683.5-5.740%-
Last 30 away (15)35.349.885.1-14.57%-
Last 10 (10)39.049.488.4-10.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.449.288.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.048.185.1-11.118%-
vs Similar (2)39.034.573.5+4.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
86.1Avg total
45.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.841.784.5+1.059%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.244.188.3+0.160%-
Last 30 away (14)41.239.280.4+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.086.1+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.485.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.445.485.8-5.040%-
vs Similar (7)43.939.783.6+4.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.735.982.6+10.9100%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.1
48.5%
51.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
71.7%14.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.4
50.9%
51.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.7
34.7%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
71.7%14.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
WLLWLLWLLW
Urupan
WWWLLWLLWW
#12
League position
#10
-19.2
Net rating
-4.2
98.7
Offensive rating
104.8
117.8
Defensive rating
108.9
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.6%
3-point %
34.7%
58.0%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 104.8Defence117.8 · 108.9Shooting48.0% · 51.3%3-point %31.6% · 34.7%Ball care17.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds22.5% · 24.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Welcome   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Welcome wins
1
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
27/02/25Welcome v Urupan99-88
20/12/24Urupan v Welcome92-86
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HUrunday97-90
09/03/25AHebraica y Macabi81-87
04/03/25AAguada72-101
27/02/25HUrupan99-88
12/02/25APenarol59-88
08/02/25ADefensor77-112
04/02/25HTrouville71-66
30/01/25HNacional69-117
27/01/25AMalvin70-97
24/01/25AHebraica y Macabi88-83
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HTrouville85-79
08/03/25HUrunday83-78
04/03/25HDefensor94-92
27/02/25AWelcome88-99
13/02/25AMalvin72-91
06/02/25HTrouville97-90
03/02/25HNacional65-121
31/01/25HBigua89-93
28/01/25AHebraica y Macabi73-65
24/01/25AUrunday90-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLLWWW33%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game78.280.176.2
Allowed / game93.692.494.8
Point differential-15.5-12.3-18.6
Avg total171.8172.5171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeLWWWW38%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%38%36%
Points / game81.385.176.9
Allowed / game87.092.880.2
Point differential-5.7-7.8-3.3
Avg total168.4177.9157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2421388%93.678.9+14.7
2 Aguada2419579%89.980.3+9.6
3 Penarol2418675%83.974.5+9.5
4 Malvin2415962%80.877.1+3.7
5 Defensor24121250%87.182.4+4.7
6 Bigua24111346%85.085.7-0.8
7 Cordon24111346%82.985.2-2.4
8 Hebraica y Macabi24101442%84.787.4-2.7
9 Urupan2491538%81.387.0-5.7
10 Urunday2481633%80.386.2-5.9
11 Welcome2461825%78.293.6-15.5
12 Trouville2442017%74.383.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2714202485
Urupan2122191577
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