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Malvin vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 97-70
31-13 23-22 24-22 19-13
Position#4
Record10-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.5
Malvin 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record3-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game93.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Malvin v Welcome
20 Oct 2025
MALV95
WELC94
27 Jan 2025
MALV97
WELC70
19 Oct 2018
MALV89
WELC73
02 Mar 2018
MALV94
WELC85
19 Jan 2018
MALV84
WELC75
05 Feb 2016
MALV80
WELC84
19 Nov 2012
MALV94
WELC80
26 Mar 2012
MALV80
WELC58
19 Mar 2012
MALV78
WELC64
18 Nov 2011
MALV82
WELC78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 75
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
56avg 75
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 75
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 75
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
68avg 75
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 75
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
56avg 75
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
87avg 75
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
88avg 75
H22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 75
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
26-20
23-27
22-16
16-20
10-23
18-21
23-17
25-25
16-22
20-13
15-14
24-17
33-16
17-21
12-19
26-20
17-17
14-13
19-19
16-16
23-20
24-24
12-22
12-20
19-26
16-27
20-15
26-15
28-15
16-23
20-31
23-22
22-21
23-20
29-26
21-15
16-19
16-20
17-25
159.8Avg total
79.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.777.5157.2+2.167%
Season at home (8)80.580.0160.5+0.562%
Season away (7)78.774.7153.4+4.071%
Last 10 (10)79.680.2159.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.087.8161.8-13.80%
vs Similar (7)82.478.9161.3+3.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.868.4146.2+9.494%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 67
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 67
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
107avg 67
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 67
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 67
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 67
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 67
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-86 OT
97
86
+11
86avg 67
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 67
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 67
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
24-13
13-16
11-22
18-16
21-19
19-26
19-22
24-22
15-26
27-18
28-28
21-17
18-28
12-21
15-25
18-21
14-21
30-27
24-23
23-26
22-17
22-29
7-32
19-23
20-12
21-21
24-25
8-26
23-23
26-19
24-13
17-22
26-26
19-19
20-20
16-25
19-26
28-17
25-15
173.2Avg total
83.1Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.793.4172.1-14.720%
Season at home (8)78.193.5171.6-15.412%
Season away (7)79.493.3172.7-13.929%
Last 10 (10)83.190.1173.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)85.088.2173.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)79.392.2171.5-12.915%
vs Similar (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (3)92.784.3177.0+8.3100%
This opponent (Malvin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
MalvinWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
80.9Avg total
42.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.639.081.5+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.038.180.1+3.957%-
Last 30 away (14)43.139.983.0+3.357%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.980.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.879.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.346.881.2-12.50%-
vs Similar (7)42.438.681.0+3.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.936.081.9+9.973%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
81.6Avg total
38.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.445.983.3-8.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.043.581.5-5.531%-
Last 30 away (14)36.748.685.3-11.921%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.281.6-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.283.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.446.883.3-10.419%-
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.5
46.8%
51.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.6
33.3%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.2
71.7%
71.7%13.2
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.6
52.0%
51.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.6
32.5%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
71.7%13.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWWLLWWWLW
Welcome
WLWWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#12
+0.0
Net rating
-8.5
101.7
Offensive rating
102.9
101.7
Defensive rating
111.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
32.5%
53.4%
Assist %
53.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 102.9Defence101.7 · 111.4Shooting48.2% · 50.7%3-point %33.3% · 32.5%Ball care15.6% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Malvin   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Malvin wins
3
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Welcome v Malvin60-86
08/01/19Welcome v Malvin72-90
19/10/18Malvin v Welcome89-73
02/03/18Malvin v Welcome94-85
19/01/18Malvin v Welcome84-75
31/10/17Welcome v Malvin87-78
04/11/16Welcome v Malvin63-87
06/02/16Malvin v Welcome80-84
29/12/15Welcome v Malvin87-94
17/10/15Welcome v Malvin92-85
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25APenarol70-79
22/01/25HUrunday97-89
17/01/25AHebraica y Macabi90-84
14/01/25HNacional67-88
09/01/25HBigua75-82
19/12/24ACordon76-69
16/12/24HDefensor86-73
10/12/24AUrupan76-74
05/12/24HAguada67-81
14/11/24HHebraica y Macabi92-83
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25AHebraica y Macabi88-83
21/01/25HBigua82-87
16/01/25AUrunday97-86 OT
10/01/25HCordon84-81
06/01/25HAguada74-104
20/12/24AUrupan86-92
11/12/24HPenarol66-91
05/12/24HDefensor111-120 OT
02/12/24ATrouville77-83
16/11/24HUrunday66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%62%71%
Points / game79.780.578.7
Allowed / game77.580.074.7
Point differential+2.1+0.5+4.0
Avg total157.2160.5153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW20%
HomeLLLWL12%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%12%29%
Points / game78.778.179.4
Allowed / game93.493.593.3
Point differential-14.7-15.4-13.9
Avg total172.1171.6172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1514193%90.977.3+13.6
2 Aguada1511473%89.579.7+9.8
3 Penarol1510567%82.972.9+10.1
4 Malvin1510567%79.777.5+2.1
5 Defensor158753%86.280.9+5.3
6 Bigua157847%84.384.7-0.4
7 Hebraica y Macabi157847%86.088.6-2.6
8 Cordon156940%83.886.1-2.3
9 Urunday156940%78.384.0-5.7
10 Urupan1541127%80.485.4-5.0
11 Trouville1541127%73.283.5-10.3
12 Welcome1531220%78.793.4-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin3123241997
Welcome1322221370
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