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Troy vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 59-49
30-23 29-26
Position#84
Record9-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.8
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#120
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Troy v South Alabama
27 Jan 2027
TROY v SOUT
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TROY59
SOUT49
25 Jan 2025
TROY65
SOUT55
27 Jan 2024
TROY83
SOUT79
09 Feb 2023
TROY61
SOUT57
29 Jan 2022
TROY77
SOUT68
13 Feb 2021
TROY51
SOUT58
07 Feb 2020
TROY66
SOUT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H24/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H02/12
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
101-47
101
47
+54
H06/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-51
36-43
38-38
51-51
29-29
39-39
36-30
32-45
28-33
46-31
28-27
37-38
60-17
41-30
35-39
51-46
36-32
34-31
45-33
55-47
170.2Avg total
88.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.478.8167.2+9.664%
Season at home (6)91.569.0160.5+22.567%
Season away (8)86.186.1172.2+0.062%
Last 10 (10)88.781.5170.2+7.260%
Last 5 (5)89.273.6162.8+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.876.4154.2+1.469%
vs Weaker (16)79.968.4148.2+11.569%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A20/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A22/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
82-58
82
58
+24
A30/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H03/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A06/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
A18/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Mobile
#489
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-31
46-34
26-36
46-44
44-31
38-27
36-32
39-45
31-36
34-55
26-30
31-28
27-45
44-26
39-25
26-42
37-28
48-24
31-30
32-28
142.9Avg total
73.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.068.5142.5+5.560%
Season at home (7)74.363.3137.6+11.057%
Season away (8)73.873.1146.9+0.662%
Last 10 (10)73.169.8142.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)73.265.4138.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.569.0135.5-2.536%
vs Weaker (16)74.868.5143.2+6.275%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
TroySouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H02/12
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
60-17
60
17
+43
H06/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A14/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H31/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.367.1+6.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.928.369.1+12.686%-
Last 30 away (16)33.332.165.4+1.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.971.3+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.829.670.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.832.867.5+2.046%-
vs Weaker (16)37.228.565.8+8.862%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A20/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A22/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A18/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Mobile
#489
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A31/12
NCAA
64.6Avg total
32.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.465.4+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.131.167.2+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)32.131.763.8+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.464.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.663.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.629.861.5+1.845%-
vs Weaker (16)33.932.466.3+1.456%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Troy wins
6
South Alabama wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Troy v South Alabama65-55
18/01/25South Alabama v Troy64-63
27/01/24Troy v South Alabama83-79
19/01/24South Alabama v Troy74-71
10/02/23Troy v South Alabama61-57
28/01/23South Alabama v Troy77-60
30/01/22Troy v South Alabama77-68
28/01/22South Alabama v Troy82-63
13/02/21Troy v South Alabama51-58
12/02/21South Alabama v Troy73-70
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HTexas State100-80
20/12/25HMarshall70-63
14/12/25AUAB86-85
06/12/25HLa Grange101-47
02/12/25HWest Georgia89-93 OT
26/11/25ASt. Francis (PA)74-64
24/11/25HToledo68-75
21/11/25AUSC106-107 OT
19/11/25ASan Diego State108-107 OT
17/11/25ACS Northridge85-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25ALouisiana Lafayette63-58
30/12/25HMobile85-52
20/12/25ATexas State65-67
18/12/25ALouisiana Monroe96-92 OT
14/12/25HNorth Texas57-58
06/12/25AEast Tennessee St65-91
03/12/25HNew Mexico State75-77
30/11/25AUTSA Roadrunners82-58
22/11/25AUAB72-80
20/11/25AJacksonville State71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game88.491.586.1
Allowed / game78.869.086.1
Point differential+9.6+22.5+0.0
Avg total167.2160.5172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %29%17%38%
South Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%57%62%
Points / game74.074.373.8
Allowed / game68.563.373.1
Point differential+5.5+11.0+0.6
Avg total142.5137.6146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia Southern1712571%84.479.4+5.1
2 Arkansas State1510567%83.178.0+5.1
3 Marshall1510567%80.775.6+5.1
4 Troy149564%88.478.8+9.6
5 South Alabama159660%74.068.5+5.5
6 Appalachian State169756%74.467.8+6.6
7 Texas State169756%74.871.0+3.8
8 Southern Miss169756%76.173.3+2.8
9 James Madison158753%75.977.7-1.9
10 Coastal Carolina168850%73.272.6+0.6
11 Georgia State1651131%70.976.4-5.5
12 Old Dominion1641225%73.978.1-4.2
13 Louisiana Monroe1631319%74.283.2-9.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette1631319%58.568.6-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy302959
South Alabama232649
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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